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Nearly Naked (Simple Trades)

  • #9,901
  • Edited 8:38pm Dec 17, 2010 7:41pm | Edited 8:38pm
HI amyc,
I see what you are saying, I double checked my astrological Gold charts, and am pretty sure of a pull back.Although in a longer term I do agree with a price of $1500 in March or so ( 23rd or thereabouts), but I can see a pull back of about 5-8% over the coming weeks. I am not trading Gold now, but use it as an an indicator and a guide for AU, ASX200, and DJ.

It will be interesting to watch over the next few weeks...
Find a job that you love and you dont have to work again in your life.
  • #9,902
  • Dec 20, 2010 2:02am Dec 20, 2010 2:02am
I notice on the UD Index..at hi friday.. 2x 618% points on 8 hr and day..major range 50% point.. intermeidate range day 38%.. on the futures 1 hr VERY hi stopping vol at hi and Aussie on 4 hr 17 bar side ways or accumilation on volume.. also gold showing basing patten on 4 hr with 2 very big vol spikes.. I know it doesnt look as flash on the longer term..Just my obvservations that all..
  • #9,903
  • Dec 20, 2010 8:43pm Dec 20, 2010 8:43pm
Quoting danc
I notice on the UD Index..at hi friday.. 2x 618% points on 8 hr and day..major range 50% point.. intermeidate range day 38%.. on the futures 1 hr VERY hi stopping vol at hi and Aussie on 4 hr 17 bar side ways or accumilation on volume.. also gold showing basing patten on 4 hr with 2 very big vol spikes.. I know it doesnt look as flash on the longer term..Just my obvservations that all..
Pretty much the same.. over 3 15 min bars.. the DX broke throu yester days hi.. only just then failed..sold off.. on the index now 3 very bearish bars at the top.. gold continiues to look even more Bullish on the 4 and 1 hr..Aussie looks strong.. Euro comes off 2 of Amys points..50% on the week and 50% on the day..weeks range 365 days range 92.. thats what amazes me..
  • #9,904
  • Dec 20, 2010 9:14pm Dec 20, 2010 9:14pm
Welcome back

Thanks for the charts. the fib fans are really interesting.
I have been having fun on the monthly.
Recently I have been learning heaps from Sam Seiden.
Im really enjoying his teaching on supply and demand/ support and resistance.

I think we are in for a decline on the AUDUSD the price has hit the upper bands on monthly. H1 is showing a nice confluence area at 0.9980-0.9998 with monthly fib 0.618, fib fan 38.2, weekly fib 0.500, historcal level zone. The weekly monthly R1 pivots are very close too at 0.9994 & 0.9998.


Im watching USDCHF closely too I think its possibly going up from around this area 0.9630 but much more safely down at 0.9573 at the wk 0.382 fib for longs.

happy pipping
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: audusd h1.jpg Size: 118 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: audusd historical levels.jpg Size: 159 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: usdchf monthly.jpg Size: 111 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: usdchf historical levels.jpg Size: 157 KB
  • #9,905
  • Dec 20, 2010 9:36pm Dec 20, 2010 9:36pm
AUDUSD H4.
Trend lines up, but the H4 is showing a possible head and shoulders.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 21-12-10-audusd-head-shoulder.jpg Size: 113 KB
  • #9,906
  • Dec 20, 2010 10:08pm Dec 20, 2010 10:08pm
From the charts Im thinking where is the novice buyer going to be buying from today ?

Price has been going up & we are coming up to significant resistance. London may push it up a little more to the 0.9980-0.9998 level, dragging in the last of the novice buyers before shorting.

see how we go
  • #9,907
  • Dec 21, 2010 1:14pm Dec 21, 2010 1:14pm
Some quick techs I threw together. Volumes are low due to the holiday ahead an many desks are on vacation. Wouldn't expect too much speculative (Non-Hedging) action till 2011.
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf Techies1221.pdf   360 KB | 367 downloads
  • #9,908
  • Dec 21, 2010 5:32pm Dec 21, 2010 5:32pm
Quoting Petar_Serbia
I got private mesage to create analisy for NZDUSD Daily >


Here it is >

I think NZDUSD is on strong buy trend.NZD broke bulish flag also Hilo formed a very good formation DBOT and i think NZDUSD cna go up for about 200 pips to 0.7500-0.7600 and that will be first big test for this pair...



Cheers and i hope i help


Petar

Hah i remember this chart,still has on my platfrom,and that was very good setup...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: hit.gif Size: 23 KB
"Buy on fear, sell on greed !!!
  • #9,909
  • Dec 21, 2010 5:50pm Dec 21, 2010 5:50pm
As many here on Forum knows,i dont love Higher timeframes becouse i explained many times.If we hold long setups,we have bigger risk,3 main Ses everyday,many news every day,but if can help someone,my advice buy AUDUSD now and hold to TP around 1500 pips and than buy new house LOL



This is Weekly AUDUSD chart :
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: lol.gif Size: 16 KB
"Buy on fear, sell on greed !!!
  • #9,910
  • Dec 21, 2010 6:07pm Dec 21, 2010 6:07pm
Quoting Petar_Serbia
As many here on Forum knows,i dont love Higher timeframes becouse i explained many times.If we hold long setups,we have bigger risk,3 main Ses everyday,many news every day,but if can help someone,my advice buy AUDUSD now and hold to TP around 1500 pips and than buy new house LOL



This is Weekly AUDUSD chart :
Why i posted this

Look this chart :

Maybe we can repeat History,if we belive that is charts based on history,this is real example to see what will happen in next few months...If we see scenario i posted we can see EURUSD on 1.4000 again :O


Cheers

Petar
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: maybe.gif Size: 19 KB
"Buy on fear, sell on greed !!!
  • #9,911
  • Dec 21, 2010 9:28pm Dec 21, 2010 9:28pm
Hi Saxon

I appreciate your thoughts. They are always helpful and good principles for me to learn with.

trying a short here off this trendline on EURUSD 4hr at 131.32.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd.gif Size: 31 KB
  • #9,912
  • Dec 21, 2010 10:17pm Dec 21, 2010 10:17pm
Happy Holidays Everyone!
http://smileys.smileycentral.com/cat/2010/0/1015.gif http://smileys.smileycentral.com/cat/8/8_4_34v.gif





http://www.smileycentral.com/sig.jsp?pc=ZSzeb113&pp=
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #9,913
  • Dec 21, 2010 11:06pm Dec 21, 2010 11:06pm
cool smilies

thanks for all your help this year. It has been an excellent experience to follow
your posts. I hope you have a happy and meaningful time off in the holidays with your family.

alll the best

Ian
  • #9,914
  • Dec 21, 2010 11:27pm Dec 21, 2010 11:27pm
Im out at break even on EURUSD.

I think London is going to take it higher before another shorting opportunity arises. I like the look of the 131.80 area for a possible short.
  • #9,915
  • Edited 7:49am Dec 22, 2010 5:01am | Edited 7:49am
check the trend line 1 hr G/J


im short
  • #9,916
  • Dec 22, 2010 7:50am Dec 22, 2010 7:50am
two different charts, same settings.. different bollingers
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Bollinger Difference.JPG Size: 147 KB
  • #9,917
  • Dec 22, 2010 5:57pm Dec 22, 2010 5:57pm
Hi everyone

My husband and I are off to the uk for a white christmas today, fingers crossed we can get there. I will be back in mid January and look forward to trading with you all in the new year.
I wish you all a merry christmas.

Amy
  • #9,918
  • Dec 22, 2010 6:48pm Dec 22, 2010 6:48pm
Quoting amyc
Hi everyone

My husband and I are off to the uk for a white christmas today, fingers crossed we can get there. I will be back in mid January and look forward to trading with you all in the new year.
I wish you all a merry christmas.

Amy

Hi amyc,
Couldn’t resist sending you this card when you said where you were going.
Go here.
http://www.jacquielawson.com/viewcard.asp?code=2608838603603&source=jl999
  • #9,919
  • Dec 22, 2010 7:08pm Dec 22, 2010 7:08pm
Quoting Peter-FX
Hi amyc,
Couldn’t resist sending you this card when you said where you were going.
Go here.
http://www.jacquielawson.com/viewcar...3&source=jl999...
Thanks, that definitely gets you in the christmas mood.
  • #9,920
  • Dec 22, 2010 7:21pm Dec 22, 2010 7:21pm
Good luck Amy

Hope you have a great time
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