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AUD/USD

  • #25,101
  • Nov 11, 2010 4:58am Nov 11, 2010 4:58am
big green candle.. who bought?
  • #25,102
  • Nov 11, 2010 5:03am Nov 11, 2010 5:03am
waiting for a breakout on H4 chart...big consolidation here...
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #25,103
  • Nov 11, 2010 5:45am Nov 11, 2010 5:45am
looks like this pair is sustained heavily over parity by solid bids near 99.74/85 cents. several moments of wave of selling was failed to bring this pair down.atm i can only wait euro-dollar to break its low to bring aussie down slightly with it

basically i am bullish on aussie because of extremely high of interest rate attract me (and perhaps big corporations) to hold longs, but for now i expect this pair to retrace with projection towards MA55 (0.9633) before rallying again to 1.02-1.03
  • #25,104
  • Nov 11, 2010 9:09am Nov 11, 2010 9:09am
It looks all too risky to decide if its going up or down... Anyone's got ideas?
  • #25,105
  • Nov 11, 2010 9:27am Nov 11, 2010 9:27am
Quoting denewbie
It looks all too risky to decide if its going up or down... Anyone's got ideas?
1.0000 lvl is significant, whether it turns into support or resistance level
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #25,106
  • Nov 11, 2010 11:03am Nov 11, 2010 11:03am
Quoting Venice
I must admit, I do like the stoch cross over here, I may take a small position short, target 995, still waiting for entry.

Awaiting 15m stoch to get me clearance for take off. 560'ish area does look like a good place to short from though. Will wait to see if resistance is broken here or obeyed.
Slowly creeping on 995. If we break that, down to 985 for retrace.
  • #25,107
  • Nov 11, 2010 12:23pm Nov 11, 2010 12:23pm
Quoting mrbandwidth
IMHO, we are going a bit up (maybe to test 1.0070 again?), then a severe drop to 9910 - 9860.

(I see the current lateral structure as a bearish flag...)

Opinions welcome

remembrance
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #25,108
  • Nov 11, 2010 12:36pm Nov 11, 2010 12:36pm
going long for a scalp, tight SL. anyone else?
  • #25,109
  • Nov 11, 2010 1:02pm Nov 11, 2010 1:02pm
Quoting JanPoko
I see, baron, you get by with yourself pretty well
It is difficult to expect something from this pair now. Due to fundies there is no reason to go south and on the other hand the pair is above parity and at all time high so I do not think there is much space to go up.
I will wait until some big managers push it down significantly for some pretention and then go long again. Till then, better to look after another pairs...
Hey JP, yes i know what you mean but there's still enough "meat" in the fast intra day mini swings, i do change between other major pairs depending on the mood and other stuff.
Biggest joker
  • #25,110
  • Nov 11, 2010 1:40pm Nov 11, 2010 1:40pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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long aud and other positions
  • #25,111
  • Nov 11, 2010 2:04pm Nov 11, 2010 2:04pm
Quoting redsword11
Attachment

long aud and other positions
Why long on AUSDUSD? I might be wrong but I think that pros want to go to 0.9900 on H1...? no?
The Market pays you to be disciplined
  • #25,112
  • Nov 11, 2010 2:12pm Nov 11, 2010 2:12pm
Quoting FX-Petra
Closed 1 short @ 1.000, holding my other short from 1.0140. No target yet to close this one.

Regards,
Still holding short. I suppose I have to pick a target. 9850 area comes to mind....that would be a 23.6% retrace of the move from 8/25. 9650 area would be a nice 38.2% retrace. I think will take of 1/2 @ 9850, and hope to let the rest run to 9650. Even these minimul retraces will be tough, though. Aussie is supported big time by carrytrades right now (and who can blame them?). There are a lot of players out there seaching for yeild with bond rates being what they are. We'll see how this retrace plays out.

Regards,
  • #25,113
  • Nov 11, 2010 2:14pm Nov 11, 2010 2:14pm
Quoting FX-Petra
... Aussie is supported big time by carrytrades right now (and who can blame them?). There are a lot of players out there seaching for yeild with bond rates being what they are. We'll see how this retrace plays out.

Regards,
Ya, today EURUSD went down much faster then AUSUSD...
The Market pays you to be disciplined
  • #25,114
  • Nov 11, 2010 2:31pm Nov 11, 2010 2:31pm
Quoting mck6206
going long for a scalp, tight SL. anyone else?
I am with you mate
  • #25,115
  • Nov 11, 2010 3:33pm Nov 11, 2010 3:33pm
Quoting FX-Petra
Still holding short. I suppose I have to pick a target. 9850 area comes to mind....that would be a 23.6% retrace of the move from 8/25. 9650 area would be a nice 38.2% retrace. I think will take of 1/2 @ 9850, and hope to let the rest run to 9650. Even these minimul retraces will be tough, though. Aussie is supported big time by carrytrades right now (and who can blame them?). There are a lot of players out there seaching for yeild with bond rates being what they are. We'll see how this retrace plays out.

Regards,
Today was a bank holiday nearly everywhere, liquidity was low, not sure todays moves were something to make a decision with.
But a retrace seems imminent, looking at daily charts.
  • #25,116
  • Nov 11, 2010 5:38pm Nov 11, 2010 5:38pm
Quoting dejv
I am with you mate
I am with you too.
  • #25,117
  • Nov 11, 2010 6:00pm Nov 11, 2010 6:00pm
Quoting denewbie
It looks all too risky to decide if its going up or down... Anyone's got ideas?
it is going down. If it breaks 0.9906 according to my indicator the trend will change to bearish. I am short on this pair.
  • #25,118
  • Nov 11, 2010 7:36pm Nov 11, 2010 7:36pm
May pull long trigger if she dips to 9950
  • #25,119
  • Nov 11, 2010 8:04pm Nov 11, 2010 8:04pm
Quoting Hyru
May pull long trigger if she dips to 9950
done, lets see what happens
  • #25,120
  • Nov 11, 2010 9:04pm Nov 11, 2010 9:04pm
in the 4 hour chart there is a strong resistance 0,9930 and 0,9917,flat bottom of ichimoku.mayby it will rebounce from there
Never again will fade the trend
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