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AUD/USD

  • #26,561
  • Jan 4, 2011 3:01pm Jan 4, 2011 3:01pm
sorry hv to leave now..going to black out soon..
  • #26,562
  • Jan 4, 2011 3:27pm Jan 4, 2011 3:27pm
Quoting WallStBully
Anyone think its worth while to hold AUD/USD through roll over for the interest swap???
I tend to stay away from holding the Aussie against any currency. Mightly expensive rollover. Hopefully they will start down grading interest rates soon. I have rarely held a/u longer then a couple days, and iI won't if isn't continually making at least 70-80 pip over all movements a day.
  • #26,563
  • Edited 4:00pm Jan 4, 2011 3:43pm | Edited 4:00pm
Quoting pawpaw1000
Hey guys,

Just got in Long on Aud with s/l just below the present low...

Posted my Reasons in the EUR/USD thread, just click on my profile and check my posts if you soo wish...

Reasons include 50% fibo, test of support (previous resistance) and General Bullish Bias on AUD/USD because of Commodities trade
No concerns for the FOMC minutes in 45 minutes?

Cheers and good trading.

Correction: I thought the FOMC was at 5pm ESt, but I now see it passed already, not real sure about actual time for this.

Chart: 15min A/U
The Yellow Fib sequence is from the high to low, the 50% level reached on the move up today at 1.0068
The Green Fib sequence is from the low to high today, and the 50% level reached on the move down to 1.0048

Guess were in some area of decision?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AU 15m fibs.jpg Size: 77 KB
  • #26,564
  • Jan 4, 2011 4:11pm Jan 4, 2011 4:11pm
Yep, pivot point established at 1.00486

Ups: 1.011/ 1.0089 / 1.0069 (resistance)

Downs: 1.0028/ 1.0007 / 0.9987 (support)

(This are available only 4h)
  • #26,565
  • Jan 4, 2011 5:12pm Jan 4, 2011 5:12pm
we're going to trade this .....in 45m's time. check indis see if any sign of probability bounce up...

Aust HIA New Home sales (MoM) which also has MEDIUM IMPACT on AU..
Current Figure 2.4% (Forcast-None) If decrease SELL AU.
  • #26,566
  • Edited 5:33pm Jan 4, 2011 5:28pm | Edited 5:33pm
......Current Position...

Charts 1h & 15m

Search the two possible best position to enter incase there're whipsaw...

where to sell & where if Buy..
Use yr own judgement.

will keep u update...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au1h_1715.gif Size: 56 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: au15_1715.gif Size: 48 KB
  • #26,567
  • Jan 4, 2011 5:39pm Jan 4, 2011 5:39pm
Don't do anything yet...let her run wild whereever she likes..
  • #26,568
  • Jan 4, 2011 5:50pm Jan 4, 2011 5:50pm
Remember...once again i say....dnt bother abt R&S once the report is release..,,
Two hrs later after the show then only u use yr indis,etc.

I will update u wit the content of the FOMCA meeting...and few other reports tht hs bn released but low impact..thts why she is inactive just now..
  • #26,569
  • Jan 4, 2011 5:55pm Jan 4, 2011 5:55pm
stop loss place far away 100-200 meters away ..as we do not want to get caught ...such of those in EU & UC. As long as we trade according to the direction, we are safe eventhough heywire here n there..
  • #26,570
  • Jan 4, 2011 6:07pm Jan 4, 2011 6:07pm
Actual "blank" . we take tht as..... no change same fig maintain at 2.4%..why wait ?...SELL ! but let her go up ...slowly then..use yr judgement from wt point to sell.
  • #26,571
  • Jan 4, 2011 6:14pm Jan 4, 2011 6:14pm
....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au15m_0812.gif Size: 48 KB
  • #26,572
  • Jan 4, 2011 6:30pm Jan 4, 2011 6:30pm
Quoting VennD
....
Hello VennD, just like to say thanks for your informative posts. I am a complete newbi so your help is greatly apreciated. Am waiting to ju p in and go short.
Thanx
  • #26,573
  • Jan 4, 2011 6:41pm Jan 4, 2011 6:41pm
if she's slow..dnt worry...coz there're ppl in building long positions btween 1.0071-1.0027...... she wanna wait...let them jump ...and she'll drag them down all the way to the south. its like going against the trend...hope tht doesn't drains their account.
  • #26,574
  • Jan 4, 2011 7:00pm Jan 4, 2011 7:00pm
Price Projections
----------------
UP - 1.0140 / 1.0157 / 1.0226
DWN - 0.9998 / 0.9941 / 0.9856


Possible Targets
---------------
Longs - 1.0127 / 1.0144
Shorts - 1.0007 / 0.9983
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au15m_0856.gif Size: 49 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: au1h_0856.gif Size: 57 KB
  • #26,575
  • Jan 4, 2011 7:01pm Jan 4, 2011 7:01pm
Quoting lukyman
Hello VennD, just like to say thanks for your informative posts. I am a complete newbi so your help is greatly apreciated. Am waiting to ju p in and go short.
Thanx
k...tc there !
  • #26,576
  • Jan 4, 2011 7:03pm Jan 4, 2011 7:03pm
HIA New Home Sales m/m -0.2
  • #26,577
  • Jan 4, 2011 7:05pm Jan 4, 2011 7:05pm
Previous 2.4% , Current = -0.2%

SELL AU !
  • #26,578
  • Jan 4, 2011 7:06pm Jan 4, 2011 7:06pm
Quoting stock
HIA New Home Sales m/m -0.2
yeah...just arrive ...@ -0.2% thnks Stock !
  • #26,579
  • Jan 4, 2011 7:15pm Jan 4, 2011 7:15pm
Quoting VennD
yeah...just arrive ...@ -0.2% thnks Stock !
Loving this AU movement =D
Been averaging as it went up a few days back, now it's time for some good green.
  • #26,580
  • Jan 4, 2011 7:28pm Jan 4, 2011 7:28pm
Quoting VennD
yeah...just arrive ...@ -0.2% thnks Stock !
Just like to say thanx again! Just made +40 and now thinking of grabbing it?
thamx Venn
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