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AUD/USD

  • #29,121
  • Apr 1, 2011 10:43am Apr 1, 2011 10:43am
Quoting ely
You've said that so many times, and i'm wandering why you keep coming back

Are the toilets now expecting to get nobjoked?...is rate rise now on the cards..NFP were better then expected!

Target 0.9200
Sanks
Ely McShagger



Fri 1 Apr

The U.S. Federal Reserve "should not be too sanguine" in believing that the time to reverse easy monetary policy is a long way off and that it will be gradual, a top Fed official said on Friday.

"A stronger rebound in the economy or inflation than some now expect could require policy actions...
fuck you!

shut your mouth for ur 0.92/.88 calling with no brain.
No basis at all. I keep following and just lough when 'people like us' keep buy dip after the failure to break .9760 b4 but u keep telling people mentioning your target again n again.
Its look damm bloody stupid, seriously..sorry if u offenced...but its fact.

Check what is going on...game change brother...dun hope Aussie going to drop for the time being before it reach the sky......

Now tell me how aussie going to drop to your target number...from where? should from 1.04/1.05? tell me....what EW are telling you...wave 5 soon to end? mmmm...u r one of the joker overhere bro....

p/s : if i am not mistaken i did told if it break 1.03 do not ever yet to start your short until it reach one number......unless scalp...figure it out ( i posted some where ~ oct/Nov last year)...for those who remember i end for a while with mentioning the number that i like...what is that... 998?

good luck...

chow
  • #29,122
  • Apr 1, 2011 11:01am Apr 1, 2011 11:01am
Quoting spot

In the other hand, it might be too temptating for certain people to take advantage over weekends 3 day rollover rate, ...
He?
Is is Wendesday, yet?
  • #29,123
  • Apr 1, 2011 11:04am Apr 1, 2011 11:04am
short @1.0375

TP: 1.0000

SL: 1.05
  • #29,124
  • Apr 1, 2011 11:07am Apr 1, 2011 11:07am
Quoting sibajnok
short @1.0375

TP: 1.0000

SL: 1.05
Based on?
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #29,125
  • Apr 1, 2011 11:24am Apr 1, 2011 11:24am
Quoting USD-Bear
Based on?
Coin toss and random number generator.
Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #29,126
  • Apr 1, 2011 11:33am Apr 1, 2011 11:33am
Quoting Magix
Coin toss and random number generator.
Yes, getting little sick of all those certainties and un-based views here, wouldn't mind a wild bet but there has to be some reason I would say....
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #29,127
  • Apr 1, 2011 11:36am Apr 1, 2011 11:36am
Quoting USD-Bear
Yes, getting little sick of all those certainties and un-based views here, wouldn't mind a wild bet but there has to be some reason I would say....

I thought it only happen at Auslanco Thread.......
  • #29,128
  • Apr 1, 2011 11:42am Apr 1, 2011 11:42am
Quoting USD-Bear
Based on?
We tested the 1.0377 high again but there is no room for further gains towards 1.0400/1.0425 area, no strong volume, RSI is turning down.

A push below 1.0300/1.0325 would suggest that this 1.0377 retest is signal for a larger downside consolidation pattern.
  • #29,129
  • Apr 1, 2011 11:54am Apr 1, 2011 11:54am
Quoting USD-Bear
Yes, getting little sick of all those certainties and un-based views here, wouldn't mind a wild bet but there has to be some reason I would say....
Ah dude...

Somethings never change, somethings are never the same...

Yeah, I am a chart guy, so unless somebody throws down something that resembles a cognitive thought pattern, it's really not much to pay mind to...

I been hanging out at Reds Thread...where we the seniors talk with charts, juniors ask questions...

Some are too smart for market, and I think we all know how that ends up...

For the last couple weeks I been at this thread, I been showing the continued support for this pair, and continue to watch how each new level tries to be sold off for that next 500 pip move...

14 straight daily candles skyward later...it still goes on...

Sigh...

Well, at least it's Friday.....

Enjoy your weekend Mango!

Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #29,130
  • Apr 1, 2011 12:14pm Apr 1, 2011 12:14pm
Quoting sibajnok
We tested the 1.0377 high again but there is no room for further gains towards 1.0400/1.0425 area, no strong volume, RSI is turning down.

A push below 1.0300/1.0325 would suggest that this 1.0377 retest is signal for a larger downside consolidation pattern.
thanks sibajnok, I like to look at the AU and the US side both.
The AU side is definitely for the bulls when you look at the commodity side of things. What I saw today is that even periods of clear USD strength it did not touch this pair negatively which makes me wary for shorts.
But then Monday is a new day with new chances....
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #29,131
  • Apr 1, 2011 10:01pm Apr 1, 2011 10:01pm
I've been bullish for months on the Teflon and that will stay as long as the EMA 200 is pointing upwards.

Having said that looking below at the weekly chart price is close to the ceiling of the actual trade channel.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aud usd weekly.gif Size: 20 KB


If buyers turn up to support the Teflon as per chart then it will be again buy on dips.

Cheers
  • #29,132
  • Apr 2, 2011 3:58am Apr 2, 2011 3:58am
Quoting USD-Bear
thanks sibajnok, I like to look at the AU and the US side both.
The AU side is definitely for the bulls when you look at the commodity side of things. What I saw today is that even periods of clear USD strength it did not touch this pair negatively which makes me wary for shorts.
But then Monday is a new day with new chances....
I can confirm that Australians are shining, no question, everything is positive there.

Technically, if I take a very simple look at the AUD/USD chart (no matter it is H1 or H4 or Daily) it starts at bottom left hand corner and ends in the top right hand corner. It's an uptrend, still no question.

But if I examine the other side - USD -, EUR/USD is in uptrend, but there are some very important numbers from the past, like 03.22.'s high, which we already retested today, but there is also 2010.11.04.'s high (4281), which is close from here. These retests (as usually any tests) can stop upmove and can be a good point for turnover. And downgrades of Ireland and Portugal were completely ignored, I don't understand why, this can confirm my point of view next week.

If I take a look at an other major pair - GBP/USD -, H4, Daily or even weekly charts, I can see that there are almost as many white charts as black ones. Also a signal for me for a bull weekness.

I don't question bullish outlook, of course, and I agree with bull side traders that at least a long black chart (or two) is necessary to change the outlook and break the Daily trend line (or more if I examine H4 chart).

But for me it worths a try at this point with 1:2 R/R ratio.

Sorry for my bad English,

Good weekend for all,

sibajnok
  • #29,133
  • Apr 2, 2011 6:31am Apr 2, 2011 6:31am
"Australia's interest rates were not a factor in 2004 and, like today, the interest rate spread was heavily in our favour: the Reserve's cash rate was stable at 5.25 per cent from December 2003 to March 2005.
Our dollar nevertheless got the wobbles once the markets realised US rates were headed back up. It fell from almost US80¢ in mid-February 2004 to just over US68¢ by mid-May.
A test was due overnight with the release of US job numbers for March that were expected to show another 180,000 jobs created.

There is, however, a growing focus in the overseas markets now on the timing of rate rises. In Europe, an increase is already being signalled by the European Central Bank. And in the US, there is already non-official signalling going on. One of the members of the Fed's rate-setting committee, Minneapolis Federal Reserve president Narayana Kocherlakota, remarked on Thursday that the Fed could raise rates by half a percentage point by the end of this year. And another Fed regional president, Jeffrey Lacker, said the risk of the Fed keeping rates low for too long was ''very real''.
The Fed said last month - as it has been saying since it hit the zero rate mark in December 2008 - that interest rates can remain ''exceptionally low'' for an ''extended period''.

The Australian dollar's dive in 2004 tells us, however, that our currency can turn on a dime when the Fed declares a US rate rise is imminent. And a loss of US10¢ is not out of the question when it does happen."
  • #29,134
  • Apr 2, 2011 7:33am Apr 2, 2011 7:33am
looking for turning point from here.60 pips sl with 1.0201 first target.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au311.png Size: 39 KB
Gold Expedition Return This Year: -16.4%
  • #29,135
  • Apr 2, 2011 9:14am Apr 2, 2011 9:14am
good weekend
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aus.png Size: 31 KB
  • #29,136
  • Apr 3, 2011 2:18am Apr 3, 2011 2:18am
i only say : too hot mate, abnormally too hot
  • #29,137
  • Apr 3, 2011 7:54am Apr 3, 2011 7:54am
Quoting yakuzaking
i only say : too hot mate, abnormally too hot
ty
  • #29,138
  • Apr 3, 2011 12:24pm Apr 3, 2011 12:24pm
Quoting sibajnok
I can confirm that Australians are shining, no question, everything is positive there.

Technically, if I take a very simple look at the AUD/USD chart (no matter it is H1 or H4 or Daily) it starts at bottom left hand corner and ends in the top right hand corner. It's an uptrend, still no question.

But if I examine the other side - USD -, EUR/USD is in uptrend, but there are some very important numbers from the past, like 03.22.'s high, which we already retested today, but there is also 2010.11.04.'s high (4281), which is close from here. These...
Austalians are NOT shining. I deal with them every day. They're over here buying South West Florida Real Estate. They tell me they are ALL trying to get their $$$ out of Australia. They say they have the biggest Real Estate bubble in the world. Australia will crash just like we did...might be even worse since their country has nothing but a big pile of rocks
  • #29,139
  • Apr 3, 2011 12:27pm Apr 3, 2011 12:27pm
Quoting riko2705
good weekend
doji looks filled doesn't it? price ran back up to fill in the gap. What do you think?

I'm still going to short the crazy out of this one
  • #29,140
  • Apr 3, 2011 12:46pm Apr 3, 2011 12:46pm
Quoting budak baru
looking for turning point from here.60 pips sl with 1.0201 first target.
Sure does look like a turning point. I'm short at every resistance. Any worries about AudUsd closing this high? I mean there's no room from the top.
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