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AUD/USD

  • #26,701
  • Jan 5, 2011 8:06pm Jan 5, 2011 8:06pm
Quoting freqzz
care to explain? im confused. i thought u said volatile?
You are late , brother !...

The votality issue is today but tht i take it as personal belongings. However if u stay put in the Sellers boat, ur safe.

Tomorrow is more volatile on this AU and who are greedy can follow me to trade another pair usdcad.
  • #26,702
  • Jan 5, 2011 8:14pm Jan 5, 2011 8:14pm
As 0.9660 is not classed as a strong enough support, expect it to hit the 0.9540 PDQ, once the 0.9700 area is breached.
Target 0.8600-0.8900


"0.9724 worked as support several times in recent months and is the next line of support.

Lower, 0.9660 is now only a minor support, but it’s still significant. Below, 0.9540 proved to be a very strong line, being a swing low a few months ago, and also two weeks ago"
  • #26,703
  • Jan 5, 2011 9:58pm Jan 5, 2011 9:58pm
hi, all
Now many websites offer news calendar but why the estimated impact is very different? For example, today the event"AU Building Approvals m/m", FF calendar gives high impact but dailyfx gives low impact ? How does FF calendar estimate the news impact?
  • #26,704
  • Jan 5, 2011 10:04pm Jan 5, 2011 10:04pm
Quoting ely
As 0.9660 is not classed as a strong enough support, expect it to hit the 0.9540 PDQ, once the 0.9700 area is breached.
Target 0.8600-0.8900


"0.9724 worked as support several times in recent months and is the next line of support.

Lower, 0.9660 is now only a minor support, but it’s still significant. Below, 0.9540 proved to be a very strong line, being a swing low a few months ago, and also two weeks ago"
You really want this to go down don't you!?

I am short too, and would like a good dip, but I am not convinced either way.

You can read all sorts of reports that say we are headed this way or that. I think we tend to believe what we want to believe and disregard other reports even if they hold some merit.

I guess no one knows.

BUT we are still over valued due to the carry traders. And interest rates are still looking good for carry traders.

So if there was an interest rate reversal, we could crash hard as all the carry traders pull out to avoid a loss.

But this isn't happening anytime in the forseeable future.

I am holding a long term trade since before christmas, I am waiting for a dive but I am not sure that we will see it go under the 0.95 mark. I would be tempted to go long at that level and wait for 1.03. 89c and I would be loading longs if the interest rates remain favourable here.

BUT it is silly season......so I will keep watching watching watching........

JJW
  • #26,705
  • Jan 5, 2011 10:07pm Jan 5, 2011 10:07pm
Those zone within the horizontal yellow dottot lines I marked since October 2010. I still don't have the answer as why prices is so difficult to go up and down within that zone..

I checked...no baboons...no snakes... I wonder what type of creature guarding that zone.

Prices will only be relief if above or below that zone.
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  • #26,706
  • Jan 5, 2011 10:17pm Jan 5, 2011 10:17pm
i just feel like to put sell order @ 0.9970...k done !
  • #26,707
  • Jan 5, 2011 11:10pm Jan 5, 2011 11:10pm
If I were to know it earlier , I would hv not get out so soon.....and I miss the 2nd sell order by few pips. Nway...i dnt care them now..
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  • #26,708
  • Jan 5, 2011 11:40pm Jan 5, 2011 11:40pm
AU is no more interesting at this hour to watch...go to that CHF related pairs...in 2hrs30m there will be a big show in there.

Im going there to hunt...
  • #26,709
  • Jan 6, 2011 12:10am Jan 6, 2011 12:10am
Im going to hunt in CHF related pairs....and if AU heywire... don't be alarmed. In 2130hrs she will be taken care of.

tc...
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  • #26,710
  • Jan 6, 2011 12:21am Jan 6, 2011 12:21am
Quoting VennD
Im going to hunt in CHF related pairs....and if AU heywire... don't be alarmed. In 2130hrs she will be taken care of.

tc...
look at GBP/CHF at about 3am EST. when the pairs stdev using the close price (n=7) crosses 1.0, look for a trade in that direction. it may retrace somewhat but usually never below it's baseline price (2-3 hours before the 3am move). i just started looking at this pair, but have noticed that this seems like a recurring behaviour for this pair...
  • #26,711
  • Jan 6, 2011 12:24am Jan 6, 2011 12:24am
Quoting VennD
You are late , brother !...

The votality issue is today but tht i take it as personal belongings. However if u stay put in the Sellers boat, ur safe.

Tomorrow is more volatile on this AU and who are greedy can follow me to trade another pair usdcad.
what the issue,,???
what the issue can be a triger for AU to bounce after make 2 high top,,??
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only an analysis, and I'm always wrong, don't follow me,
  • #26,712
  • Jan 6, 2011 1:30am Jan 6, 2011 1:30am
Quoting andelumut
what the issue,,???
what the issue can be a triger for AU to bounce after make 2 high top,,??

Your R3 is good to test !

Put your hands in the air , Give me all your money ! !
  • #26,713
  • Jan 6, 2011 2:16am Jan 6, 2011 2:16am
Here's my trade confirmation for a long position GBPCHF on 1/6

1/6/2011 2:43:50 AM>Deal Confirmed : 78270348
. You Bought GBP 500,000
, You Bought At 1.50295
, You Sold CHF 751,475
Confirmation #: 78270348
Error Description:
Rate: 1.50295
Deal Success: True
PlaceOCOOrder,True,1/5/2011 11:45:46 PM,,GBP/CHF,GBP/CHF,500000,-154.894671623296,775890,751475,1.502950,775890,0.00000,0.00000,S,500000,500000,,
  • #26,714
  • Edited 2:41am Jan 6, 2011 2:39am | Edited 2:41am
Quoting charlie626
look at GBP/CHF at about 3am EST. when the pairs stdev using the close price (n=7) crosses 1.0, look for a trade in that direction. it may retrace somewhat but usually never below it's baseline price (2-3 hours before the 3am move). i just started looking at this pair, but have noticed that this seems like a recurring behaviour for this pair...
Thanks Charlie626 !

Yes, if u were to google in my earliest post sometime last month abt ths pair, how my friend become richer by a milion dollar, u might laugh how easy he trade ths pair w/o indis at all. Fantastic !

To win ths trade in a couple of hours, here u shld do...

In 5m CHF Consumer Price Indx (MoM) - Previous 0.2% (If decrease Buy GC)
In 5m CHF Consumer Price Indx (YoY) - Previous 0.2% (If increase Sell GC)
In 1h GB Purchasing Manager Indx Services - Previous 53.0 (If decrease Sell GC)

All 3 items are of medium impact. Hundreds of pips u can get if ur not late. U can wait till GB releases her data , then Weight the data u collected and make yr own resolution. .....OK , i will trade it coz less expensive than AU. There's a BATMAN in there. I think tht guy must like it so much.....See u there !
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  • #26,715
  • Edited 3:18am Jan 6, 2011 2:54am | Edited 3:18am
OK...hope everybody is fine in here...


AUD/USD
----------
In 4h45m there're two data coming in from USA, These two data are of Low Impact in my personal valuation...not so much pips can get (+- 40pips) but if u ride the waves, more than 100s is peanuts.

In the case of these two data...even if AU goes up..won't be that much (Low Impact). Tomorrow she will be grounded , also.

So pls do yr homework b4 we sail in 4h30m time. Check every corner of yr indis...any possibility of pingpong, etc...choose best entry to avoid using so much SL.

Im not bias to short or long...anywhere she goes....I go...
  • #26,716
  • Edited 4:37am Jan 6, 2011 4:24am | Edited 4:37am
These are my lazy entries...
---------------------
Sell USD/CAD....(Follow yesterday data/technicals)

Sell GBP/CHF...
------------
Reason ... 0.2% ---> 0.0% (Buy)
... 0.2% ---> 0.5% (Sell)
....53.0 ----> 49.7 (Sell)
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  • #26,717
  • Jan 6, 2011 4:27am Jan 6, 2011 4:27am
3hrs more to trade AU.....Currently searching for opportunity in other pairs.
  • #26,718
  • Jan 6, 2011 5:02am Jan 6, 2011 5:02am
Quoting charlie626
Here's my trade confirmation for a long position GBPCHF on 1/6

1/6/2011 2:43:50 AM>Deal Confirmed : 78270348
. You Bought GBP 500,000
, You Bought At 1.50295
, You Sold CHF 751,475
Confirmation #: 78270348
Error Description:
Rate: 1.50295
Deal Success: True
PlaceOCOOrder,True,1/5/2011 11:45:46 PM,,GBP/CHF,GBP/CHF,500000,-154.894671623296,775890,751475,1.502950,775890,0.00000,0.00000,S,500000,500000,,
That's OK...if ur targeting long term.....im scalper...enter early...exit early...don't be greedy and .....spend the money.

My nanny always remind me that I must always Sell...
  • #26,719
  • Jan 6, 2011 5:44am Jan 6, 2011 5:44am
...we'll be trading these two...headache when suddenly come things like this... its like.... i must trade AU...everyday...every hour...every minutes...wth !

USA (Low Impact)
-----------------
Continuing Jobless Claim / Previous 4128.0k / If decrease Sell AU.
Initial Jobless Claim / Previous 388.0k / If increase Buy AU.

In that example, where should we go ? Buy or Sell ? Both are low impact...

Its up to each of u...base on yr technical analysis....I will be looking for best entry as seller.......coz my nanny said , .. rich men always sell...poor men always buy...
  • #26,720
  • Jan 6, 2011 5:59am Jan 6, 2011 5:59am
....
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