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  • #359,681
  • Jan 6, 2011 8:10am Jan 6, 2011 8:10am
Quoting cloggie
There is not going to be one, accumulating for tomorrow. Yes the IC was slightly worse, however the monthly was actually better. Always look behind the numbers to judge the impact.

Peripheral spreads widening slightly in the EU, that is not going to help any longs beyond a scalp either. T-bills yields down slightly.
What numbers do you mean? How big is the difference between forecast and actual ones?
  • #359,682
  • Jan 6, 2011 8:11am Jan 6, 2011 8:11am
Me too. thought it is breakout and rush in...
Good day, I'm okay. Bad day, I'm okay. What's the difference?
  • #359,683
  • Jan 6, 2011 8:12am Jan 6, 2011 8:12am
Quoting Vladimir1987
Bought to quickly... In at 3124 looking for 3140 to 3160..

1H closed for longs, have my sl at 3100. Will see if i survive.
I've done the same but without stop-loss...
Now I keep waiting for the movement up.
  • #359,684
  • Jan 6, 2011 8:12am Jan 6, 2011 8:12am
Didnt close the fake up waited a bit.. Gave a bit more back...
  • #359,685
  • Jan 6, 2011 8:13am Jan 6, 2011 8:13am
USD/CHF has started its move down - Sovereign Debt is on the table - Traders are trying to keep the Eur below 1.3125 up until 10am for the 21 Million pay out on the digital options - If the spot is not below 1.3125 at 10am EASTERN when the digital options expire then no pay out.

USD/CHF has left the train station
  • #359,686
  • Jan 6, 2011 8:13am Jan 6, 2011 8:13am
still in the box 23 it was hit and run cash in the green, other wise u might fookup

no tops no bottoms naked with lovely ??????? enjoy
  • #359,687
  • Jan 6, 2011 8:14am Jan 6, 2011 8:14am
Quoting rome777
What numbers do you mean? How big is the difference between forecast and actual ones?

Not quite sure I understand your question, the 4 week average is the lowest in 7 months, so the small increase in IC is not having the effect most readers here would think without looking at the detail of the report. As the monthly average is holding steady for the first time in 7 months the trend is in the right direction, which coincides with yesterday's numbers. As there was no surprise in today's numbers it will have little to no effect on the direction here and we can continue to accumulate for tomorrow.

I don't see any trades worth the risk right now, NY opens in 15 mins and I am watching what they make of this. This is going to be a yoyo for a bit in a range until some vols will break this.

Taking a trade here is a punt in anticipation and not something I do.
  • #359,688
  • Jan 6, 2011 8:16am Jan 6, 2011 8:16am
Quoting Vladimir1987
Didnt close the fake up waited a bit.. Gave a bit more back...
How many get cheated...LOL
Good day, I'm okay. Bad day, I'm okay. What's the difference?
  • #359,689
  • Jan 6, 2011 8:18am Jan 6, 2011 8:18am
Quoting aiyoyo
How many get cheated...LOL
Hehehe should hold for longer look at this now..
  • #359,690
  • Jan 6, 2011 8:20am Jan 6, 2011 8:20am
Closed all my trades at 1.3085.
Definitely not going long on this but will be considering any good retracement (if any) to reload and/or price to break well below 1.3085 to go short again.
  • #359,691
  • Jan 6, 2011 8:22am Jan 6, 2011 8:22am
Quoting cloggie
Not quite sure I understand your question, the 4 week average is the lowest in 7 months, so the small increase in IC is not having the effect most readers here would think without looking at the detail of the report. As the monthly average is holding steady for the first time in 7 months the trend is in the right direction, which coincides with yesterday's numbers. As there was no surprise in today's numbers it will have little to no effect on the direction here and we can continue to accumulate for tomorrow.

I don't see any trades worth the risk...
I trade intraday, so, as for me I appreciate even small trends.
Concerning US open, as I hope, they will support the movement up.
  • #359,692
  • Jan 6, 2011 8:23am Jan 6, 2011 8:23am
Quoting Vladimir1987
Hehehe should hold for longer look at this now..
chicken out...gL
Good day, I'm okay. Bad day, I'm okay. What's the difference?
  • #359,693
  • Jan 6, 2011 8:23am Jan 6, 2011 8:23am
Quoting rome777
I trade intraday, so, as for me I appreciate even small trends.
Concerning US open, as I hope, they will support the movement up.

We are exactly at the 50 retrace of the day here. Not a high probability setup for a long right before the open. If you missed the retrace on the rejection of the TL, then wait for the next setup, if you traded the rejection, now is the point to keep a close eye on PA to see if you need to move your stops.

Today is the last day of low vols, tomorrow the normal action resumes for the next 4 months or so.
  • #359,694
  • Jan 6, 2011 8:23am Jan 6, 2011 8:23am
Quoting BrunargarFx
Closed all my trades at 1.3085.
Definitely not going long on this but will be considering any good retracement (if any) to reload and/or price to break well below 1.3085 to go short again.
Sorry - my mistake, this was a private msg, it does not bring anything to the table.
  • #359,695
  • Jan 6, 2011 8:25am Jan 6, 2011 8:25am
Quoting snatch
this what see; (people on ff dont listen thats why they never learn)

as I said last month wait below 2950... see pic, the red box is where the sellers are... if you want to sell in fx you always sell when its high (i.e. 3400)..

otherwise if you sell now, the chances are they will take you for a ride up on the rollercoaster like last month; i am just becoming conservative, ive learnt my lesson, 1. not be a hero, 2. not to use indicators but common sense

good luck

anna

PS the pic is from www.hicsfx.co.uk
newsletter and...
thanks Anna! that's also what I try to do usually!
I just recently included the futures' volume analysis and works pretty good.
Good luck to you too!



P.S.
I have friends that always prefer to stay out of the market when big hands are back to work after holidays.
  • #359,696
  • Jan 6, 2011 8:25am Jan 6, 2011 8:25am
possible pre-nfp retracement levels. enjoy the ride.
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  • #359,697
  • Jan 6, 2011 8:27am Jan 6, 2011 8:27am
Quoting aiyoyo
chicken out...gL
I know but its hard to go against the trend despite the signals..

We touched 3130 and high volume on netdania. As seen rejection, wonder if its stopping...
  • #359,698
  • Jan 6, 2011 8:28am Jan 6, 2011 8:28am
nice view on cable !
gu has almost recovered : looks like an ironical smile.
  • #359,699
  • Jan 6, 2011 8:28am Jan 6, 2011 8:28am
Quoting cloggie
We are exactly at the 50 retrace of the day here. Not a high probability setup for a long right before the open. If you missed the retrace on the rejection of the TL, then wait for the next setup, if you traded the rejection, now is the point to keep a close eye on PA to see if you need to move your stops.

Today is the last day of low vols, tomorrow the normal action resumes for the next 4 months or so.
What movement do you mean for 50% retracement?
  • #359,700
  • Jan 6, 2011 8:30am Jan 6, 2011 8:30am
Quoting Vladimir1987
I know but its hard to go against the trend despite the signals..

We touched 3130 and high volume on netdania. As seen rejection, wonder if its stopping...
you will be told after the fact by some gurus, after we already moved a couple of hundred pips in either direction.
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