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AUD/USD

  • #30,761
  • Jul 6, 2011 8:40pm Jul 6, 2011 8:40pm
eur/aud off the cliff, gbp/aud back near all time low again.
Don't get mad, get even!
  • #30,762
  • Jul 6, 2011 8:48pm Jul 6, 2011 8:48pm
AUD/USD @1.0745 after employment number better than expected.

Now we have to see where these new jobs are created from.
Swan pointed out yesterday that we are in two speed economy and certain sectors are suffering hence growth lower.

If these jobs are being created from Govt public servants then its purely a mirage and demand isn't as strong.

Devil is in the detail..

Today the currency should now have a bid tone about it and will look to sell near 1.0775-95 area if we get up there
  • #30,763
  • Jul 6, 2011 8:53pm Jul 6, 2011 8:53pm
Quoting lasty
AUD/USD @1.0745 after employment number better than expected.

Now we have to see where these new jobs are created from.
Swan pointed out yesterday that we are in two speed economy and certain sectors are suffering hence growth lower.

If these jobs are being created from Govt public servants then its purely a mirage and demand isn't as strong.

Devil is in the detail..

Today the currency should now have a bid tone about it and will look to sell near 1.0775-95 area if we get up there
Federal government is actually cutting down on staff in Canberra as part of a wider spending cuts agenda in public service sector.
I assume most jobs were created in the mining sector and construction in disaster recovery areas.
Don't get mad, get even!
  • #30,764
  • Jul 6, 2011 9:18pm Jul 6, 2011 9:18pm
Quoting stulic
Federal government is actually cutting down on staff in Canberra as part of a wider spending cuts agenda in public service sector.
I assume most jobs were created in the mining sector and construction in disaster recovery areas.
Most jobs came from Victoria..
Probably from employing all the anti swearing Police
  • #30,765
  • Edited 9:27pm Jul 6, 2011 9:24pm | Edited 9:27pm
..the US ADP Employment Change might reverse this scenario.. but tht data can't match in term of pips score.
  • #30,766
  • Jul 6, 2011 9:46pm Jul 6, 2011 9:46pm
This bugger really wants to crack 1.08 today.
Don't get mad, get even!
  • #30,767
  • Jul 6, 2011 10:16pm Jul 6, 2011 10:16pm
Quoting stulic
This bugger really wants to crack 1.08 today.
Maybe not
i am selling at 1.0755
Stop above 1.0800
Target 1 1.0700
Target 2. 1.0640

We will see what happens,
Aud is actually over valued according to most economist and i find them right,
yes they have the high interest rate and their economy is good,
better then us ans uk and eu but still
they depend on China for imports and china is not what it is they have lot of things going under and after all australia is mostly dependent on commodities i agree GOLD is High right now but remember that any thing goes up also comes down, and about GOLD analysis GOLD might soon Come down along with AUD,
it is meduim to long term analysis what i am sharing but anything can happen in forex anytime,
what you guys think which will it hit 1.1000 first or 1.0400 ???
its a Million Dollas Question..
lets hope for the best,
i might be going against you guys here in FF but i trust my analysis and i have done my homework,
but again any thing can happen in forex no guarantees..
Good Luck to all of us.
Don't compare your Trades with Others
  • #30,768
  • Jul 6, 2011 10:20pm Jul 6, 2011 10:20pm
^ I agree, to be honest I keep changing my outlook on the Aussie pretty much every day.
So which one first 1.10 or 1.04? Flip a coin I reckon.
Don't get mad, get even!
  • #30,769
  • Jul 6, 2011 10:33pm Jul 6, 2011 10:33pm
Here is what i see on 1H 4H and Daily Charts,

any comments will be appreciated..
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Don't compare your Trades with Others
  • #30,770
  • Jul 6, 2011 10:40pm Jul 6, 2011 10:40pm
...@ 756 ..as usual ... BE+1..
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  • #30,771
  • Jul 6, 2011 11:04pm Jul 6, 2011 11:04pm
Why people are migrating toward AUD, CAD, CHF

http://www.chrislori.com/index_files...urrencies.html
  • #30,772
  • Edited 11:40pm Jul 6, 2011 11:06pm | Edited 11:40pm
Quoting DubaiFX
Here is what i see on 1H 4H and Daily Charts,

any comments will be appreciated..
Nice Charts and analyst!

Just shorted also 1.07408 right at 4hr support and to give loose with 0734 next obstical..GL
  • #30,773
  • Jul 6, 2011 11:44pm Jul 6, 2011 11:44pm
usdx has a nice bullish engulfing 1hr..
  • #30,774
  • Jul 7, 2011 12:12am Jul 7, 2011 12:12am
Quoting Chillypiper
usdx has a nice bullish engulfing 1hr..
CP.... Probably tht's a sign to the US ADP Employment Change in 7hrs from now. Just take whatever pips on the way down and build a new position on the next way up.... there're several prices need to be executed above current price... probably too... AU is lurking around on how to go up coz.... many sharks like u are waiting up there... 740 is just one group like u.. there're many more levels up there.. I think there're hiding somewhere these levels... 757 (executed) / 774 / 789 (my nanny is here with her bunch of snippers) / 816 / 867 , etc... Cheers !
  • #30,775
  • Jul 7, 2011 12:34am Jul 7, 2011 12:34am
Quoting Chillypiper
usdx has a nice bullish engulfing 1hr..
Lock yr TP at least BE+1... 790 gonna be soak next... with perfume shampoo from Canada..
  • #30,776
  • Jul 7, 2011 12:41am Jul 7, 2011 12:41am
Quoting VennD
CP.... Probably tht's a sign to the US ADP Employment Change in 7hrs from now. Just take whatever pips on the way down and build a new position on the next way up.... there're several prices need to be executed above current price... probably too... AU is lurking around on how to go up coz.... many sharks like u are waiting up there... 740 is just one group like u.. there're many more levels up there.. I think there're hiding somewhere these levels... 757 (executed) / 774 / 789 (my nanny is here with her bunch of snippers) / 816 / 867 , etc... Cheers...
Yes ! It will be a mover for sure.. Who knows how the numbers but the puppetters pulling those strings..They lie to promot themself's and with EQ2 done the game may have changed a bit..I don't know.....

I would guess it will be some very good numbers on both, but I am not bullish to the dollor at all and like U, I will trade what I see...She needs to go below 1.067 before I go bearish here although I show a still show a downtrend..

And WTH? Nanny?? Man you crack me up with your snippers
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  • #30,777
  • Jul 7, 2011 12:50am Jul 7, 2011 12:50am
Quoting VennD
Lock yr TP at least BE+1... 790 gonna be soak next... with perfume shampoo from Canada..

Cable is making her heavy right now......No bath for this hog I think and yes tight reins!
  • #30,778
  • Jul 7, 2011 1:15am Jul 7, 2011 1:15am
S/O for a few and a few more on cable too! still have fiber going short with big news ahead gona get some shut eye.....chao!
  • #30,779
  • Edited 2:05am Jul 7, 2011 2:02am | Edited 2:05am
Had closed scalp short 756 @ 728 juz now.. looks ugly for short ..
  • #30,780
  • Edited 3:05am Jul 7, 2011 2:52am | Edited 3:05am
..Im lazy to do anything on AU atm... wait till US ADP Employment Change report come out....... due in 5 more hours....

In the mean time... here's come a victim... scalp short on gold....
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