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VWVB Daily Chart Analysis

  • #421
  • Mar 29, 2006 3:19pm Mar 29, 2006 3:19pm
I got out also. Looking at my MT4 demo account history shows in at 0.7080 and TP at 0.7133. But the reason i got out was actually that it hit my profit target according to my trading rules/plan that includes fibo-lines-movements on the charts (it's that LBT thingy i'm studying...it hit pip on then began to retrace)

Thom
  • #422
  • Mar 29, 2006 3:24pm Mar 29, 2006 3:24pm
Quoting JSC77
I wonder if aud/usd can go up as long as nzd/usd goes down, they are connected and kiwi looks extremely depressed to me... But I guess price action will tell us the answer, still waiting for that speed and momentum

BTW, hope there will be a vwb model for nzd/usd, I like to watch that pair... Have put my own fibo lines there but would be nice to see an "official" version.
there looks to be a reason for the depressed state of the Kiwi thats decreasing intrest rates by cntral bank. As far as the Aussie I think its suffering from a bit of contagion at this point
  • #423
  • Mar 29, 2006 4:05pm Mar 29, 2006 4:05pm
I have been looking at the charts across all pairs and it seems to me that there is a global pinch. Are we all waiting for a defining moment to move things....a big news/sentiment change? Maybe i have just been up too long or just looking for trouble. But is someone about to declare war or is the world gonna wake up to the earth changes or what? China one trillion??? Hell if i was in charge i would make a play right now!
lovin this thread
Swami S
GOD IS NOT SHORT OF CASH
  • #424
  • Mar 29, 2006 4:46pm Mar 29, 2006 4:46pm
Quoting Swami S
Hey i took that position yesterday and made 20 pips can't be bad.....got nervous and cashed it ....should have left it in....this pair has me jumpy....what do you know i'm back in again at 7067. Your right it surely looks set to turn .let it be soon .I can't wait for a good signal on a pair with some volatility...
Keep buyin' guys. If you can garner enough believers, you may just be able to put some horns on this Grizzly. Then I'll buy too.

I'm just wondering what it is you see that says it's not going to 0.6850 or so? Possibly even lower.
Years ago {many} I was "Scaling In" to a losing Pork Bellies position when I flipantly said to my Br_ker. "How Low can it go?" to which he replied "Two Cents."
Ask Merlin how deep your pockets must be to hold against the trend.
Sorry Merlin, I don't mean to be an a__h_l_. I really hope it turns for you BIG TIME. When I'm not in any USD/JPY positions I still find myself looking at it saying "C'mon. Get Down there." Problem is the daily pennant looks like it could hold it for another few weeks yet.
But then again, Maybe you Shorted it in December and your just holding out for more.
  • #425
  • Mar 29, 2006 7:19pm Mar 29, 2006 7:19pm
the AUD/USD just spiked in the assion session up 42 pips from the open , enough for to go long @ .7090 stops @.7010 75% probabilty that market wont come off . @ 3:00 am will see the range and try to initiate another position in the AUD on a 50% retracement .......
  • #426
  • Mar 30, 2006 2:59am Mar 30, 2006 2:59am
Quoting Bemac
Keep buyin' guys. If you can garner enough believers, you may just be able to put some horns on this Grizzly. Then I'll buy too.

I'm just wondering what it is you see that says it's not going to 0.6850 or so? Possibly even lower.
Years ago {many} I was "Scaling In" to a losing Pork Bellies position when I flipantly said to my Br_ker. "How Low can it go?" to which he replied "Two Cents."
Ask Merlin how deep your pockets must be to hold against the trend.
Sorry Merlin, I don't mean to be an a__h_l_. I really hope it turns for you BIG TIME. When I'm not in any USD/JPY positions I still find myself looking at it saying "C'mon. Get Down there." Problem is the daily pennant looks like it could hold it for another few weeks yet.
But then again, Maybe you Shorted it in December and your just holding out for more.
Even though you got to admire the player, not the Quote watcher !! Right BEMAC .
  • #427
  • Mar 30, 2006 3:12am Mar 30, 2006 3:12am
Quoting Swami S
Hey i took that position yesterday and made 20 pips can't be bad.....got nervous and cashed it ....should have left it in....this pair has me jumpy....what do you know i'm back in again at 7067. Your right it surely looks set to turn .let it be soon .I can't wait for a good signal on a pair with some volatility...
Hey swami just moved my stops to B/E on the AUD/USD up on my position 25 pips got long @ about .7090 . Its 4:00am est . doesnt look like anyones out there on the fourm Guess i will talk to you guys latter !
  • #428
  • Mar 30, 2006 3:33am Mar 30, 2006 3:33am
Quoting vinn234
Hey swami just moved my stops to B/E on the AUD/USD up on my position 25 pips got long @ about .7090 . Its 4:00am est . doesnt look like anyones out there on the fourm Guess i will talk to you guys latter !
I got long AUDUSD at 0.7092, just wondering now about moving stop to BE, each time I move stop to BE price seems to come back so not sure how much room to give this one.
  • #429
  • Mar 30, 2006 3:35am Mar 30, 2006 3:35am
Quoting trader1969
I got long AUDUSD at 0.7092, just wondering now about moving stop to BE, each time I move stop to BE price seems to come back so not sure how much room to give this one.
Decide to move to BE on the fact it has broken its earlier high and yesterdays high and the fact I hate taken a loss.
  • #430
  • Mar 30, 2006 3:50am Mar 30, 2006 3:50am
Quoting trader1969
Decide to move to BE on the fact it has broken its earlier high and yesterdays high and the fact I hate taken a loss.
Thats the about were my entry is , I am @ B/E up about 36pips . the B/E strategie is up to you . Better a free trade then to take a loss . The way I see it You Live To trade Another Day if you get CLiped. there is Retail sales figures coming out this evening @ 7:30 est.. Good Trading
  • #431
  • Mar 30, 2006 4:06am Mar 30, 2006 4:06am
Well I tried a/u long again @ 0.7076, seems it's working now Already closed one of my two positions 40 pips (that's usually my first target for aud/usd) and another one is +52 now with stop @ BE. If it doesn't work at least I recovered the smal loss yesterday. Only opened two positions because I'm "diversifying" with eur/aud short (also going well). Also have a short position usd/cad @ 1.1696, don't know how far this one can go but my stop is break even so no worries
  • #432
  • Mar 30, 2006 4:11am Mar 30, 2006 4:11am
no worries here as well, think I will go back to bed, Eyes are Blood shot .. Talk to you guys LATTER.....
  • #433
  • Mar 30, 2006 4:16am Mar 30, 2006 4:16am
yeah aud is finally coming good stalling just above tunnel at 200ema.
Are we only discussing VWB or VWBII as well because seems like there is action at the hourly tunnel with 12 ema on usd/chf (range not so good) and gbp/jpy (looks more excitng although chance has probably gone.
plenty of medium wieght news today....wondering if things will keep going or chop about
any ideas folks?
GOD IS NOT SHORT OF CASH
  • #434
  • Mar 30, 2006 4:28am Mar 30, 2006 4:28am
Quoting Swami S
yeah aud is finally coming good stalling just above tunnel at 200ema.
Are we only discussing VWB or VWBII as well because seems like there is action at the hourly tunnel with 12 ema on usd/chf (range not so good) and gbp/jpy (looks more excitng although chance has probably gone.
plenty of medium wieght news today....wondering if things will keep going or chop about
any ideas folks?
Hey , Bring it ON this is the only place I can talk shope around this time .. THought I was off to Bed but saw your post .
  • #435
  • Mar 30, 2006 4:35am Mar 30, 2006 4:35am
Yeah, Saw the chopp on the CHF . but the Chf dosent have any direction Looks to me like congestion band is forming on the Daily. that is a nice Spike down on GBP/JPY ,but again I see no Direction on the Daily. Just my Opinion !!!!
  • #436
  • Mar 30, 2006 4:39am Mar 30, 2006 4:39am
Vinn were in the room man!
GOD IS NOT SHORT OF CASH
  • #437
  • Mar 30, 2006 4:45am Mar 30, 2006 4:45am
I'm long the Aussie dollar as well (from 7099).
After being stung by a couple of false starts in the last week I hope this is the one.
  • #438
  • Mar 30, 2006 4:51am Mar 30, 2006 4:51am
Quoting Swami S
Vinn were in the room man!
I Know !!!!!!
  • #439
  • Mar 30, 2006 6:12am Mar 30, 2006 6:12am
So is the cable going through the hourly tunnel? or will it bounce off and give up its weak break? Seems like dollar sentiment is strong here despite todays movements.
I sense imminent volatility through to weeks end.
GOD IS NOT SHORT OF CASH
  • #440
  • Mar 30, 2006 7:29am Mar 30, 2006 7:29am
Went long AUD/USD
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