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AUD/USD

  • #26,421
  • Jan 2, 2011 10:36pm Jan 2, 2011 10:36pm
Quoting Alki
The road is still long. Expecting arrival for the end of the week. If earlier, bull could be still in a power. Entry could be retested. If top is not touched or reached, target could be 0.9000 level.

A trader has to be not émotionnel but with aussie, i'll be happy to see my calculation right. It experienced how difficult to trade this pair.
have u taken out yr short ? bull is testing 1.0201 now...

hmmm....i hv bn wit her since 3weeks ago to just learn her moves....intend to leave her last week but due to some reason....came in bck ..currently testing in progress ...on her "back from the future moves" - time.

If this is successful we can predict exactly when will she arrive home for dinner...
  • #26,422
  • Jan 2, 2011 10:44pm Jan 2, 2011 10:44pm
Quoting VennD
have u taken out yr short ? bull is testing 1.0201 now...

hmmm....i hv bn wit her since 3weeks ago to just learn her moves....intend to leave her last week but due to some reason....came in bck ..currently testing in progress ...on her "back from the future moves" - time.

If this is successful we can predict exactly when will she arrive home for dinner...
Still short. I'm following big swing until TP or until i see market condition changes or SL touched. Usually, i use margin stop to trade. In this case with this pair and in order to test, i took only two lots.
Little luck is forex water. Learn all Trading strategies, then forget them.
  • #26,423
  • Jan 2, 2011 10:52pm Jan 2, 2011 10:52pm
Gold is abt to take my short...this is not good..for shorting AU yet ..i think.
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  • #26,424
  • Jan 2, 2011 11:11pm Jan 2, 2011 11:11pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...37#post4281137

update'

Hit restance, another good scalp coming .. should be good for 15-20 'ish' pips.
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  • #26,425
  • Jan 2, 2011 11:33pm Jan 2, 2011 11:33pm
Quoting mikej2010
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...37#post4281137

update'

Hit restance, another good scalp coming .. should be good for 15-20 'ish' pips.

Yes I agree mike, 25pips down from the breakout. Then 28pips up on the bounce and now I may just get my 55pips from the beginning. Or at least another 20pips.

  • #26,426
  • Jan 3, 2011 12:06am Jan 3, 2011 12:06am
9hrs 6m to report release...take care yr boats carefully..we still hv big project ahead.

I hv taken out my AU short just now. Now waiting for Gold ...if she can give me a penny or two for my expenses today..
  • #26,427
  • Edited 12:50am Jan 3, 2011 12:40am | Edited 12:50am
4H tf
-----

I have tested her on the Upper moves - So far... she passed all test (The Price and Time of Arrival on Daily Basis).


Tested twice....on Retracement Moves 50% fib...So far these are the results.

Low 0.9536 Dec/01/2010
High 0.9964 Dec/07/2010
Projected 0.9736 (50% Fib) on Dec/08/2010
Actual - She only retrace to 0.9751 Dec/08/2010
Miss by 15pips - date of Arrival OK.
===================================
Low 0.9751 Dec/08
High 1.0027 Dec/14
Projected 0.9889 (50% Fib) Dec/21
Actual - she arrive too early Dec/16 @ 0.9830 an excess of 59pips.

I wonder where does that 59pips came from..
  • #26,428
  • Edited 1:20am Jan 3, 2011 1:16am | Edited 1:20am
7hr 46m to report release...

If u wanna piss or wtever.... better do it now...then....make a plan IF THIS ....IF THAT... HOW TO....should u wanna trade the news....Remember dnt chase the price ...however u can build yr own strategy.
  • #26,429
  • Jan 3, 2011 1:39am Jan 3, 2011 1:39am
Once the report is release...don't bother abt R&S until everything is clear usually abt 2hrs later. Once again I say,... Fundamentals doesn't respect R&S.
  • #26,430
  • Jan 3, 2011 1:41am Jan 3, 2011 1:41am
There's a down move now on AU...tc..
  • #26,431
  • Jan 3, 2011 1:51am Jan 3, 2011 1:51am
i see ppl defending 1.0187....
  • #26,432
  • Jan 3, 2011 2:17am Jan 3, 2011 2:17am
k...i hv taken out 99% profit from Gold....Balance to BE. Now focus on AU.

Enter Early..
Exit Early...
Don't Be Greedy and ....
Spend The Money..

Don't follow my style if ur not use to.
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  • #26,433
  • Edited 3:23am Jan 3, 2011 2:27am | Edited 3:23am
Just added the 2 orange trend lines to my chart, but it looks like it may not get passed my yellow EMA 100 at 1.01822. Time will tell.
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  • #26,434
  • Jan 3, 2011 2:37am Jan 3, 2011 2:37am
Quoting Peter-FX
Just added the 2 orange trend lines to my chart, but it looks like it may not get passed my yellow MA 100 at 1.01822. Time will tell.

I knw...There're ppl defending 1.0187...Down moves is still in progress. I will inform u if there's any build up of additional longs in tht area.
  • #26,435
  • Jan 3, 2011 2:41am Jan 3, 2011 2:41am
It is those ppl from 1.0183 area tht caused the up move just now but they failed to stay abv R1 @ 1.0201, as of now...
  • #26,436
  • Jan 3, 2011 2:59am Jan 3, 2011 2:59am
Quoting VennD
It is those ppl from 1.0183 area tht caused the up move just now but they failed to stay abv R1 @ 1.0201, as of now...
Thank you so much for updating us what is going on with AUDUSD...Thank you so much...
The Market pays you to be disciplined
  • #26,437
  • Jan 3, 2011 3:20am Jan 3, 2011 3:20am
These are the sypnosis & projections......

CNY-Manufacturing PMI : Previous = 55.2 , Actual = 53.9 , (Sell AU) - Has bn executed upon market open just now.

USA Data Due - Medium Impact
------------------------
Jan 03 23:00 Construction Spending (MoM) - Current = 0.7% (Forecast 0.2%) - Buy AU

Jan 03 23:00 ISM Manufacturing - Current = 56.6 (Forecast 56.9) - Sell AU

Jan 03 23:00 Factory Orders - Current = -0.9% (Forecast -0.1%) - Sell AU

USA Data Due - Low impact
-------------------------
Jan 03 23:00 ISM Prices Paid - Current = 69.5 (Forecast 71.0) - Sell AU


If result come out as predicted... After weighting the data - SELL to the maximum !!!

If different...use yr judgement for RESOLUTION. Easy as ABC , right ?
  • #26,438
  • Jan 3, 2011 3:24am Jan 3, 2011 3:24am
Quoting mima
Thank you so much for updating us what is going on with AUDUSD...Thank you so much...
My welcome is always with all of U... Im just sharing wt I knw.
  • #26,439
  • Edited 4:28am Jan 3, 2011 4:23am | Edited 4:28am
I guess everyone who trade AU today.. are waiting for the data... afraid to jump into the wrong boat...

and....those ppl who trade EURUSD & USDCHF has gone crazyyy coz their reports has bn released.
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  • #26,440
  • Edited 5:00am Jan 3, 2011 4:38am | Edited 5:00am
Base on their reports....

They should look for a good position to Buy EU and Sell UC ...

...but the pattern seems otherwise...if we don't knw wts the current fundamentals situation...we already jump into the wrong boat and get the slaughtering.

Take Note : The fundamentals are the one colouring the daily moves and it says...."Go to Hell with your R&S ! "
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