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Trend Trading All Pairs

  • #8,681
  • Oct 27, 2010 12:02pm Oct 27, 2010 12:02pm
Quoting Custos
I partly agree, however, I think usd/chf is at a nice spot right now. Hopefully now we get a continued move to the downside.

cheers

attached is usd/chf weekly
Yeah, I am watching it, but I want to see it clear 1000 level.
I think by Monday some things might get clearer. A/U, E/U and G/U might be turning down and there are some pips to make on downside.
I now got it why E/J behaves like it does. It is congestion on weekly chart. I think until it clearly breaks under 112.00 it is a hard call.
  • #8,682
  • Oct 27, 2010 2:08pm Oct 27, 2010 2:08pm
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  • #8,683
  • Oct 27, 2010 4:23pm Oct 27, 2010 4:23pm
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  • #8,684
  • Oct 27, 2010 4:56pm Oct 27, 2010 4:56pm
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  • #8,685
  • Oct 28, 2010 3:19am Oct 28, 2010 3:19am
Quoting Custos
I partly agree, however, I think usd/chf is at a nice spot right now. Hopefully now we get a continued move to the downside.

cheers

attached is usd/chf weekly

Whats your view on the lighter round of qe than expected on the dollar? The fall of the dollar has been long due a big correction, maybe this is perfect timing for it?
  • #8,686
  • Oct 28, 2010 5:38am Oct 28, 2010 5:38am
Quoting NaughtyPip
Whats your view on the lighter round of qe than expected on the dollar? The fall of the dollar has been long due a big correction, maybe this is perfect timing for it?
with qe you mean quantitative easing?
I don't do fundamental analysis, I just stick to the charts and try to find low risk opportunities in direction of the long-term trend.

Well, and concerning corrections. Guys, don't try anticipating corrections, you should try anticipating impulse moves. You will lose, if you try trading corrections.

cheers
  • #8,687
  • Oct 28, 2010 5:40am Oct 28, 2010 5:40am
Quoting NaughtyPip
Whats your view on the lighter round of qe than expected on the dollar? The fall of the dollar has been long due a big correction, maybe this is perfect timing for it?

There is a weekly resistance area above of 100 pips or more and big round number 1.000.
It looks good on 4H but not so good on weekly until this level broken and confirmed as support. Just watch what E/J has been doing around 112.00-113.50 support area on weekly. It does not look encouraging, so, I will be waiting for both areas to be cleared to trade.
  • #8,688
  • Oct 28, 2010 6:49am Oct 28, 2010 6:49am
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  • #8,689
  • Oct 28, 2010 6:59am Oct 28, 2010 6:59am
Quoting Custos
with qe you mean quantitative easing?
I don't do fundamental analysis, I just stick to the charts and try to find low risk opportunities in direction of the long-term trend.

Well, and concerning corrections. Guys, don't try anticipating corrections, you should try anticipating impulse moves. You will lose, if you try trading corrections.

cheers
I wasnt saying trade the correction, what i meant was the correction could become the impulsive move.
  • #8,690
  • Oct 28, 2010 8:57am Oct 28, 2010 8:57am
Quoting NaughtyPip
I wasnt saying trade the correction, what i meant was the correction could become the impulsive move.
well, then you are essentially trying to pick bottoms and tops. You will learn sooner or later (by a decreasing account) that picking bottoms or tops is a completely useless activity. Why making it complicated. Trend is down, so we short that pair until we see that the trend is changing.

cheers
  • #8,691
  • Oct 28, 2010 12:36pm Oct 28, 2010 12:36pm
Quoting Custos
well, then you are essentially trying to pick bottoms and tops. You will learn sooner or later (by a decreasing account) that picking bottoms or tops is a completely useless activity. Why making it complicated. Trend is down, so we short that pair until we see that the trend is changing.

cheers
yep i see your point, i guess it doenst matter so long as we wait for bpc.

Regards
  • #8,692
  • Oct 28, 2010 3:09pm Oct 28, 2010 3:09pm
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  • #8,693
  • Oct 28, 2010 6:03pm Oct 28, 2010 6:03pm
BTW, anyone watching GBP/USD. This was a huge up move. A clear flag pole formation. 220 pips. Moves like this cannot happen without a reason.
  • #8,694
  • Oct 28, 2010 6:04pm Oct 28, 2010 6:04pm
it broke through yesterday's high...
  • #8,695
  • Edited 1:42am Oct 29, 2010 1:22am | Edited 1:42am
Quoting shiko
BTW, anyone watching GBP/USD. This was a huge up move. A clear flag pole formation. 220 pips. Moves like this cannot happen without a reason.
And still, it stops at the 1.6000 for now, which is a huge resistance area on the weekly.

Also if you look at the daily, the 220 pip move becomes quite insignificant. You have to see everything from the right perspective.
  • #8,696
  • Oct 29, 2010 2:13am Oct 29, 2010 2:13am
Quoting Custos
And still, it stops at the 1.6000 for now, which is a huge resistance area on the weekly.

Also if you look at the daily, the 220 pip move becomes quite insignificant. You have to see everything from the right perspective.

yes, it looks like a lot of pairs smashed faces directly into weekly s/r areas.
E/J is currently trying to break the lower border of support on weekly. so far not so good
  • #8,697
  • Oct 29, 2010 2:23am Oct 29, 2010 2:23am
Quoting shiko
yes, it looks like a lot of pairs smashed faces directly into weekly s/r areas.
E/J is currently trying to break the lower border of support on weekly. so far not so good
hm, could you show me a chart which weekly support you mean? On my chart, we are bouncing nicely off from weekly resistance to the downside.

best regards
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  • #8,698
  • Oct 29, 2010 2:35am Oct 29, 2010 2:35am
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  • #8,699
  • Oct 29, 2010 2:44am Oct 29, 2010 2:44am
Quoting shiko
Attachment
oh okay, yeah, S/R levels can sometimes be a little vague. So let's just see what happens.
  • #8,700
  • Oct 29, 2010 2:55am Oct 29, 2010 2:55am
Quoting Custos
oh okay, yeah, S/R levels can sometimes be a little vague. So let's just see what happens.

this one is very obvious, practically to the pip. BTW, I liked yesterday rejection on USD/CHF 0.9805. exactly previous high.
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