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AUD/USD

  • #33,121
  • Sep 9, 2011 8:32am Sep 9, 2011 8:32am
Caution 478!

460 is my last line of defense
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #33,122
  • Sep 9, 2011 8:44am Sep 9, 2011 8:44am
Quoting FX-Petra
Moved my stop up on 0570 to 0610 and was stopped out with 40 pips. Rebuy 1 @ 0540. Now long @ 0540 and 0640. Still want to unload ahead of 0770.

Regards,
Nice dip! Bought another lot @ 0440.

Regards,
  • #33,123
  • Sep 9, 2011 8:44am Sep 9, 2011 8:44am
Quoting Chelost
Atm, in Fibo 161% and LT Alcista. More Divergencia.

I'am learning

Closed position.
atm, Again @Sell in Pullback 161% Fibo (BE)... TP1: 200% Fibo.

Next TP2: 261% Fibo @414
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUD 09-09-2011 10-41-23.jpg Size: 362 KB
  • #33,124
  • Sep 9, 2011 8:48am Sep 9, 2011 8:48am
Quoting VennD
domino , Our banker/broker don't charge interest and vice versa. Non-swap account, pls ask yr broker abt it.
im not muslem.. and mine is a proprietary trading group style account .. doesnt have options for that.

but this eur/usd is murdering
  • #33,125
  • Sep 9, 2011 8:49am Sep 9, 2011 8:49am
Quoting FX-Petra
Nice dip! Bought another lot @ 0440.

Regards,
What's your stop-loss Petra?
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #33,126
  • Sep 9, 2011 9:09am Sep 9, 2011 9:09am
aud/usd has breached the red 200 sma on the daily chart on serious Risk Aversion Market sentiment.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aud usd daily chart.gif Size: 25 KB
  • #33,127
  • Sep 9, 2011 9:14am Sep 9, 2011 9:14am
count update

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...9&d=1314738467
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 9SEPT11AUD.PNG Size: 68 KB
Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability.
  • #33,128
  • Sep 9, 2011 9:29am Sep 9, 2011 9:29am
Quoting mrbandwidth
What's your stop-loss Petra?
I would not turn bearish below 0300, but I would get out and look to re-enter below pairty. Not sure what has the market so spooked today. Busy working and have not had time to read up.

Regards,
  • #33,129
  • Sep 9, 2011 9:38am Sep 9, 2011 9:38am
Quoting FX-Petra
I would not turn bearish below 0300, but I would get out and look to re-enter below pairty. Not sure what has the market so spooked today. Busy working and have not had time to read up.

Regards,
rumors of greek default this weekend.
  • #33,130
  • Sep 9, 2011 10:01am Sep 9, 2011 10:01am
Quoting Chelost
atm, Again @Sell in Pullback 161% Fibo (BE)... TP1: 200% Fibo.

Next TP2: 261% Fibo @414
Closed ALL

End of Week
  • #33,131
  • Edited 11:55am Sep 9, 2011 10:47am | Edited 11:55am
the weekly chart shows a break of the yellow 5 sma support. Downside targets are the white 5 sma low and the brown 55 sma.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aud usd weekly chart.gif Size: 25 KB
  • #33,132
  • Sep 9, 2011 10:53am Sep 9, 2011 10:53am
Europe started reading from "Tell Tale Horror" again. Wasn't Poe an American?

Regards,
  • #33,133
  • Edited 12:14pm Sep 9, 2011 11:02am | Edited 12:14pm
Quoting mrbandwidth
Very nice analysis, though I disagree a bit. I think we still could have a last leg up before the big drop (based on oscillators and emas).

I was considering 800 level, but after today's fall I'm thinking just to ~690 (pullback to former TL).

However, if we close below ~510, your analysis is correct and my guess is total bullshit.

Time will tell...

Any other opinions?
Well, I humbly admit that my theory was bullshit. Sorry, guys.

Any ideas about a good place to go short? I see 530, but after today's epic fail...
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #33,134
  • Sep 9, 2011 11:55am Sep 9, 2011 11:55am
Quoting mrbandwidth
Well, I humbly admit that my theory was bullshit. Sorry, guys.
We are in a broad range between 1.000 and 1.1000 (roughly). Anything can, and frequently does, happen withing that range. NOBODY knows what the next few hundred pips may bring. What we do know is that market sentiment is either positve, negative, or neutral. In 2 out of 3, the high yeilders will usually rise in some fashion. 2 out of 3 aint bad.

Regards,
  • #33,135
  • Edited 12:50pm Sep 9, 2011 12:11pm | Edited 12:50pm
Quoting FX-Petra
We are in a broad range between 1.000 and 1.1000 (roughly). Anything can, and frequently does, happen withing that range. NOBODY knows what the next few hundred pips may bring. What we do know is that market sentiment is either positve, negative, or neutral. In 2 out of 3, the high yeilders will usually rise in some fashion. 2 out of 3 aint bad.

Regards,

Of course, Petra. However, I can't afford stop losses so far away as you, so I have to predict the movements with accuracy (not today, hehe).

A question: Do you still think we are going to see 770 (BEFORE going to 1.0100 or even parity)? I mean, after this brutal drop, the Elliot wave counts posted here have proven to be correct, haven't they?...
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #33,136
  • Sep 9, 2011 12:35pm Sep 9, 2011 12:35pm
*Possible* inverted H&S at 15min...

Theorical target: 527
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #33,137
  • Edited 1:05pm Sep 9, 2011 12:44pm | Edited 1:05pm
Quoting ovaforty
rumors of greek default this weekend.

Greek finance minister has denied now the "rumors" -> end of the fall (for now)

(Very curious how politicians speak EXACTLY at the moment when Elliot Waves suggest the fall could stop... I'm beginning to trust conspiracy theories).
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #33,138
  • Sep 9, 2011 12:58pm Sep 9, 2011 12:58pm
Quoting RamsesII
count update

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...9&d=1314738467

Seems we have just started "minor" wave iv (up): as wave i and iv can't overlap, this can't go above ~566, right?
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #33,139
  • Sep 9, 2011 1:04pm Sep 9, 2011 1:04pm
Quoting mrbandwidth
Seems we have just started wave iv: as wave i and iv can't overlap, this can't go above ~560, right?
yea i agree
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 9sept11audshort.PNG Size: 50 KB
Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability.
  • #33,140
  • Sep 9, 2011 1:11pm Sep 9, 2011 1:11pm
Quoting mrbandwidth
Of course, Petra. However, I can't afford stop losses so far away as you, so I have to predict the movements with accuracy (not today, hehe).

A question: Do you still think we are going to see 770 (BEFORE going to 1.0100 or even parity)? I mean, after this brutal drop, the Elliot wave counts posted here have proven to be correct, haven't they?...
Yes, I "think" we will, but there is just no way to know for sure. Technical analysis is always valid..... until it's not. Yes, pay attention to the technicals, but they are fequently wrong. If you are trading in a fashion that requires you to be correct over the next few hundred pips, I'm afraid you are in for a rocky ride. This system is set up to wipe out high leverage-low capitalization traders.

Regards,
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