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Auction Market Theory and Market Profile

  • #1,221
  • Mar 28, 2011 8:36pm Mar 28, 2011 8:36pm
Quoting HiddenGap
We are in the midst of one big merge. The POCv trend is up as we have 2 up POCs in the last 3 days, but bigger picture is a large rotation.

* please note, I changed the start time back to 0300 on Sunday due to daylight savings in London. That means all other profile converted as well so the picture is not correct.
Aqua = Monthly (last 20 days)
Magenta = weekly (last 5 days)

KG
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  • #1,222
  • Mar 28, 2011 9:00pm Mar 28, 2011 9:00pm
Quoting kave
My VSA read & fib target is telling me up to 4180 (close to most of your VPOCs) then my AMT is projecting a reversal back down to 4000

Ah 4180, those big chunks of POCs there will make it bloody good resistance...


So buy to 4180 & sell from there...haha
Here are the charts, nice since both show margin of confluence as to where to wana go.

sorry by VSA i meant Wyckoff..

I posted this earlier in VSA thread..Wyckoff analysis
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ScreenHunter_16 Mar. 29 09.47.gif Size: 27 KB


The AMT view base on Robin Mesch context of merging
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  • #1,223
  • Mar 28, 2011 9:27pm Mar 28, 2011 9:27pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdx trends line 2008 2011.jpg Size: 98 KB


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdx trends line m15 from march 23.jpg Size: 119 KB


Here is a couple of charts of the usdx , the blue trend lines are monthly back from 2008 , and the yellow lines are m15 from march 23.
I tried the poc indi as well as trix, macd and better vol.
Notice the monthly toched 75.23 the trend from 2008
fishman356
  • #1,224
  • Mar 28, 2011 10:05pm Mar 28, 2011 10:05pm
Im thinking theres more room for down. This will be fun to watch. No trades taken. Id like to see how this plays out
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: bias.jpg Size: 95 KB
Markets are not efficient, rather they are effective - Jones
  • #1,225
  • Mar 28, 2011 11:02pm Mar 28, 2011 11:02pm
Quoting Bilstein
Oh wow, that EUR/USD sell off now!

Just a early Asia SO.
Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
  • #1,226
  • Mar 29, 2011 1:00am Mar 29, 2011 1:00am
Long by London 7am opening

Expect the momentum to carry upwards due to late buyers yesterday.

EU target to 4150 & 4180, initial risk to 4085

GU target to 6050 & 6110, initial risk 1.5995

edit: chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ScreenHunter_19 Mar. 29 14.02.gif Size: 44 KB
  • #1,227
  • Mar 29, 2011 1:17am Mar 29, 2011 1:17am
Quoting kave
Here are the charts, nice since both show margin of confluence as to where to wana go.

sorry by VSA i meant Wyckoff..

I posted this earlier in VSA thread..Wyckoff analysis
Attachment

The AMT view base on Robin Mesch context of merging
Attachment
Great analysis, i have d same view with u targeting 1.4170 which is last week weekly POC
  • #1,228
  • Mar 29, 2011 2:31am Mar 29, 2011 2:31am
I took a short @1.41312. Ill see where it leads.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: bias1.jpg Size: 199 KB
Markets are not efficient, rather they are effective - Jones
  • #1,229
  • Edited 3:13am Mar 29, 2011 3:01am | Edited 3:13am
Just something i was pondering for fun with regards to Robin Mesch context of merging & valuation in general

In this chart of GU EU side by side & use of naked eye to merge the 1st 2 profiles. we have the LUA.

Since High Usage Ledge is is below the LUA we assume Long of cause (comparative acceptance)

Out of this 2 pairs, which one IYHO have a better valuation?

Edit: (included the ledge & target)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ScreenHunter_21 Mar. 29 16.11.gif Size: 49 KB
  • #1,230
  • Mar 29, 2011 3:08am Mar 29, 2011 3:08am
Quoting kave
Just something i was pondering for fun with regards to Robin Mesch context of merging & valuation in general

In this chart of GU EU side by side & use of naked eye to merge the 1st 2 profiles. we have the LUA.

Since High Usage Ledge is is below the LUA we assume Long of cause (comparative acceptance)

Out of this 2 pairs, which one IYHO have a better valuation?

Attachment
Im not sure Im understanding the question?
Markets are not efficient, rather they are effective - Jones
  • #1,231
  • Mar 29, 2011 3:14am Mar 29, 2011 3:14am
Quoting mzvega
Im not sure Im understanding the question?

If I was comparing one to each other, I would think eu has more a b shape profile (long liquidation) and the other chart P shape(short covering). But Im not sure I got the question.
Markets are not efficient, rather they are effective - Jones
  • #1,232
  • Mar 29, 2011 3:20am Mar 29, 2011 3:20am
Quoting kave
Long by London 7am opening

Expect the momentum to carry upwards due to late buyers yesterday.

EU target to 4150 & 4180, initial risk to 4085

GU target to 6050 & 6110, initial risk 1.5995

edit: chart
Attachment
right now... i need 4150 badly.... and go home...
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...
  • #1,233
  • Mar 29, 2011 3:21am Mar 29, 2011 3:21am
Quoting mzvega
I took a short @1.41312. Ill see where it leads.
Well in an auction market u would find buyers let say, looking for value. e.g Cheap or expensive, relative price & acceptance & so on. once buyers are clear of the perception of value, they either choose to commit or stay out.....
  • #1,234
  • Mar 29, 2011 3:22am Mar 29, 2011 3:22am
Quoting bandung
right now... i need 4150 badly.... and go home...
god bless...me too ..haha

& bloody nice chart i must say, just turn on the lights a little...

edit, dont worry i just spotted a ND bar on 30m, oops NS i mean
  • #1,235
  • Mar 29, 2011 3:34am Mar 29, 2011 3:34am
Quoting mzvega
If I was comparing one to each other, I would think eu has more a b shape profile (long liquidation) and the other chart P shape(short covering). But Im not sure I got the question.
hmm i like your answer...
  • #1,236
  • Mar 29, 2011 3:36am Mar 29, 2011 3:36am
Quoting kave
god bless...me too ..haha

& bloody nice chart i must say, just turn on the lights a little...

edit, dont worry i just spotted a ND bar on 30m, oops NS i mean
haha... there is a light ... @the right side
...
  • #1,237
  • Mar 29, 2011 3:53am Mar 29, 2011 3:53am
Quoting kave
Long by London 7am opening

Expect the momentum to carry upwards due to late buyers yesterday.

EU target to 4150 & 4180, initial risk to 4085

GU target to 6050 & 6110, initial risk 1.5995

edit: chart
Attachment
Waiting for 4150 gives me heart attack ..

EU; Close 1st exposure with +33pips, stops move to BE for remaining.
GU; positive +10 for now...draw-down just now was about 19 pips..
  • #1,238
  • Mar 29, 2011 4:15am Mar 29, 2011 4:15am
Quoting bandung
right now... i need 4150 badly.... and go home...
she dont want 4150... my ts @ 4125 touched...

but still can sing this song...

Inserted Video
...
  • #1,239
  • Edited 6:03am Mar 29, 2011 4:51am | Edited 6:03am
If price doesnt stall @ DIBL 1.40872 my first tp target is @1.40731, then @1.40589, then @1.4036
My bias will probably change for the us session. But for now...........
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: tp.jpg Size: 185 KB
Markets are not efficient, rather they are effective - Jones
  • #1,240
  • Mar 29, 2011 6:36am Mar 29, 2011 6:36am
Quoting kave
Waiting for 4150 gives me heart attack ..

EU; Close 1st exposure with +33pips, stops move to BE for remaining.
GU; positive +10 for now...draw-down just now was about 19 pips..
All close out EU net +33 &

GU -2 after seeing that GMT 9 hour bar which is confirmation of previous bar hidden selling, it rack my nerves & also my rules of staying in a trade more then 3 hours when price still stalling...
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