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AUD/USD

  • #32,841
  • Aug 31, 2011 8:12am Aug 31, 2011 8:12am
Went long on AUD/USD @ 1.0630 TP 1.0730, SL be
Went short EUR/AUD @ 1.36, TP 1.3440, SL be
  • #32,842
  • Aug 31, 2011 8:47am Aug 31, 2011 8:47am
Quoting smilemiz
2 answers after this movement

1st post:http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...83#post4914883

Thank you smilemiz, very interesting.
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #32,843
  • Edited 11:38am Aug 31, 2011 8:51am | Edited 11:38am
Quoting FX-Petra
Went ahead and went long @ 0610. Only a 1/2 lot. We will probably get a deeper pullback, but don't want to be left out if we jam up from here. Will but another 1/2 lot if we see 0570-0580 area. Good trades to all.

Regards,
Long triggered last night on another 1/2 lot @ 0650. Would have liked a deeper pullback, but it just might not happen..... as is frequently the case with this pair. Will look to add a lot on a 0720 break. All TP's as we approach 0800 area. New highs above 1.1100 will probably not be in the cards until we see what the Fed does in the Sept. meeting. Shorts looking for below parity before then had better hope Europe says boo again, or some other calmity breaks out. Good trades to all....

Regards,
  • #32,844
  • Aug 31, 2011 10:39am Aug 31, 2011 10:39am
Quoting VennD
Im dreaming just now ... set short tp to 0.9824 and ....

set long tp to 1.1330
Sorry but what does it mean?
  • #32,845
  • Aug 31, 2011 11:47am Aug 31, 2011 11:47am
There is a nice "W" formation on the hourly chart. W usually means down, just as M usually means up. Good place to sclap short hear near 0710ish with a stop @ 0730ish for a potential 40 or 50 pips down. As I said earlier, I am not short this high yeilder for any reason right now, but if you must push the short button, this is a nice set up. Good trades to all...

Regards,
  • #32,846
  • Aug 31, 2011 12:54pm Aug 31, 2011 12:54pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aud 8.31.jpg Size: 105 KB
I sure did, ^_^
  • #32,847
  • Aug 31, 2011 1:25pm Aug 31, 2011 1:25pm
Quoting MidasFX
Attachment I sure did, ^_^
Same here

Olu
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #32,848
  • Aug 31, 2011 5:18pm Aug 31, 2011 5:18pm
Quoting VennD
Im dreaming just now ... set short tp to 0.9824 and ....

set long tp to 1.1330

Hi VennD,
Any idea/update on the upcoming AUD data?
  • #32,849
  • Edited 8:10pm Aug 31, 2011 5:29pm | Edited 8:10pm
Quoting marcb
Sorry but what does it mean?
... forget it, marcb . It is only a dream

Right now I have two positions against each other ... short @ 689 has been revised to 719 + long @ 626 ...

Also do scalping in between to pay for the swap on short and some for pocket money ...

attached : AU 15m tf (Watch that fib 161.8% and fib 50.0% , it will touch)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au15m_08.gif Size: 36 KB
  • #32,850
  • Edited 5:51pm Aug 31, 2011 5:31pm | Edited 5:51pm
Quoting Pied Piper
Hi VennD,
Any idea/update on the upcoming AUD data?
Sorry was away ... busy at the shops .... will get back ... see what I can find ...
These u need to know , first , ...

Initially I said stops (mixed) above 700 and below 600 ...
Fresh ones are ... above 720/780 , and below 660/630 ... yeah about that ...

brb for data ...
  • #32,851
  • Edited 6:11pm Aug 31, 2011 6:05pm | Edited 6:11pm
Quoting VennD
Sorry was away ... busy at the shops .... will get back ... see what I can find ...
These u need to know , first , ...

Initially I said stops (mixed) above 700 and below 600 ...
Fresh ones are ... above 720/780 , and below 660/630 ... yeah about that ...

brb for data ...
For upcoming events ... projection on overall Aust Data + US Data are favouring AUD ... but sometimes the table may turn upside down ... or could be volatile also, ... try to relate those forecast with your indis ... gl !
  • #32,852
  • Aug 31, 2011 6:17pm Aug 31, 2011 6:17pm
AUD/USD @ 1.0690

Still trapped in the 1.0620-1.0720 range something has to give soon.

AUD/CHF @ .8620

A good smack in the mouth from the bears to me on this one however keeping the position size small allows flexibility and will soon look to see price stability before buying more.
The cost of carry is in my favour, sort of like a consolation prize for coming second in a two horse race.
  • #32,853
  • Edited 7:01pm Aug 31, 2011 6:56pm | Edited 7:01pm
Quoting VennD
For upcoming events ... projection on overall Aust Data + US Data are favouring AUD ... but sometimes the table may turn upside down ... or could be volatile also, ... try to relate those forecast with your indis ... gl !
Right now one of the Aust Data decreases ... but won't cause AU so much to fall ... (probably 20-40 pips ... just nice to touch the below bids )

AiG manufacturing Index = 43.4 ---> 43.3
  • #32,854
  • Aug 31, 2011 8:54pm Aug 31, 2011 8:54pm
AUD/USD 1.0715

Testing the upper end of todays projected range after good retail numbers.
Stops no doubt building at 1.0730 for a test of 1.0780

Its only a matter of time..
  • #32,855
  • Aug 31, 2011 11:43pm Aug 31, 2011 11:43pm
Quoting lasty
AUD/USD 1.0715

Testing the upper end of todays projected range after good retail numbers.
Stops no doubt building at 1.0730 for a test of 1.0780

Its only a matter of time..
probably a good area to sell with the visible 4hr divergence on RSI and stochs.
  • #32,856
  • Aug 31, 2011 11:56pm Aug 31, 2011 11:56pm
Choose to be patient & not jump in the short before trend is clear ..It looks like reaching the top & no signs of reversal yet so far..Good Luck !
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au h4.gif Size: 12 KB
  • #32,857
  • Sep 1, 2011 1:38am Sep 1, 2011 1:38am
728... Taking off?...
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #32,858
  • Sep 1, 2011 1:43am Sep 1, 2011 1:43am
Staying in that blue range since 29 aug
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSD H1.png Size: 76 KB
  • #32,859
  • Edited 5:36am Sep 1, 2011 4:33am | Edited 5:36am
atm ... One of Aust's minor data decreases ... again ... will not cause much for AU to fall ... just nice to stay within its uptrend channel. Take it as a down retracement ... will look to scalp long coz ... in the next 2.5-3hrs , US Data was projected to be favouring AUD... should the table doesn't turn upside down ...

RBA Commodity Prices Index (YoY) (categorized as minor data) = 27.6% ---> 25.0%

(Closed all scalpers in between ... maintain long @ 626 and revised short position to 731)
  • #32,860
  • Sep 1, 2011 8:09am Sep 1, 2011 8:09am
Quoting FX-Petra
Long triggered last night on another 1/2 lot @ 0650. Would have liked a deeper pullback, but it just might not happen..... as is frequently the case with this pair. Will look to add a lot on a 0720 break. All TP's as we approach 0800 area. New highs above 1.1100 will probably not be in the cards until we see what the Fed does in the Sept. meeting. Shorts looking for below parity before then had better hope Europe says boo again, or some other calmity breaks out. Good trades to all....

Regards,
I will buy another lot on a break of 0730. Will look to close all positions on a test of 0780. If US equities can have a good day, we should shoot up. It would be nice to get square before the weekend. Good trades to all....

Regards,
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