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AUD/USD

  • #28,921
  • Mar 22, 2011 3:58am Mar 22, 2011 3:58am
Anyone, who looks bearish for AUD/USD in the long terms...?
  • #28,922
  • Mar 22, 2011 4:19am Mar 22, 2011 4:19am
Quoting Pham
Anyone, who looks bearish for AUD/USD in the long terms...?
i am convinced that everyone looks bearish on AUUS in the long term.
  • #28,923
  • Mar 22, 2011 4:25am Mar 22, 2011 4:25am
Quoting avalonyu
i am convinced that everyone looks bearish on AUUS in the long term.
Am generally bearish on this pair too but the Aussie bull is too strong to mess with.
  • #28,924
  • Mar 22, 2011 4:29am Mar 22, 2011 4:29am
Quoting avalonyu
i am convinced that everyone looks bearish on AUUS in the long term.
Could you tell me a chart? How are you thinking bearish, my friend.

Thanks.
  • #28,925
  • Mar 22, 2011 6:53am Mar 22, 2011 6:53am
Quoting Pham
Could you tell me a chart? How are you thinking bearish, my friend.

Thanks.
i think fundemental aspect is more reliable than a 'Chart', currently it is hardly to trade this pair.
Due to the low interest rate in US, such a high interest rate for AU obviously can boost it and hold it in this level. But how about after US increase the rate?
many things need to be concerned, japan's recovery will need AU's help, coz AU is the heaven of raw materials. Additionally, AU is still enjoying chinese growth.
Huge bubble here..
  • #28,926
  • Mar 22, 2011 6:56am Mar 22, 2011 6:56am
Quoting Pham
Could you tell me a chart? How are you thinking bearish, my friend.

Thanks.
for short term. just some of my poor opinions.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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And for EU

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #28,927
  • Mar 22, 2011 7:35am Mar 22, 2011 7:35am
After a sharp drop to 0.9700 price immediately bounced up and now meets downward trendline.
Trying to open some short positions here and expecting for price to retrace down to support 0.9970.
https://lh4.googleusercontent.com/-Q...audusd_d10.png
Regards
  • #28,928
  • Mar 22, 2011 8:24am Mar 22, 2011 8:24am
Quoting suirad
After a sharp drop to 0.9700 price immediately bounced up and now meets downward trendline.
Trying to open some short positions here and expecting for price to retrace down to support 0.9970.
https://lh4.googleusercontent.com/-Q...audusd_d10.png
Regards
Mate, Maybe you're right in this case.

Thanks.
  • #28,929
  • Mar 22, 2011 8:26am Mar 22, 2011 8:26am
Quoting avalonyu
i think fundemental aspect is more reliable than a 'Chart', currently it is hardly to trade this pair.
Due to the low interest rate in US, such a high interest rate for AU obviously can boost it and hold it in this level. But how about after US increase the rate?
many things need to be concerned, japan's recovery will need AU's help, coz AU is the heaven of raw materials. Additionally, AU is still enjoying chinese growth.
Huge bubble here..

Thank you, mate. I agree.

But the question "when" is too big to answer. We are now thinking of the bearishness in this pair but do not know when it comes.
  • #28,930
  • Mar 22, 2011 9:03am Mar 22, 2011 9:03am
Quoting Pham
Thank you, mate. I agree.

But the question "when" is too big to answer. We are now thinking of the bearishness in this pair but do not know when it comes.
Sorry buddy
this WHEN could not told by anyone, ask the market.
  • #28,931
  • Mar 22, 2011 10:30am Mar 22, 2011 10:30am
Quoting Pham
Mate, Maybe you're right in this case.

Thanks.
Thanks mate
  • #28,932
  • Mar 22, 2011 11:38am Mar 22, 2011 11:38am
goldman sachs put a 1.50 target on the eur/usd......but I see a fall out in the euro zone if this happens, with some country's leaving...so I dont know if this would be good for the euro or bad. Although, I DO I have a feeling the euro has already priced this in...so maybe this will be good if greece and ireland leave. This might send the euro higher to 1.50. In response to the trendline, I notice that sometimes the bulls like to break these lines and go higher, same with aud/usd. Tough call....you dont wanna fight the trend. Oil is the key I think for the aud/usd..which would mean all eyes on Yemen as of now. Japan will put a crimp in the aud/usd so that will take a way a little bull pressure. BUT the real concern is China, kinda off the radar now....with middle east, and nobody is thinking of a rate hike, but I think one is coming. So I am slightly bearish. I rate hike cut a cool 200 pips off the aud/usd. Also the yuan RRR takes effect on the 25 this march, something like 250 billion yuan.
Don't be fooled by randomness
  • #28,933
  • Mar 22, 2011 4:33pm Mar 22, 2011 4:33pm
A/U isn't going to fall just like that again (short-term), like it did last week, unless there's another disaster coming. I'm neutral to bullish for this/next week (yes I was bearish before the big drop, which I did not expect to be that strong, neither the bounce back to be that strong, as if nothing happened!). No trades for me, I don't want to go long after the strong run, I'll probably wait for a nice level to short again (1.02?)
  • #28,934
  • Mar 22, 2011 6:28pm Mar 22, 2011 6:28pm
Quoting bazooki
A/U isn't going to fall just like that again (short-term), like it did last week, unless there's another disaster coming. I'm neutral to bullish for this/next week (yes I was bearish before the big drop, which I did not expect to be that strong, neither the bounce back to be that strong, as if nothing happened!). No trades for me, I don't want to go long after the strong run, I'll probably wait for a nice level to short again (1.02?)
Indeed, 1.02 level very important, respected few times. huge amount of orders here. hope for more sellers than buyers. sell limit here.

Regards
  • #28,935
  • Mar 22, 2011 10:48pm Mar 22, 2011 10:48pm
Quoting suirad
Indeed, 1.02 level very important, respected few times. huge amount of orders here. hope for more sellers than buyers. sell limit here.

Regards
Seems to have found support at 1.006.

Long 1.0075
SL at BE
TP 1.0150 (March 11 high)
  • #28,936
  • Mar 23, 2011 2:42am Mar 23, 2011 2:42am
short 1.0097
  • #28,937
  • Mar 23, 2011 2:56am Mar 23, 2011 2:56am
Quoting ely
short 1.0097

Do you have a chart to make sense, mate?

and what is your target for the short?

Thank you, mate.
  • #28,938
  • Mar 23, 2011 3:32am Mar 23, 2011 3:32am
Quoting skipismad
Seems to have found support at 1.006.

Long 1.0075
SL at BE
TP 1.0150 (March 11 high)
yes, struggling to go down for more, need to break this for nice drop.
Regards
  • #28,939
  • Mar 23, 2011 5:28am Mar 23, 2011 5:28am
Quoting Pham
Do you have a chart to make sense, mate?

and what is your target for the short?

Thank you, mate.
I think his target is sub-0.9 if i understood his previous posts correctly.
  • #28,940
  • Mar 23, 2011 6:16am Mar 23, 2011 6:16am
Quoting Pham
Do you have a chart to make sense, mate?

and what is your target for the short?
Thank you, mate.

Hi Pham...i have already posted a daily chart.
Don't trade off the minute charts, unless i'm pipping.

Accumulating at the moment, after getting out recently...so am hoping it gives a nice op for topping up, before the drips begin

I enjoy the collection at circa 9700/9800...but overall like the 9200 area.
Sanks
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