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AUD/USD

  • #32,821
  • Aug 30, 2011 1:30pm Aug 30, 2011 1:30pm
Well, I read the Fed Statement. Any way you slice it, you must conclude that the chances of impending Fed action have increased. What that will be, and when, is a matter of greater speculation. I'm surprised we have not shot up more than we have in the first 30 minutes. Further Fed easing will likley send A/U to new highs, N/U to target parity? We'll see, but no way in hell I would be short for any reason until this plays itself out.

Regards,
  • #32,822
  • Edited 2:56pm Aug 30, 2011 2:08pm | Edited 2:56pm
... Should it be rejected by 713 ... it will go down to 693 / 677 , back and forth like that until something special comes out ... otherwise ... it will proceed to 735 / 751 as of now (base on that moves).
  • #32,823
  • Aug 30, 2011 2:31pm Aug 30, 2011 2:31pm
*Possible* triple bearish MACD divergence at 30min...
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #32,824
  • Aug 30, 2011 2:47pm Aug 30, 2011 2:47pm
Quoting Flatfish
My stop is at break even as thing likes to go up with any excuse. so could bounce upto 1.0675 area, above that I would bail on the short with an hourly close above it and wait for a better shorting opp.
No surprise there stopped out. Shorting this is always dangerous which is why you got to bail as soon as it starts going the other rather than hope it comes back down.
  • #32,825
  • Edited 3:03pm Aug 30, 2011 2:54pm | Edited 3:03pm
I think there's something special between 709-726 and also ... pls look at EUR/AUD .... maybe AU will only go down if EUR/AUD goes up ... there's something going on between them ... just a probability ...
  • #32,826
  • Aug 30, 2011 3:18pm Aug 30, 2011 3:18pm
Quoting Flatfish
No surprise there stopped out. Shorting this is always dangerous which is why you got to bail as soon as it starts going the other rather than hope it comes back down.
I guess this pair just aint the kick for me. I prefer EUR/USD. More volatility, and falls more into logic. AUD is the opposite of my knowledge, and perhaps not my style. I learnt that the hard way.
Have I got something on my face, SOLDIER?
  • #32,827
  • Aug 30, 2011 4:02pm Aug 30, 2011 4:02pm
... the game ain't over yet ...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #32,828
  • Aug 30, 2011 4:35pm Aug 30, 2011 4:35pm
1) eur/aud 15m tf

2) eur/usd 1h tf
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  • #32,829
  • Edited 5:41pm Aug 30, 2011 5:39pm | Edited 5:41pm
.
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  • #32,830
  • Aug 30, 2011 6:07pm Aug 30, 2011 6:07pm
AUD/USD 1.0675

Support held at 1.0620 and up we went to test 1.0720 and have since backed off.
Whilst the markets remain calmish expect the carry trade to benefit so topside should be the risk.

AUD/CHF .8750

Still heading towards .9150 and with so many fund managers exposed to long CHF positions its only a matter of time before we spike like we did in the .70's

GOLD

Interestingly the tech head I speak to has now suggested 2200 after the correction has nearly completed.
If nothing can bring a husband and wife together her jewelry box will.
  • #32,831
  • Aug 30, 2011 7:34pm Aug 30, 2011 7:34pm
Quoting smilemiz
.
2 answers after this movement

1st post:http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...83#post4914883
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  • #32,832
  • Aug 30, 2011 7:39pm Aug 30, 2011 7:39pm
The famous 1.08 possible with AUD/USD?
  • #32,833
  • Aug 30, 2011 7:55pm Aug 30, 2011 7:55pm
Quoting jeremyyn
The famous 1.08 possible with AUD/USD?
every thing possible, next Tuesday RBA rate decision.

edit : 750 is a big fence
Mohan
  • #32,834
  • Aug 30, 2011 7:55pm Aug 30, 2011 7:55pm
break of the 1.618* BC @ 10601

next shown on chart @ 10717

next @ 10905 ; 11021 ; 11209

.. just sharing these short term resistant levels .. gl
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  • #32,835
  • Aug 30, 2011 10:46pm Aug 30, 2011 10:46pm
Quoting Flatfish
No surprise there stopped out. Shorting this is always dangerous which is why you got to bail as soon as it starts going the other rather than hope it comes back down.
Long time lurker, first time poster.

I second this notion completely, when shorts are on, they're on. But if the bulls start racing, be sure to have your stop loss set. Swap and profit can sit in the negative for a very long time against many markers.
  • #32,836
  • Aug 31, 2011 5:17am Aug 31, 2011 5:17am
Eyes on 1.0686, if it breaks then next is 1.0776 and that is very important area.
  • #32,837
  • Aug 31, 2011 5:38am Aug 31, 2011 5:38am
Will short if green turn to red & PA below red ..so many rumors on new stimulus from the Fed , stocks keep it's rally..?? Good Luck !
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  • #32,838
  • Aug 31, 2011 5:56am Aug 31, 2011 5:56am
Quoting GoldMan.
Eyes on 1.0686, if it breaks then next is 1.0776 and that is very important area.
Agreed, but my Crystal Ball thinks in 1.0630 area first to get impulse...
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #32,839
  • Aug 31, 2011 6:03am Aug 31, 2011 6:03am
Quoting mrbandwidth
Agreed, but my Crystal Ball thinks in 1.0630 area first to get impulse...
Question is that will 1.0686 break at all. Bullish trend is getting weaker when i look my H1 chart. Let's see
  • #32,840
  • Aug 31, 2011 7:12am Aug 31, 2011 7:12am
Quoting VennD
... I have closed all scalpers in the middle ... only left short @ 689 and long @ 626 ...
Im dreaming just now ... set short tp to 0.9824 and ....

set long tp to 1.1330
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