95% winners live test | Page 10 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Similar Threads

Winners scale winners, losers scale losers 12 replies

go live or bust ... diary of an fx live-trader-wannabe 1,621 replies

Trade 2 live accounts - one with full balance, 2nd as a live test? 0 replies

Why EA test is forward test better than back test?? 1 reply

Oanda 10$ live acc quick-start guide (for newbie to trade live safe) 13 replies

Attachments: 95% winners live test
Exit Attachments

95% winners live test

  • #181
  • Aug 1, 2011 5:11am Aug 1, 2011 5:11am
Hi Cubby,

IS the signal arrow repainting for you? I mean I am looking at my exits for that but the arrow is formed on say bar 1 after bar 2 closes. So that is a big difference I believe. Any one having similar issues?
Trends I Love Finding
  • #182
  • Aug 1, 2011 6:04am Aug 1, 2011 6:04am
Looking forward to the backtest it should be intresting


best regards
  • #183
  • Aug 1, 2011 9:07am Aug 1, 2011 9:07am
I took a trade will post it in a sec. The trade was based off of the 95% winners. a bit modified. I will post results and account in just a few minutes....

The trade happened fast and was unexpected....

Cubby
  • #184
  • Aug 1, 2011 9:18am Aug 1, 2011 9:18am
Quoting Cubbybgood
I took a trade will post it in a sec. The trade was based off of the 95% winners. a bit modified. I will post results and account in just a few minutes....

The trade happened fast and was unexpected....

Cubby
I took the live trade too, beautifull movement, based on your System Mod 1.

Could you explain when you have time your new mod for 95% winners?

Thank you
  • #185
  • Aug 1, 2011 9:23am Aug 1, 2011 9:23am
Here it is guys!

This trade was based off of the system 1 mod.

Took this trade but instead of waiting for 30 minutes if the trade was in profit I just looked towards the next S/R level.

from my entry to the Support level was about 57 pips.

https://www.myfxbook.com/portfolio/95-winnersmod/142831

This is exactly the first trade I needed. A nice big move to put me back in the game. This is a new 25k live (real money) account.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: pic.gif Size: 39 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: pic2.gif Size: 35 KB
  • #186
  • Aug 1, 2011 9:31am Aug 1, 2011 9:31am
Please ignore the writing on the first posted pic in my last post. This trade was based off a combination of both system 1 and system 1 mod. As you can see from the pic I entered just a few pips early. I entered on candle open at 10 am est. It would have been safest to wait for the break of the last candles low though But if any of you know anything about trading you know that it was most likely going to happen anyway so that's why I took the trade a bit early.

I knew this trade was going down.

Cubby
  • #187
  • Aug 1, 2011 9:38am Aug 1, 2011 9:38am
I thinking about using S/R with the system 1 mod. This may allow us to get more profit by holding on to our winning positions even longer. Only problem is that we can't backtest the system with the S/R.

Here is a decent fib piv indicator
Attached File(s)
File Type: mq4 FiboPiv_v2.mq4   5 KB | 463 downloads
  • #188
  • Aug 1, 2011 9:44am Aug 1, 2011 9:44am
Quoting Caillou
I took the live trade too, beautifull movement, based on your System Mod 1.

Could you explain when you have time your new mod for 95% winners?

Thank you
I'm glad you took this trade because you nailed about 55 pips with it. This Is one of the better trades you will get with the system. It was just about a perfect set up with a lot of pips to be made.

This will help put you ahead for the month if you plan on using system1mod for an entire month from start date.

Cubby
  • #189
  • Aug 1, 2011 9:47am Aug 1, 2011 9:47am
Quoting Cubbybgood
I'm glad you took this trade because you nailed about 55 pips with it. This Is one of the better trades you will get with the system. It was just about a perfect set up with a lot of pips to be made.

This will help put you ahead for the month if you plan on using system1mod for an entire month from start date.

Cubby
Yes, I know all trades will not be like this one, but itīs good to start like this.

Thank you
  • #190
  • Aug 1, 2011 9:50am Aug 1, 2011 9:50am
By the way for my live posted account I will be using 20 standard lots for every trade till I double my account. I will not be using compounding for the system 1 mod. Sense TP and SL always change it's hard to use compounding. I may stretch my 30 min TP rule in the mod to using the nearest S/R level if I'm in profit. I will look into this.

Cubby
  • #191
  • Aug 1, 2011 10:03am Aug 1, 2011 10:03am
Quoting Cubbybgood
By the way for my live posted account I will be using 20 standard lots for every trade till I double my account. I will not be using compounding for the system 1 mod. Sense TP and SL always change it's hard to use compounding. I may stretch my 30 min TP rule in the mod to using the nearest S/R level if I'm in profit. I will look into this.

Cubby
For tomorrow:

1.- Check 3 EMAīs in H1.
2.- Check 3 EMAīs in M15 (if they are not in agreement with H1, I donīt trade).
3.- Entry: BO Signal Bar 8h45.
4.- Exit: next S/R Level or 9h30, whatever comes first.

Will post results, I have not considered today trade since I have not used S/R levels.

Thanks again
  • #192
  • Edited 11:06am Aug 1, 2011 10:46am | Edited 11:06am
I may not do this often but sense I did not have a system 1 trade during my system 1 mod trade I decided to take a system 1 entry as well. This Just happened....Looking for 10 pips and a 5% profit.

Cubby

PS. I messed up my risk calculator... I should have been looking for 5% profit but it will be closer to 6.5% because of my mistake.
  • #193
  • Edited 12:07pm Aug 1, 2011 11:54am | Edited 12:07pm
Hey cubby, maybe I'm being dense but it doesn't look like you set a hard SL on the mod system. Your SL is really a time stop. Is that right?

Also, the mod rules say "9AM EST" but it's currently daylight savings time. Do you really just mean 9AM Eastern time, regardless of whether or not DST is active?
You are in a maze of twisty little passages, all alike.
  • #194
  • Aug 1, 2011 5:34pm Aug 1, 2011 5:34pm
Quoting stevegee58
Hey cubby, maybe I'm being dense but it doesn't look like you set a hard SL on the mod system. Your SL is really a time stop. Is that right?

Also, the mod rules say "9AM EST" but it's currently daylight savings time. Do you really just mean 9AM Eastern time, regardless of whether or not DST is active?

This is a good point. My 9 am est is 16 gmt. I forgot it was daylight savings. I wonder if my broker ajusted..

yes, there is not hard SL we exit if not in profit at 945 candle open If our entry happened anywhere from 9:00-9:15.

I hope this makes sense...

Cubby.
  • #195
  • Aug 1, 2011 5:38pm Aug 1, 2011 5:38pm
Quoting Cubbybgood
This is a good point. My 9 am est is 16 gmt. I forgot it was daylight savings. I wonder if my broker ajusted..

Cubby.
Ah, that makes more sense... thanks Cubby.

So, should we trade this at 16:00 GMT for did you make a mistake today and trade an hour later then you meant to. Just want to confirm? Thanks.

Also... how long do you wait for the new candle to hit the high of the 8:45am ET candle?

Do you wait enter at anytime up until the close of the 9:15 candle? And then close at the open of the 9:30 candle if in profit or 9:45 if in loss?

Thanks!
  • #196
  • Aug 1, 2011 6:29pm Aug 1, 2011 6:29pm
Quoting Cubbybgood
This is a good point. My 9 am est is 16 gmt. I forgot it was daylight savings. I wonder if my broker ajusted..

yes, there is not hard SL we exit if not in profit at 945 candle open If our entry happened anywhere from 9:00-9:15.

I hope this makes sense...

Cubby.
No, that doesn't make any sense. Eastern US time is GMT-4 right now. So 0900 Eastern US time would be 1300 GMT.

Also, I'm still trying to understand the time of day logic. Are you looking to catch pops that happen after US news releases that frequently happen at 0830? In that case you'd have to use Eastern US time as your reference, not GMT. 0830 news releases would move around relative to GMT seasonally.
You are in a maze of twisty little passages, all alike.
  • #197
  • Edited 11:35pm Aug 1, 2011 6:54pm | Edited 11:35pm
Here is any indi that sums the PnL for the series on 15 chart for Mod1
Indi takes care of the NY DST from March of 2010.
"We mark the 8:30 am est candle on the one hour chart. Look at the trend on the one hour. Are 4 and 6 above ema 14 or below?
Above means an uptrend and below means down."
Exact Rules are
If (EMA4 & EMA6)H1 >(EMA14)H1 @ 8:45 EST Than Long.
If (EMA4 & EMA6)H1 <(EMA14)H1 @ 8:45 EST Than Short.

If Long Than Buy at break of High(8.45)+ 1 pip
If Short Than Sell at break of Low(8.45)- 1 pip

Close trade at Close of 9:30 Candle if in Gain
or
Close Trade at Close of 9:45 Candle, Gain or Loss

Comment shows statistics of the above rules.

Long Trades, Short Trades and No Trades Gains and Losses

Holler if there are errors.


Cheers Pat
Attached File(s)
File Type: ex4 95%Mod_1.ex4   10 KB | 374 downloads
  • #198
  • Edited 11:32pm Aug 1, 2011 11:28pm | Edited 11:32pm
Cubby,

Comparing just the first few trades in your post 168 with the image below indicates there is something I am missing in your approach to Mod1.

Your list shows 52 pips plus from 07/25-28 and the indi show a loss of over 15pips in the same period.

Could you take a few moments and suggest where I might have misapplied your rules for Mod1.

Thanks

Pat
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 95%mod1.gif Size: 24 KB
  • #199
  • Aug 2, 2011 4:25am Aug 2, 2011 4:25am
Would not it be easier to fix a city time for the signal bar, I thought it was 15h45 Frankfurt time.

Please could you confirm Frankfurt time, or New York time for the BO bar?

Thank you
  • #200
  • Aug 2, 2011 4:37am Aug 2, 2011 4:37am
Quoting Pat1
Cubby,

Comparing just the first few trades in your post 168 with the image below indicates there is something I am missing in your approach to Mod1.

Your list shows 52 pips plus from 07/25-28 and the indi show a loss of over 15pips in the same period.

Could you take a few moments and suggest where I might have misapplied your rules for Mod1.

Thanks

Pat
Hi Pat1,

Wonderfull indicator. I think the time for Signal Bar could be wrong, yesterday I had a short trade, so we have to define exactly which bar is the BO bar.

Letīs wait for Cubby.......
0 traders viewing now