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AUD/USD

  • #27,121
  • Jan 11, 2011 7:34pm Jan 11, 2011 7:34pm
Ug. And now I remember why I don't like Grape Soda. Yuck...
  • #27,122
  • Jan 11, 2011 8:53pm Jan 11, 2011 8:53pm
is everyone thinking LONGS are going to break....

9869/70.... will you give us some excitement
  • #27,123
  • Jan 11, 2011 9:01pm Jan 11, 2011 9:01pm
short at 9863 again
Old Habits Die Hard.
  • #27,124
  • Jan 11, 2011 9:05pm Jan 11, 2011 9:05pm
Quoting Shaggy_rock
short at 9863 again
I took short roughly at the same area.. SL 98.850 TP 98.00
  • #27,125
  • Jan 11, 2011 9:06pm Jan 11, 2011 9:06pm
Quoting monarch
is everyone thinking LONGS are going to break....

9869/70.... will you give us some excitement

There's some resistance here but rather think it will consolidate and then break through. Nice side by side bear 'n bull candles (meaning more north) + S&P is looking strong for north. UJ selling off (carry trade working up a head of steam).

AU is still market's high yielding poster-child and a fair-value buy in the current market conditions (EU and USD both being a tad stinky).

We'll see, but won't be too surprised if get a large dose of up traffic all around this next session.
Attached Image
  • #27,126
  • Jan 11, 2011 9:10pm Jan 11, 2011 9:10pm
Quoting Jade Gate
There's some resistance here but rather think it will consolidate and then break through. Nice side by side bear 'n bull candles (meaning more north) + S&P is looking strong for north. UJ selling off (carry trade working up a head of steam).

AU is still market's high yielding poster-child and a fair-value buy in the current market conditions (EU and USD both being a tad stinky).

We'll see, but won't be too surprised if get a large dose of up traffic all around this next session.
Thanks for the explanation, I was thinking a drop back to around 9844/34 for some more buying.

Let's see if it can break this last hour low at 9851 for the quick drop, for now it is very slow here.
  • #27,127
  • Jan 11, 2011 9:15pm Jan 11, 2011 9:15pm
Quoting monarch
Thanks for the explanation, I was thinking a drop back to around 9844/34 for some more buying.

Let's see if it can break this last hour low at 9851 for the quick drop, for now it is very slow here.

See the light pink EMA in my chart above? It's very likely to hold around .9850
  • #27,128
  • Jan 11, 2011 9:20pm Jan 11, 2011 9:20pm
Worth watching the PA on UJ, both AU and NZD are sensitive to price movement on UJ (carry trade and risk appetite). Also watch gold, it has some interesting confluence of ema's here, these should support a strong north move in the coming session. Asia may just hold price steady here and let London drive it.
Attached Image
  • #27,129
  • Jan 11, 2011 10:09pm Jan 11, 2011 10:09pm
The play on the EUR/AUD cross will be critical to the PA on AU today, conflicting scenarios depending on which time frame chart you look at.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: euraud1d.gif Size: 20 KB
  • #27,130
  • Jan 11, 2011 10:12pm Jan 11, 2011 10:12pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.jpg Size: 66 KB


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: slv.jpg Size: 75 KB




my remaining aud long got taken @ BE earlier
  • #27,131
  • Jan 11, 2011 10:35pm Jan 11, 2011 10:35pm
Just breached 98.50 but don't know whether it'll hold, already moved my SL to positive so I'm a bit relaxed now... let's see whether it'll go down to this morning's level
  • #27,132
  • Jan 11, 2011 10:39pm Jan 11, 2011 10:39pm
Quoting redsword11
Attachment

Attachment



my remaining aud long got taken @ BE earlier

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.jpg Size: 61 KB




closed 2 and leaving one open @ BE



slv going well too
  • #27,133
  • Jan 11, 2011 11:21pm Jan 11, 2011 11:21pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: cr.jpg Size: 66 KB



ANYONE TRADE CRUDE?


possible short
  • #27,134
  • Jan 12, 2011 12:36am Jan 12, 2011 12:36am
Quoting redsword11
Attachment


ANYONE TRADE CRUDE?


possible short

oil tends to go up when the USD goes south (because US Dollars are used to settle oil contracts, if the Dollar heads south, oil prices go up to compensate, so essentially they are getting the same money for a barrel regardless of what happens with the USD)

the chart looks like a continuation pattern for more north (but maybe that is my USD bear bias for today talking )
  • #27,135
  • Jan 12, 2011 12:44am Jan 12, 2011 12:44am
Will Enter a Short at 0.9910
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1.gif Size: 23 KB
  • #27,136
  • Jan 12, 2011 1:02am Jan 12, 2011 1:02am
Quoting Jade Gate
The play on the EUR/AUD cross will be critical to the PA on AU today, conflicting scenarios depending on which time frame chart you look at.
Isnt AU and EU that decide EUR/AUD PA, instead of the opposite?
  • #27,137
  • Jan 12, 2011 1:07am Jan 12, 2011 1:07am
Quoting AcidH4X
Will Enter a Short at 0.9910

courageous best of luck with shorting this puppy today

rather think we may see a daily close around parity

it's presently looking to clear resistance and the wedge
Attached Image
  • #27,138
  • Jan 12, 2011 1:11am Jan 12, 2011 1:11am
Quoting belief
Isnt AU and EU that decide EUR/AUD PA, instead of the opposite?
There is a symbiosis of relationship of course, however, (and imo) the PA on the cross drives price on AU more than the USD. Just my take on it, others may differ.
  • #27,139
  • Edited 1:17am Jan 12, 2011 1:14am | Edited 1:17am
Quoting AcidH4X
Will Enter a Short at 0.9910
Could be a good shorter term one too..a bit of stuff co-insides there....
how about a long at 65, if it retraces there.
Ohh, what's with all the shark teeth on your chart???
Biggest joker
  • #27,140
  • Jan 12, 2011 1:33am Jan 12, 2011 1:33am
Quoting AcidH4X
Will Enter a Short at 0.9910
good position and timing for sell AU,,
great patience,,,

what is now the right time to sell AU ?
Attached Image
only an analysis, and I'm always wrong, don't follow me,
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