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AUD/USD

  • #31,521
  • Jul 27, 2011 5:22pm Jul 27, 2011 5:22pm
Quoting rickyfan8888
anyone shorting now?
It's testing 1.10 support which should hold in the near term.I'll be looking to go short early next week.
FXsniper Pips This Month: -1,130
  • #31,522
  • Jul 27, 2011 6:11pm Jul 27, 2011 6:11pm
Quoting OMGtrader
is anyone not worried that once the deficit bill is passed the dollar will get a big boost against all major currencies?

simple answer .. no not really .. debt deal doesnt much matter at this point this is the first time people are fleeing the usd and investments at the same time.. the writing is on the wall like graffiti all over a city holding an anarchist convention .. we're done son... the overall trend is created with capital flows and IFD/IRD cycles without a restructuring US is useless this goes past the debt ceiling... we raise the debt ceiling without a sound debt reduction plan who cares? the devil is in the details if they raise the ceiling and we still get a down grade and possibly lose our stat as reserve currency mass hysteria with come.
  • #31,523
  • Jul 27, 2011 6:42pm Jul 27, 2011 6:42pm
Quoting VennD
AU STOPS..
Prospect Buyers on standby ...

1.1025/30
1.0970/80

..and ...Prospect Sellers ...

1.1085/90 , 1.1105 & 1.1115
would keep my eyes on those figures..planning to short when it reach 1.1085
  • #31,524
  • Jul 27, 2011 7:29pm Jul 27, 2011 7:29pm
Quoting domino
simple answer .. no not really .. debt deal doesnt much matter at this point this is the first time people are fleeing the usd and investments at the same time.. the writing is on the wall like graffiti all over a city holding an anarchist convention .. we're done son... the overall trend is created with capital flows and IFD/IRD cycles without a restructuring US is useless this goes past the debt ceiling... we raise the debt ceiling without a sound debt reduction plan who cares? the devil is in the details if they raise the ceiling and we still...
i believe many people would love that to happen,and as we see with the clowns who are in government its really possible,but again all the countries are suffering some kind of problems financial debts,low wages corruption etc.but I believe this period shall pas as its only 3 years since the recession started compared to more than nearly 15y of economical booming and growth.
  • #31,525
  • Jul 27, 2011 7:38pm Jul 27, 2011 7:38pm
Quoting pinkiaiii
i believe many people would love that to happen,and as we see with the clowns who are in government its really possible,but again all the countries are suffering some kind of problems financial debts,low wages corruption etc.but I believe this period shall pas as its only 3 years since the recession started compared to more than nearly 15y of economical booming and growth.
All countries except here in Australia maybe..! Our debt to GDP is only about 22%... But if US goes down, Chinese demand would drop, and then their need for our resources would drop at least a bit too, and then were probably screwed also... yay!
  • #31,526
  • Jul 27, 2011 8:18pm Jul 27, 2011 8:18pm
Quoting Jazznos
All countries except here in Australia maybe..! Our debt to GDP is only about 22%... But if US goes down, Chinese demand would drop, and then their need for our resources would drop at least a bit too, and then were probably screwed also... yay!
thats what im saying this $hit is just going around now,new bubble,growing in china,except when that bursts it might be even worser .
  • #31,527
  • Jul 27, 2011 10:14pm Jul 27, 2011 10:14pm
AUD@ 1.1030

No real change in view 1.1000-10 buyers sellers 1.1080-00

To get it outside of this we need some news.

AUD/NZD @1.2685

Finally NZD has given up on AUD and perhaps will see this continue towards 1.28
Buyers should be seen around 1.2620 1.2580 1.2550 and major 1.2500
Sellers 1.2700 1.2750 1.2800

All Australian shoppers should be loving the online experience
  • #31,528
  • Jul 27, 2011 11:55pm Jul 27, 2011 11:55pm
July 28, 2011

http://www.heraldsun.com.au/business...-1226103001236
  • #31,529
  • Jul 28, 2011 1:00am Jul 28, 2011 1:00am
Quoting forexmy
July 28, 2011

http://www.heraldsun.com.au/business...-1226103001236
Hmm, what's everybodys thoughts on this?
  • #31,530
  • Edited 1:33am Jul 28, 2011 1:05am | Edited 1:33am
Next time ...

Downtrend in 5m = Open = Low ---> Scalp Long.

that is trading using naked chart...(Only using candlesticks as a guide).

Also ...

Japan's Retail Trades / Sales increases ... that also points to AU will maintain its uptrend position... coz Japan is No.2 biggest trading partner, besides China (No.1) , with Australia and New Zealand ... While.... New Zealand is also maintaining its Interest Rate at 2.5% , .....

Just a note ... about 20% of Australia's business is with New Zealand. I think so ....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au5m_05.gif Size: 64 KB
  • #31,531
  • Jul 28, 2011 1:33am Jul 28, 2011 1:33am
Quoting VennD
Next time ...

Downtrend in 5m = Open = Low ---> Scalp Long.

that is trading using naked chart...(Only using candlesticks as a guide).

Also ...

Japan's Retail Trades increases ... that also points to AU will maintain its uptrend position... coz Japan is No.2 biggest trading partner, besides China (No.1) , with Australia and New Zealand ... While.... New Zealand is also maintaining its Interest Rate at 2.5% , .....

Just a note ... about 20% of Australia's business is with New Zealand. I think so ....
VennD what was the signal candle to go long around 1,008 ?
  • #31,532
  • Edited 2:13am Jul 28, 2011 1:53am | Edited 2:13am
Quoting hbkarakas
VennD what was the signal candle to go long around 1.1008 ?
Downtrend=Open=Close=1.1008.

and ... go long between 1-10 pips below it.... or ... just to make sure ur right ... let it go above the signal candle (1.1008).

mine was at 1.1009 . After that .... decide where to put your StpLoss. Mine always at BE+1 coz I don't want to give back what I have earned. Should it be stopped out ... reenter at the next best possible price.
  • #31,533
  • Jul 28, 2011 2:12am Jul 28, 2011 2:12am
Australia's CPI is the same number as the US at 3.6%. Many of the underlying factors are very simillar and point to a global effect than a localised Australian issue.

The Australian consumer is already under pressure due to high housing costs and the highest interest rates on those mortgages in the developed world.

I think investords are getting ahead of themselves thinking Australia is a cash cow for further gains. Rates are on hold and if world events weaken as they will - rates in Australia will go down. Westpac's view is right.
  • #31,534
  • Jul 28, 2011 2:29am Jul 28, 2011 2:29am
Sell orders between 1.1075-90 are heavy ...... should slow down rallies ....

Also ...Don't forget those stops below 1.0900.

Therefore.....trading range I suppose ..... between 1.0900 - 1.1120.
  • #31,535
  • Edited 3:51am Jul 28, 2011 3:20am | Edited 3:51am
Never Retreat ..... Never Surrender ...... ATTACK !!!

...hmmm... I don't know ...... who is attacking now......

(Closed one long 1.1031 , maintain 1 short 1.1075 and 2 longs 1.1009 & 1.0395).
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: au4h_03.gif Size: 38 KB
  • #31,536
  • Jul 28, 2011 3:24am Jul 28, 2011 3:24am
What do you expect or forecast VennD
Thank you very much for your posts and comments. Also thumbs are so helpful for me. Your entry points are awesome great examples for me.. on my way of following...
  • #31,537
  • Jul 28, 2011 3:37am Jul 28, 2011 3:37am
Quoting hbkarakas
What do you expect or forecast VennD
Thank you very much for your posts and comments. Also thumbs are so helpful for me. Your entry points are awesome great examples for me.. on my way of following...
No forecast ... just trade what I see ...
  • #31,538
  • Edited 5:21am Jul 28, 2011 5:09am | Edited 5:21am
... Gold ...... couldn't make it through the nights ... at least that will hold AU to rise as of now..
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #31,539
  • Jul 28, 2011 5:44am Jul 28, 2011 5:44am
AUD sent them to yester lows.

attached :

1) EUR/AUD 4h tf

2) GBP/AUD 4h tf
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #31,540
  • Edited 6:41am Jul 28, 2011 6:37am | Edited 6:41am
Finally .... AU is consolidating .... If buyers fail to hold at this level .... another gangs of buyers some where below there , are prepare to blow the whole resistances.

Infact ... AUD is waiting for the Russian Central Bank to buy it sometime in ... if only they still remember what they had oblighed...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: au30m_02.gif Size: 46 KB
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