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AUD/USD

  • #23,621
  • Sep 24, 2010 11:47am Sep 24, 2010 11:47am
north or south?
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  • #23,622
  • Sep 24, 2010 11:51am Sep 24, 2010 11:51am
Bearish flag at 10min?
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #23,623
  • Sep 24, 2010 11:55am Sep 24, 2010 11:55am
Quoting Phonetic
north or south?
i think now aussie going down....like 0.9400 / 0.9380
no more upīs....consecutive days of up..now is time to down..
  • #23,624
  • Sep 24, 2010 11:58am Sep 24, 2010 11:58am
Quoting Phonetic
north or south?

I would say south for now (but only a bit)
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #23,625
  • Sep 24, 2010 12:04pm Sep 24, 2010 12:04pm
Quoting mrbandwidth
I would say south for now (but only a bit)
I'm hoping we go back to the .9476 area.
  • #23,626
  • Sep 24, 2010 12:10pm Sep 24, 2010 12:10pm
  •  bialy
  • | Joined Sep 2010 | Status: forex makes me alcoholic :) | 42 Posts
Daily USDX
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  • #23,627
  • Sep 24, 2010 12:21pm Sep 24, 2010 12:21pm
Quoting bialy
Daily USDX
The DX is important to watch, but the AUD isn't given any weight in its computation.

Looks bearish to me though, as long as the US equities are bullish the DX will probably continue to decline.
This is what awesome feels like
  • #23,628
  • Edited 1:00pm Sep 24, 2010 12:51pm | Edited 1:00pm
  •  bialy
  • | Joined Sep 2010 | Status: forex makes me alcoholic :) | 42 Posts
Quoting BudFox
The DX is important to watch, but the AUD isn't given any weight in its computation.

Looks bearish to me though, as long as the US equities are bullish the DX will probably continue to decline.
only MSPaint but...

half long term, selected point is on the day 04.10.2010, RBA cash rate 05.10.2010
fibonacci timezones
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  • #23,629
  • Sep 24, 2010 1:22pm Sep 24, 2010 1:22pm
Quoting bialy
only MSPaint but...

half long term, selected point is on the day 04.10.2010, RBA cash rate 05.10.2010
fibonacci timezones

Yes the two currently have a positive correlation, I was just pointing out that the AUD doesn't make up any part of the DX.

For me I perfer the current correlation between AUD/USD and US equities.

Bad news for US equities = Stronger $$ thus bounce in DX as well as a drop in AUD/USD.

Remember that there is no rule that says these have to stay positively correlated (in regard to the AUD/USD & US Equities).

Out for the weekend, see you guys on the flip side.
This is what awesome feels like
  • #23,630
  • Edited 1:49pm Sep 24, 2010 1:45pm | Edited 1:49pm
  •  bialy
  • | Joined Sep 2010 | Status: forex makes me alcoholic :) | 42 Posts
Quoting BudFox
Yes the two currently have a positive correlation, I was just pointing out that the AUD doesn't make up any part of the DX.

For me I perfer the current correlation between AUD/USD and US equities.

Bad news for US equities = Stronger $$ thus bounce in DX as well as a drop in AUD/USD.

Remember that there is no rule that says these have to stay positively correlated (in regard to the AUD/USD & US Equities).

Out for the weekend, see you guys on the flip side.
i'm agree, but after FOMC statement at tuesday USDX rules the world /and previous weeks/
now for AUD we have only chash rate at 05.10 or USDX
for me fibonacci tools are the best, works always
1rule - we must understand

opposite my TA, i'm still short
  • #23,631
  • Sep 24, 2010 2:08pm Sep 24, 2010 2:08pm
Quoting Daytrader74
I love you AUD.....keep climbing the sky is the limit baby lol
yea like planes, they keep climbing, the sky is the limit, but once they fail, they sadly crash, so beware.

maybe .9650 for top, then range for a while, after that down we go.
  • #23,632
  • Sep 24, 2010 3:16pm Sep 24, 2010 3:16pm
i think we will see a red weekly candle next week. 5 greens in a row. may be wrong but im holding my shorts over the weekend. later all good luck with your trades.
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  • #23,633
  • Sep 26, 2010 3:41pm Sep 26, 2010 3:41pm
.9618
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #23,634
  • Sep 26, 2010 6:05pm Sep 26, 2010 6:05pm
Early stop losses taken out.. BOJ threat on weekend strong chance today.
High AUD may dampen rate hike economists are suggesting.
Do we go long here? Need new supply of buyers or news to advance on topside as weak shorts may have been taken out.
Tricky day to start off week.
  • #23,635
  • Sep 26, 2010 6:51pm Sep 26, 2010 6:51pm
go long until news or .98, which ever comes first
  • #23,636
  • Sep 26, 2010 8:47pm Sep 26, 2010 8:47pm
Seems like mkt buying dips on intraday play. Eur looking heavy and given the mkt is extremely overbought in both and with weak shorts taken out on friday night and this morning, we may get a decent pullback. A break below 9550 could see a bail out of panicky longs..
The mkt is ripe for a tap on the downside to force those comfortable longs out.
  • #23,637
  • Edited 9:09pm Sep 26, 2010 9:08pm | Edited 9:09pm
The monthly candle for june 2008 has a wick that touches .9871,the body is .9612. The 4hr candle for today was up to .9626,so we are at historical highs, im holding out for either a slide back down to below .9365,where I will close my longs or a new all time high
  • #23,638
  • Sep 26, 2010 11:23pm Sep 26, 2010 11:23pm
Eh em, you guys truly didn't/dont think the Longs were gonna go easy on you considering there are roughly 2 retailers short for every one Long.

Goes up real fast but takes it's sweet time on the way down. How convenient.

Funny market, this forex.
  • #23,639
  • Sep 26, 2010 11:36pm Sep 26, 2010 11:36pm
Quoting Warwick
Eh em, you guys truly didn't/dont think the Longs were gonna go easy on you considering there are roughly 2 retailers short for every one Long.

Goes up real fast but takes it's sweet time on the way down. How convenient.

Funny market, this forex.
I can here dem bears in dem hills....
It depends if dem bears are only yawning or roaring..
  • #23,640
  • Sep 27, 2010 12:30am Sep 27, 2010 12:30am
Quoting lasty
I can here dem bears in dem hills....
It depends if dem bears are only yawning or roaring..
Sadly... I imagine they'll only show their face when the short retail crowd are on their last wheezing breaths.


It simply is more profitable for the market, RBA, and whomever else to gun stops to the topside.

As a sidenote - evaluated the RBA's general stance on currency levels and whathaveyou and indeed they are in the business of Making money. (A few billion $'s profit since their dollar was unpegged) which is why I expect them to do absolutely nothing to stem the Aussie's appreciation if it reaches extreme levels.

Although they seem to have no problem buying up Aussie's whenever the 60-70 level is encroached upon.

I wouldn't be surprised if they weren't primary buyers into this run-up.
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