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AUD/USD

  • #27,901
  • Feb 4, 2011 5:57am Feb 4, 2011 5:57am
Quoting longshot_nl
got same count.
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...07&postcount=2
Not really...the support is not traced adequately...line 1 should hit where's b and the decline where is the green line 2 (sideways).

The entry point is right but for your size you cant sustain a long there unless you are an institutional...therefore, i'd go short around there, waiting for the price correction
  • #27,902
  • Feb 4, 2011 7:39am Feb 4, 2011 7:39am
what the duck... is government playing the numbers?!
Logics do not apply in FOREX
  • #27,903
  • Feb 4, 2011 7:45am Feb 4, 2011 7:45am
looks like this will go towards 1.03 level
Logics do not apply in FOREX
  • #27,904
  • Feb 4, 2011 7:46am Feb 4, 2011 7:46am
looks like this will go towards 1.03 level
Logics do not apply in FOREX
  • #27,905
  • Feb 4, 2011 7:55am Feb 4, 2011 7:55am
Quoting bskwak1124
looks like this will go towards 1.03 level
The slaughtering hasn't finished yet...

(What a fucking joke is this pair)
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #27,906
  • Feb 4, 2011 7:59am Feb 4, 2011 7:59am
Quoting mrbandwidth
The slaughtering hasn't finished yet...

(What a fucking joke is this pair)

true that, plus the 9.0% unemployment rate? must be the government playing the numbers.... weekly, is showing head and shoulders..... crashing soon?
Logics do not apply in FOREX
  • #27,907
  • Feb 4, 2011 8:13am Feb 4, 2011 8:13am
Touched 1.0200

Congrats, Alki.
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #27,908
  • Feb 4, 2011 8:23am Feb 4, 2011 8:23am
short at 1.019... sl 25pips.... lets see......
Logics do not apply in FOREX
  • #27,909
  • Feb 4, 2011 8:28am Feb 4, 2011 8:28am
This was from ten days ago. The date of Feb 1st or 2nd saw 1.0140 resistance and not 1.0200. However this same date was a little turning date at that level and made around 100 pips retrace with 48 hours to pass through that level. Then needs correction, even i saw it later and upon, i exit all my lots long in Aussie.

Quoting Alki
Expecting next target for Aussie at 1.0200 level (200 pips above parity) before short to 0.9830 level then maybe to the famous Ely 0.8900 target. Actually, i don't see any short at all expect obvious small retrace. Timing indicating february 1st -2nd, maybe before. I could be wrong because nothing is sure in trading, but i put already my plan to execution according to this calculation. I wait and see if wrong or right. From now money management takes control of the trades.

Enjoy your trades.

In a next analyse to give more details, 1.0185 and 1.0195 are hard to pass through as expected. There is not slaughter in Aussie. Some turbulence zone were expected and people inside trades have to fasten seatbelt, that's it.

Quoting Alki
I'll see what happen from today 11h00 EST. I'll see if my whole analyze is correct or not. Up to now, price is correct and timing does so.

If the 1.0200 level is touched at indicated time, it needs confirmation for falling. Its behavior when rising will say many things, otherwise 1.0350 could aspirate aussie easily. 1.0200 level is in three prices: 1.0220, 1.0185 and 1.0195.

Falling means three resistance: parity itself, 0.9835 and 0.9540.

Nothing is sure in trading. W. D. GANN spoke many times about the unexpected. The unexpected is the...
What changes from ten days to now? Nothing. My plan is still the same. I just need confirmation to enter short. It will be better after 12h00 EST which could give later a gap on sunday forex opening and this needs a special decision. What i can do, is enter for only one lot or two and if ok, i'll add at forex opening. It will depend on the behavior of Aussie during this time.


Enjoy your trades.
Little luck is forex water. Learn all Trading strategies, then forget them.
  • #27,910
  • Feb 4, 2011 8:31am Feb 4, 2011 8:31am
Quoting mrbandwidth
Touched 1.0200

Congrats, Alki.
Thanks, but analyse still running lol
Little luck is forex water. Learn all Trading strategies, then forget them.
  • #27,911
  • Feb 4, 2011 9:12am Feb 4, 2011 9:12am
If we can get a close below 1.013 I may think about shorts on Sunday night.
  • #27,912
  • Feb 4, 2011 9:24am Feb 4, 2011 9:24am
Quoting Venice
If we can get a close below 1.013 I may think about shorts on Sunday night.
short on sunday night ,how u do that ? the market is close my friend btw nice to know u all
  • #27,913
  • Feb 4, 2011 10:24am Feb 4, 2011 10:24am
Quoting hendy378
short on sunday night ,how u do that ? the market is close my friend btw nice to know u all
What? No it's not. My broker opens 6pm EST. Some open earlier. Aussie/Tokyo session it is actually 'Monday' there :-)

It looks like I may get my wish...


Petra... you still hanging around? Are you still in your short trade from earlier this week? Looks like we may finally get the go ahead...
  • #27,914
  • Feb 4, 2011 10:28am Feb 4, 2011 10:28am
Profits Booked, will short again @ 1.02XX - 1.022X (assuming we get there)
  • #27,915
  • Feb 4, 2011 12:42pm Feb 4, 2011 12:42pm
Quoting Venice
What? No it's not. My broker opens 6pm EST. Some open earlier. Aussie/Tokyo session it is actually 'Monday' there :-)

It looks like I may get my wish...


Petra... you still hanging around? Are you still in your short trade from earlier this week? Looks like we may finally get the go ahead...
I'm not sure about it... it's bouncing on the 23% retracement...
  • #27,916
  • Feb 4, 2011 1:55pm Feb 4, 2011 1:55pm
Quoting mrbandwidth
The slaughtering hasn't finished yet...

(What a fucking joke is this pair)
Why are you trading it then?
Interest rates are kings...more so in this current climate
Biggest joker
  • #27,917
  • Feb 4, 2011 5:33pm Feb 4, 2011 5:33pm
5 may have already been met.
my count could well be wrong since this is an ending diagornal.
wave 3 could just have been completed, with complete wave 5 to go.
We'll probably know on monday.
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  • #27,918
  • Feb 5, 2011 2:59am Feb 5, 2011 2:59am
Quoting longshot_nl
5 may have already been met.
my count could well be wrong since this is an ending diagornal.
wave 3 could just have been completed, with complete wave 5 to go.
We'll probably know on monday.
hehehe,,
I almost touched sell your limit, I think it's a good analysis, you may not luck,
only an analysis, and I'm always wrong, don't follow me,
  • #27,919
  • Feb 5, 2011 4:01am Feb 5, 2011 4:01am
Quoting andelumut
hehehe,,
I almost touched sell your limit, I think it's a good analysis, you may not luck,
Often wave 5 has a gap.
Monday there may be a gap up.
The other thing is, it might still be a 3 top structure or an ending diagornal.
So i might also still get lucky.
The target is insane.
here my long term charts.
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  • #27,920
  • Feb 5, 2011 4:51am Feb 5, 2011 4:51am
another possible scenario...
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