Bullheaded Probability Trading

This is a gift for all of you on this forum, I really appreciate for your help.

Although my English sucks I will explain my method as clearly as I can.

This trading style will only work for those who understand the principle which behinds it.

Principle
1 The losing pips in consolidation are equal to the winning pips in trend.
2 Based on point1, trend trader lose all in consolidation while counter-trend trader lose all in trend.
3 The only solution is to adjust your trading size NOT the strategy for in and out.
If you agree with above points then move on...

Strategy
TF:30M
Buy condition: EMA 21,55 cross up, close[1] > 144
Sell condition: EMA 21,55 cross down, close[1] < 144
SL: None but close buy when selling , vice versa
TP: Weekly Fibo R3/S3 (for buy/sell order)
MM:0.01 for every 1000 USD , add 0.01 after a lose trade , Max 0.07

Operation
Run a test on the pair you want then count the losing trades. EU,EJ are suggested.
If it ups to three continuous losses we will start to trade in next signal.

E.X
Red line= False signal
Green line = true siganl
Box= TP

Looking interesting ....

can you explain this "add 0.01 after a lose trade , Max 0.07" little more...

Arun...

Hi - thx for sharing. what's "close[1] > 144" mean?

did the lot size increase from .01 in the first red line to .04 in the green line?

Yes, you lose 50pips at 0.1 0.2 0.3 but win 200pips at 0.4 so you are profitable.

If you dont believe you can test it by yourself.

BTW, after TP hit stop trading for this week.

USE together

EU 30m

1000=0.01L

21 EMA cross 55 EMA above 144 EMA . Should be this.

>144 means closed bar >144MA

Thanks for posting the EA, I will test it out.

I am fascinated with martingale systems. I am trading a counter-trend system with controlled martingale. Yours is a trend-following system with controlled martingale. Might be good for me to trade both systems at the same time.

1. trend trading


2. range trading


EA download

MQ4 is not uploaded, No modification required.

Notes: used on EU 30M together, 4digits broker set slippage /10

By my experience, 90% EA on FF can not pass 2 years test due to incomplete or false design.

Here I present you one in Top 10%.

You will get even better result by testing it in every tick module.

Enjoy :-)

i get order send error 130 with these eas in ibfx and go markets but works with tdfx. i think you need to add work with ecn feature.

Hi,

ECN can not modify TP SL with the order send at the same time.

This version will send a naked order then do the modification.

ok thanks...

trend 7001

counter-trend 7002

100% foolproof trading machine...

About MM

For 1000,Use default setting.

For 5000, lot=0.05 addlot=0.05 lotmax=0.5

For 10000,lot=0.1 addlot=0.1 lotmax=1

.....clear?

no updates sir?

This is final version, over-fitting is in vain.

Your latest version is modifying tp/sl on every movement of price on an open order, both positive and negative movement. Flooding the logs and modifying orders too much. Just thought i'd let u know, something that should be addressed imo

Here's a snippet of such activity:

08:56:24 Avenger Fibo Final EURUSD_fx,M30: modify #1710994 sell 0.01 EURUSD_fx at 1.43066 sl: 1.43750 tp: 1.41159 ok
08:56:25 Avenger Fibo Final EURUSD_fx,M30: modify #1710994 sell 0.01 EURUSD_fx at 1.43066 sl: 1.43753 tp: 1.41162 ok
08:56:25 Avenger Fibo Final EURUSD_fx,M30: modify #1710994 sell 0.01 EURUSD_fx at 1.43066 sl: 1.43750 tp: 1.41159 ok
08:56:25 Avenger Fibo Final EURUSD_fx,M30: modify #1710994 sell 0.01 EURUSD_fx at 1.43066 sl: 1.43753 tp: 1.41162 ok
08:56:26 Avenger Fibo Final EURUSD_fx,M30: modify #1710994 sell 0.01 EURUSD_fx at 1.43066 sl: 1.43750 tp: 1.41159 ok
08:56:26 Avenger Fibo Final EURUSD_fx,M30: modify #1710994 sell 0.01 EURUSD_fx at 1.43066 sl: 1.43752 tp: 1.41161 ok
08:56:27 Avenger Fibo Final EURUSD_fx,M30: modify #1710994 sell 0.01 EURUSD_fx at 1.43066 sl: 1.43753 tp: 1.41162 ok
08:56:28 Avenger Fibo Final EURUSD_fx,M30: modify #1710994 sell 0.01 EURUSD_fx at 1.43066 sl: 1.43755 tp: 1.41164 ok
08:56:28 Avenger Fibo Final EURUSD_fx,M30: modify #1710994 sell 0.01 EURUSD_fx at 1.43066 sl: 1.43752 tp: 1.41161 ok
08:56:30 Avenger Fibo Final EURUSD_fx,M30: modify #1710994 sell 0.01 EURUSD_fx at 1.43066 sl: 1.43753 tp: 1.41162 ok
08:56:32 Avenger Fibo Final EURUSD_fx,M30: modify #1710994 sell 0.01 EURUSD_fx at 1.43066 sl: 1.43754 tp: 1.41163 ok
08:56:34 Avenger Fibo Final EURUSD_fx,M30: modify #1710994 sell 0.01 EURUSD_fx at 1.43066 sl: 1.43753 tp: 1.41162 ok
08:56:35 Avenger Fibo Final EURUSD_fx,M30: modify #1710994 sell 0.01 EURUSD_fx at 1.43066 sl: 1.43754 tp: 1.41163 ok
08:56:37 Avenger Fibo Final EURUSD_fx,M30: modify #1710994 sell 0.01 EURUSD_fx at 1.43066 sl: 1.43753 tp: 1.41162 ok
08:56:38 Avenger Fibo Final EURUSD_fx,M30: modify #1710994 sell 0.01 EURUSD_fx at 1.43066 sl: 1.43754 tp: 1.41163 ok
08:56:39 Avenger Fibo Final EURUSD_fx,M30: modify #1710994 sell 0.01 EURUSD_fx at 1.43066 sl: 1.43753 tp: 1.41162 ok
08:56:39 Avenger Fibo Final EURUSD_fx,M30: modify #1710994 sell 0.01 EURUSD_fx at 1.43066 sl: 1.43754 tp: 1.41163 ok
08:56:40 Avenger Fibo Final EURUSD_fx,M30: modify #1710994 sell 0.01 EURUSD_fx at 1.43066 sl: 1.43753 tp: 1.41162 ok
08:56:46 Avenger Fibo Final EURUSD_fx,M30: modify #1710994 sell 0.01 EURUSD_fx at 1.43066 sl: 1.43752 tp: 1.41161 ok
08:56:50 Avenger Fibo Final EURUSD_fx,M30: modify #1710994 sell 0.01 EURUSD_fx at 1.43066 sl: 1.43753 tp: 1.41162 ok
08:56:51 Avenger Fibo Final EURUSD_fx,M30: modify #1710994 sell 0.01 EURUSD_fx at 1.43066 sl: 1.43752 tp: 1.41161 ok
08:56:51 Avenger Fibo Final EURUSD_fx,M30: modify #1710994 sell 0.01 EURUSD_fx at 1.43066 sl: 1.43753 tp: 1.41162 ok
08:56:52 Avenger Fibo Final EURUSD_fx,M30: modify #1710994 sell 0.01 EURUSD_fx at 1.43066 sl: 1.43754 tp: 1.41163 ok

Yes this is the problem because that I coded SL for short position by considering the spread....

If spread changed SL changed, you can replace it with fixed spread, but neither of them can give a perfect solution for this spread problem.

This will sometimes casue " context busy " issue as well. But if you only runnning 2 EAs, it's not a big problem.

Nice system. But I guess we cant use both EA´s at the same time with a US brooker because of the rules first opened order must be first closed (and hedgning)
Elovv