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AUD/USD

  • #23,101
  • Sep 17, 2010 2:26am Sep 17, 2010 2:26am
94.60 the overpriced peice of shit ! Shooting myself as i was in at 93.60 but at work and closed it out
who raped silver !
  • #23,102
  • Sep 17, 2010 2:27am Sep 17, 2010 2:27am
but i also agree with the gap. it will get closed as history shows but maybe next week
  • #23,103
  • Sep 17, 2010 2:30am Sep 17, 2010 2:30am
Im selling just above resitanse wherever that maybe nowhahahhahaha
who raped silver !
  • #23,104
  • Sep 17, 2010 2:35am Sep 17, 2010 2:35am
AUD is too strong now. But no way to get a short there.
  • #23,105
  • Sep 17, 2010 2:36am Sep 17, 2010 2:36am
Yeah i agree i cannot find a decent positions HELP ME !~
who raped silver !
  • #23,106
  • Edited 3:13am Sep 17, 2010 3:08am | Edited 3:13am
Quoting ivanovic01
but i also agree with the gap. it will get closed as history shows but maybe next week
Wow, my monthly indie just made a big move showing a trend change similar but not quite as significant to May of 2008. It has not moved at all this way since then. I believe something huge is cooking and I don't say that lightly. My indie rarely misses but it doesnt signal much on higher time frames. Going to short long term and going to bed.

I must add my 1HR indie still shows an upmove but it is fading.
  • #23,107
  • Sep 17, 2010 3:10am Sep 17, 2010 3:10am
Quoting Redeemed1
Wow, my monthly indie just made a big move showing a trend change similar but not quite as significant to May of 2008. It has not moved at all this way since then. I believe something huge is cooking and I don't say that lightly. Going to short long term and going to bed.
Why do you think that should go short here? What is your points?
  • #23,108
  • Sep 17, 2010 3:27am Sep 17, 2010 3:27am
Hi Redeemed1

If it's a monthly indicator, why are you taking note of it now?
Surely a monthly indicator is only of value at the close of the month?
But who knows for sure ?
  • #23,109
  • Sep 17, 2010 3:29am Sep 17, 2010 3:29am
short at 9465..AU cant go further today as 9468 got strong res, gonna see what US are going to do with it tonight.
since CAN couldn't find a support and AU couldn't touch a "real" res. i think this crazy game is gonna reach the top soon (or later).
as you guys discuss on top, i'm wondering that whether China would still willing to import resource from Au with this damn high price, if things keep like this, Au banks would not get the "best bank during worlds financial crisis" title anymore.
i remember 2 months or 1 month ago, RBA said Au will reach 9400, it is near 9500 now, the question is whether RBA want it to be higher?
im currently a international student in sydney. sorry about my poor english.
  • #23,110
  • Sep 17, 2010 3:34am Sep 17, 2010 3:34am
Quoting Pham
Why do you think that should go short here? What is your points?
I came back to answer you as my statement warrants more info. I use a combination indi of a Schaff Trend Cycle and a Zero Lag indicator. Seperate they are of nominal help, combined together with a MAC D, it has been real nice.

It had the same type of indication Spring 05 and summer of 08, and no other times

Correction, Fall 96 as well. I am in USA so our seasons are opposite. My indie on MN is hards to gage exact month when looking back, sorry.
  • #23,111
  • Sep 17, 2010 3:41am Sep 17, 2010 3:41am
Quoting avalonyu
short at 9465..AU cant go further today as 9468 got strong res, gonna see what US are going to do with it tonight.
since CAN couldn't find a support and AU couldn't touch a "real" res. i think this crazy game is gonna reach the top soon (or later).
as you guys discuss on top, i'm wondering that whether China would still willing to import resource from Au with this damn high price, if things keep like this, Au banks would not get the "best bank during worlds financial crisis" title anymore.
i remember 2 months or 1 month ago, RBA said Au will...
Just because 9468 is strong resistance doesn't mean it cant go further today. But I'll have to agree that upside is very very limited for this pair from here. What the RBA does is on foreign exchange markets is of very little influence on this pair.
Number #1 in PnL and Pips on Dukascopy Trader Contest since 2011
  • #23,112
  • Sep 17, 2010 3:43am Sep 17, 2010 3:43am
i aint cutting my longs just yet though.
hope no rude shock on monday
  • #23,113
  • Sep 17, 2010 3:48am Sep 17, 2010 3:48am
and another thing here, asian time were quiet most of the time, and they are not dumb, will this push today be a trap? i mean asian want someone else to buy the "top"
china has done lots dumb things this year, but they never fail on currency.
lol .. just saying..im chinese and i have good faith in them.
  • #23,114
  • Sep 17, 2010 3:50am Sep 17, 2010 3:50am
Quoting iamboston
i aint cutting my longs just yet though.
hope no rude shock on monday
Monthly Indie has given me a couple weeks notice in the past on other pairs.
  • #23,115
  • Sep 17, 2010 4:12am Sep 17, 2010 4:12am
Quoting avalonyu
and another thing here, asian time were quiet most of the time, and they are not dumb, will this push today be a trap? i mean asian want someone else to buy the "top"
china has done lots dumb things this year, but they never fail on currency.
lol .. just saying..im chinese and i have good faith in them.
Well there is an Asian central bank selling at 9468.
Number #1 in PnL and Pips on Dukascopy Trader Contest since 2011
  • #23,116
  • Sep 17, 2010 4:14am Sep 17, 2010 4:14am
Up up up!
Quoting need-help
Hi,
hope every one is having a great week.

IMO AU is prepared for a break to the upside (chart 1). But I would rather sell than buy this thing. So I will be looking to sell this pair on the touch of the upper line as shown by the arrow on the second chart.

I could be wrong

Edit:
The touch on the upper trend line should be around 953X. Hey good US data can probably take us there.
  • #23,117
  • Sep 17, 2010 4:14am Sep 17, 2010 4:14am
Quoting rahulkghosh
Well there is an Asian central bank selling at 9468.
Where do you get that info?
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #23,118
  • Edited 5:21am Sep 17, 2010 4:21am | Edited 5:21am
For me this is still long -though surely weŽll have retracements to .94 zone-, and it will be long for hours, if not days.

Reason: my own oscillators point north with high strength, and Williams-1H and daily is at the top zone.

I expect .953 -and maybe .959- soon.

(But use me as a contrarian indicator... )

EDIT: also MACD 4H bullish, right now
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #23,119
  • Sep 17, 2010 4:32am Sep 17, 2010 4:32am
My 9400 short from a couple days ago got taken out after I went to bed last night at B/E +10. I just re-entered at 9465 when I saw the 8sma cross the 8ema on the M15 plus the D R3. So we shall see if I can make a few pips off of this move.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au.jpg Size: 177 KB
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #23,120
  • Sep 17, 2010 4:35am Sep 17, 2010 4:35am
I was long , but closed out my last one around .9400, and I didnt really think it would go past there to be honest. Was wrong, but it has sure slowed down, this stinks of an exhaustion move, not a true continuation. I've started to short now, holding two positions. Always reason to be a bit nervous when counter trend trading though. To be on the safe side I will stick with the COT speculators though, and drink more beer as the draw down expands lol
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