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AUD/USD

  • #30,421
  • Jun 28, 2011 10:49am Jun 28, 2011 10:49am
There's been a solid support at 1.05105, looking for another 15-20 pips upside if there is a break of the recent 1.05300 high.
  • #30,422
  • Jun 28, 2011 10:52am Jun 28, 2011 10:52am
These guys doesn't want to surrender yet... I don't think AU could have the sufficient strength to take them out.

attached :

1) EUR/AUD 30m tf

2) GBP/AUD 30m tf
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: euraud30m_02.gif Size: 36 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpaud30m_03.gif Size: 40 KB
  • #30,423
  • Jun 28, 2011 10:56am Jun 28, 2011 10:56am
....NO POWER...

attached : AU 4h tf
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au4h_03.gif Size: 70 KB
  • #30,424
  • Jun 28, 2011 11:34am Jun 28, 2011 11:34am
.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #30,425
  • Jun 28, 2011 12:58pm Jun 28, 2011 12:58pm
...@ 525 / BE + 1
  • #30,426
  • Edited 1:22pm Jun 28, 2011 1:21pm | Edited 1:22pm
Quoting VennD
...@ 525 / BE + 1
Closed !! PA stagnant.... watching now..
  • #30,427
  • Jun 28, 2011 2:00pm Jun 28, 2011 2:00pm
SYDNEY (MarketWatch) -- A Greek debt default wouldn't have the same financial ramifications as the 2008 collapse of Lehman Brothers, a senior official at Australia's central bank said Tuesday.
"The linkages of Greece, at least financially, to the rest of the world, there are not that many of them and they are fairly well known," said Guy Debelle, assistant governor of financial markets at the Reserve Bank of Australia in a panel discussion after a speech.
Debelle noted that while Lehman caught investors by surprise, a default for Greece has become a reasonable expectation as a possibility.


PS...Were still in a down trend,,right? Looking to sell here soon 1.056 tops out my Daily TL
  • #30,428
  • Jun 28, 2011 6:19pm Jun 28, 2011 6:19pm
...Careful... don't go into the trap...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdix4h_01.gif Size: 53 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: usdix4h_02.gif Size: 57 KB
  • #30,429
  • Jun 28, 2011 6:59pm Jun 28, 2011 6:59pm
... So early ? Now ?? Add-in whatever...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au1h_01.gif Size: 47 KB
  • #30,430
  • Edited 7:16pm Jun 28, 2011 7:13pm | Edited 7:16pm
Those guys had sold ( Euro + GBP ) and bought AUD..

attached :

1) EUR/AUD 30m tf

2) GBP/AUD 30m tf
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: euraud30m_tf.gif Size: 35 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpaud30m_01.gif Size: 39 KB
  • #30,431
  • Edited 7:43pm Jun 28, 2011 7:39pm | Edited 7:43pm
..... Prepare contingency plan .. coz forex is full with uncertainties.. ( Look at that USD Index)... Seems like something is going on the other way round..
  • #30,432
  • Edited 8:08pm Jun 28, 2011 7:53pm | Edited 8:08pm
... On a downtrend... if u can see a white body candle OPEN = LOW , that signify a reversal and start of a bull rally. The larger the candle.. the significant it will be. There is one standing above that fib 0.00% (1h tf) ... but very small... I took that as weak.. however .. a signal is already given. (Open 538 = Low 538 ).
  • #30,433
  • Jun 28, 2011 7:54pm Jun 28, 2011 7:54pm
Quoting VennD
..... Prepare contingency plan .. coz forex is full with uncertainties.. ( Look at that USD Index)... Seems like something is going on the other way round..
Everyone is preparing for the Greek Euphoria.. Problem is that its the people that have to change not the bailout.
GBP has given up again its strength against the AUD.
Another challenge at 1.5100? More than likely will come from GBP weakness than AUD strength.

On a political note we are seeing the emergence of the Australian Greens power in the senate and their philosophy is Tax Tax and more Tax.
This could be damaging for mining and business in general, so whilst Australia's is relying on mining for its prop up this could be a stab in the heart to our exporter.
  • #30,434
  • Edited 8:46pm Jun 28, 2011 8:29pm | Edited 8:46pm
Quoting lasty
Everyone is preparing for the Greek Euphoria.. Problem is that its the people that have to change not the bailout.
GBP has given up again its strength against the AUD.
Another challenge at 1.5100? More than likely will come from GBP weakness than AUD strength.

On a political note we are seeing the emergence of the Australian Greens power in the senate and their philosophy is Tax Tax and more Tax.
This could be damaging for mining and business in general, so whilst Australia's is relying on mining for its prop up this could be a stab in the...
... If some of u are Australian.... I do understand how u feel..... Last year... while everybody was buying AUD... I was busy scalping short against the trend (at that point in time). Numerous occasion I got those fake banana from AU.

I kept on shorting it because with the understanding that if prices of a pair increases extremely... it will rise the inflation rate much faster.. not accordingly to wages increment.

However.. Im a lone ranger... AUD keep on pushing up like nobody business.. Well... I thought .... if that is their choice.... go ahead... and suffer later.... Only did once i manage to join the herds to short it @ 1.1010.

Now... business as usual... that's all I know. Kind regards..lasty.
  • #30,435
  • Jun 28, 2011 10:51pm Jun 28, 2011 10:51pm
Quoting VennD
... If some of u are Australian.... I do understand how u feel..... Last year... while everybody was buying AUD... I was busy scalping short against the trend (at that point in time). Numerous occasion I got those fake banana from AU.

I kept on shorting it because with the understanding that if prices of a pair increases extremely... it will rise the inflation rate much faster.. not accordingly to wages increment.

However.. Im a lone ranger... AUD keep on pushing up like nobody business.. Well... I thought .... if that is their choice.......
Bob Brown (Greens Australian Leader and Senator) wants to slow down Australian mining resource sector.
Puts a dark cloud on foreign investment as well as job losses.
As for Coal mining, he wants to tax and curtail it.
Coal mining is Australia's biggest export.
The problem Australia has is a two speed economy.One that is reliant on our mining supporting other businesses.
Even if China grows it appears now that Greens objectives wont let it grow with it.
This is dangerous stuff and given the mixed messages with Mining tax and CO2 tax its hardly surprising that foreign investors may shy away until some clearer picture develops.
  • #30,436
  • Jun 28, 2011 11:46pm Jun 28, 2011 11:46pm
... with tight SL... Cheers !
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: au4h_02.gif Size: 47 KB
  • #30,437
  • Jun 29, 2011 3:28am Jun 29, 2011 3:28am
  •  aghast
  • | Joined Jun 2006 | Status: Fixed Income & Currencies Trader | 58 Posts
hi guys,

here's a possible short play in the aud/usd. resistance trendline touched in aud/usd with multiple lows/highs at this area. could be good for a few short pips with reasonable stop if a minor temporary top is established here. anyway here's the cahrt, target first support TL.
Attached Image
Fortune always favors the brave.
  • #30,438
  • Edited 8:27am Jun 29, 2011 8:12am | Edited 8:27am
.... Probably not yet to sell AU... There's a report due from US - I supppose hs bn released by now - MBA Mortgage Applications / Favouring USD /

= -5.9% ---> -2.7% ( 10-20pips moves up and down).

An hour later.... there're 2 reports due from US - Pending Home Sales & Crude Oil Stocks / I think favouring USD also (20-40 pips moves up and down)... Guess.. I'll be looking for a scalp short on AU from now on. However should all US data favouring to AUD..then.. the uptrend should be continue w/o a retracement down.

Watch that EUR/AUD & GBP/AUD.... I think they're about to turn their heads up... and of course other AUD related pairs.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: usdix4h_04.gif Size: 57 KB
  • #30,439
  • Edited 9:05am Jun 29, 2011 8:45am | Edited 9:05am
.. @ 627 ( Previous short @ 641 maintain ) with BE +1.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au1h_02.gif Size: 51 KB
  • #30,440
  • Jun 29, 2011 10:42am Jun 29, 2011 10:42am
1) US Pending Home sales (MoM) / -11.6% ---> +8.2% / Sell AU

2) US EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change / -1.7m ---> -4.4m / Buy AU

Note : Minor Votality ....yet favouring AUD... Hold long.
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