AUD/USD | Page 1663 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Related Instruments

AUD/USD

Similar Threads

EUR/GBP, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, CAD, NZD, JPY, and more... 15 replies

EUR/USD, AUD/USD, and CAD/USD ready to move up 2 replies

Anyone here trading AUD/USD or USD/AUD tonight regarding AUS Home Loan Report? 1 reply

The AUD/USD 1.00 EUR/AUD 1.60 GBP/AUD 2.00 Thread! 0 replies

AUD Trade Balance and AUD Retail sales 6 replies

Attachments: AUD/USD
Exit Attachments

AUD/USD

  • #33,241
  • Sep 14, 2011 9:27am Sep 14, 2011 9:27am
Quoting FX-Petra
Part of being a good trader is knowing when to take your losses. I planned to close my short-term longs on a NY close below 0250. It looks like I'm going to have to face the music and close out in a few hours. SNB has screwed the pooch by pegging its currency, leaving USD as the only safe haven in town. It looks like we are in "fundamentals be dammed, full speed ahead USD buy" mode right now. I feel sure we are going to get a nice bounce, but I have to protect my capital.

Regards,
not down and out just yet...
Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability.
  • #33,242
  • Sep 14, 2011 11:11am Sep 14, 2011 11:11am
Quoting RamsesII
not down and out just yet...
I'm sure it will close just below 0250, just to vex me.

Regards,
  • #33,243
  • Sep 14, 2011 12:50pm Sep 14, 2011 12:50pm
FTSE 100--- nice green day

Dow--- very nice green day

A/U--- mired in the red


this is starting to freak me out. For all the talk of "risk aversion", Dow is going to have its 3rd good day in a row. Nothing has changed, substantivley, on near to medium term intrest rate outlook. Maybe A/U will play catch-up towards the end of the week.


Regards,
  • #33,244
  • Sep 14, 2011 1:19pm Sep 14, 2011 1:19pm
Finally, it aligned. 1.0265 now.
just speculating
  • #33,245
  • Sep 14, 2011 2:27pm Sep 14, 2011 2:27pm
AU was hanged ... half-dead by now ... 50-50 chance to live ...

Am short @ 630 and long @ 180 .... looking to scalp some more ... Never fear ... as long as lasty is here ...

attached : AU 4h / 1h & 30m tfs.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au4h_01.gif Size: 57 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: au1h_02.gif Size: 62 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: au30m_01.gif Size: 58 KB
  • #33,246
  • Edited 2:41pm Sep 14, 2011 2:30pm | Edited 2:41pm
Quoting FX-Petra
FTSE 100--- nice green day

Dow--- very nice green day

A/U--- mired in the red


this is starting to freak me out. For all the talk of "risk aversion", Dow is going to have its 3rd good day in a row. Nothing has changed, substantivley, on near to medium term intrest rate outlook. Maybe A/U will play catch-up towards the end of the week.


Regards,
Edit--- Dow having very, very nice green day. AU being pulled along slowly, kicking and screaming.

Don't mean to be a dreamer, but if the triple intrest crowd could jump on board and shoot us up to 0380 before close, that would be a bullish outside day reversal.... and we could get this party started!
  • #33,247
  • Edited 2:58pm Sep 14, 2011 2:45pm | Edited 2:58pm
Quoting VennD
AU was hanged ... half-dead by now ... 50-50 chance to live ...

Am short @ 630 and long @ 180 .... looking to scalp some more ... Never fear ... as long as lasty is here ...

attached : AU 4h / 1h & 30m tfs.
Should it be rejected between 320 - 291 , it will back down to 268 - 260 looking for steady buyers ... and should 268-260 hold ... AU will continue UP UP all the wayyy ... otherwise ... it will be sent back to the dungeon of 175.
  • #33,248
  • Sep 14, 2011 3:03pm Sep 14, 2011 3:03pm
Quoting FX-Petra
I'm sure it will close just below 0250, just to vex me.

Regards,
dumped my aud long and went short at 1.0293 looking for .96
Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability.
  • #33,249
  • Sep 14, 2011 3:04pm Sep 14, 2011 3:04pm
Quoting VennD
Should it be rejected between 320 - 291 , it will back down to 268 - 260 looking for steady buyers ... and should 268-260 hold ... AU will continue UP UP all the wayyy ... otherwise ... it will be sent back to the dungeon of 175.
completely agree
Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability.
  • #33,250
  • Sep 14, 2011 3:26pm Sep 14, 2011 3:26pm
Daily could be a nice candle for bulls
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au8.gif Size: 26 KB
  • #33,251
  • Sep 14, 2011 3:28pm Sep 14, 2011 3:28pm
Quoting mrbandwidth
IMO, we have completed 5 waves down (big wave 3). We are starting big wave 4 up -> My guess: see you at ~430-450

(as wave 1 and 4 can't overlap -> we can't touch 480).

After that, take a good breakfast because we'll dine in hell...
Could you share a chart - I Searched on your attachments but couldn't find it?
  • #33,252
  • Sep 14, 2011 3:48pm Sep 14, 2011 3:48pm
Hello All...

h4 interesting line ema (white), atm correction 280 is end mofu or pivot. But 380-370 strong resistance.

I think
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUD 14-09-2011 17-42-39.jpg Size: 112 KB
  • #33,253
  • Sep 14, 2011 4:03pm Sep 14, 2011 4:03pm
I have 3075 #1tp Audlfx has room to go up still..
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au4hr.gif Size: 34 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: audlfx 4 hr.gif Size: 21 KB
  • #33,254
  • Sep 14, 2011 4:11pm Sep 14, 2011 4:11pm
throwing my count out there
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 14sept11audcount.PNG Size: 63 KB
Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability.
  • #33,255
  • Edited 5:33pm Sep 14, 2011 5:10pm | Edited 5:33pm
AUDUSD is in a tug-o-war deciding where to go: Above 1.0250 for the bulls or below for the bears. And along with it, TWO groups of cool-aids traders cheering for their respective goals with matching fundamental and chart analysis: above 1.0700 and below Parity.

Gotta love this show.

Take your pick. This will be a long week trade. Speaking of long week trade, check your Swaps too.. Last time I went short, I paid a lot to the broker in negative swaps, hell they made more money than I did. That is why I went long this time. No offense to the bears, I just hate the negative swap on this pair.

Here is something that favors the shorts:
Quote
(DailyFX SSI) AUDUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the AUDUSD stands at 2.02 as nearly 67% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at -1.20 as 55% of open positions were short. In detail, long positions are 49.8% higher than yesterday and 65.5% stronger since last week. Short positions are 38.1% lower than yesterday and 66.5% weaker since last week. Open interest is 1.8% stronger than yesterday and 17.9% below its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more AUDUSD losses.
  • #33,256
  • Sep 14, 2011 5:33pm Sep 14, 2011 5:33pm
AUD/USD @ 1.0260

What a mixed bag last night.
Several attempts of testing the downside only to be pulled back by a stronger Euro and an about turn on equities.
It seems that 1.0180 is forming a base and 1.0300 capping for the timebeing.
Someone highlighted that AUD is tracking the S&P by 92%.. How dare they suggest FX traders follow those equities muppets.

Unless something "Unusual" happens today we may just consolidate between the overnight ranges.
AUD crosses have been sold and there maybe some keen profit takers lurking..

Have fun and Good luck
  • #33,257
  • Edited 6:26pm Sep 14, 2011 6:24pm | Edited 6:26pm
Quoting VennD
Should it be rejected between 320 - 291 , it will back down to 268 - 260 looking for steady buyers ... and should 268-260 hold ... AU will continue UP UP all the wayyy ... otherwise ... it will be sent back to the dungeon of 175.
Scalp long @ 258 ...BE+1.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au5m_10.gif Size: 61 KB
  • #33,258
  • Sep 14, 2011 7:25pm Sep 14, 2011 7:25pm
Quoting FX-Petra
Part of being a good trader is knowing when to take your losses. I planned to close my short-term longs on a NY close below 0250. It looks like I'm going to have to face the music and close out in a few hours. SNB has screwed the pooch by pegging its currency, leaving USD as the only safe haven in town. It looks like we are in "fundamentals be dammed, full speed ahead USD buy" mode right now. I feel sure we are going to get a nice bounce, but I have to protect my capital.

Regards,
Saved by the bell...... the NY closing bell. I was all set to close out then Dow went off and rallied. We'll see what tomorrow holds. I still think we must see above 0700, whether a new bull run or test and hold of a seconday top @ 0800 area. What route will we take to get there? Who knows, but I'm sure it will be gut-wrenching!

REgards,
  • #33,259
  • Sep 14, 2011 9:45pm Sep 14, 2011 9:45pm
currently pair at 1.0241 and still it try to up up to 1.0290 any comments?
  • #33,260
  • Sep 15, 2011 12:01am Sep 15, 2011 12:01am
AUD/USD @1.0194 Update

Well its certainly gone pear shaped again.
Profit takers expected from the news overnight never materialised and we now have Asian currencies under pressure which forces ACB's to sell the hedge.. The reverse as to what happened when they were trying to weaken them and AUD found them as buyers.

Its been relentless and yesterday lows are sure to be tested with this wave of selling.
We know that the AUD climbs up the stairs and down the elevator and this could get rather ugly if Asian currency's remain under pressure.


Good luck
25 traders viewing now