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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #4,381
  • Sep 5, 2010 1:55pm Sep 5, 2010 1:55pm
Repost from another thread:

http://i53.tinypic.com/2ylmc5z.png

http://i53.tinypic.com/2rmqrkg.png

http://i54.tinypic.com/2mynlf8.png

http://i52.tinypic.com/2rq2fdh.png
  • #4,382
  • Sep 5, 2010 5:41pm Sep 5, 2010 5:41pm
Shahab - just out of interest, how long have you been trading for. You really know you stuff ! lol. Also, is the record of total pips, on the very first post, from trades you called in this thread (i havnt read through the entire thread yet) ? Would be nice to see the updated results
  • #4,383
  • Sep 8, 2010 8:37am Sep 8, 2010 8:37am
Our current open positions:

Cable +140 pips
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #4,384
  • Sep 8, 2010 8:41am Sep 8, 2010 8:41am
Our current open positions:

Loonie +80 pips
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: loonie2a.gif Size: 21 KB
  • #4,385
  • Sep 8, 2010 8:58am Sep 8, 2010 8:58am
EURCHF

E/J

U/J
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #4,386
  • Sep 8, 2010 10:23am Sep 8, 2010 10:23am
Hi Shahab - was there a COT influence on the longs above for e/j and e/chf in particular ?

Have been studying COT a little myself and most of the majors tend to look quite flat either way - so hard to get a bias out of that.

Thx
  • #4,387
  • Sep 8, 2010 10:34am Sep 8, 2010 10:34am
Long term (weekly) Gold chart: Ending diagonal
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #4,388
  • Sep 8, 2010 10:41am Sep 8, 2010 10:41am
Quoting pipmyride
Hi Shahab - was there a COT influence on the longs above for e/j and e/chf in particular ?

Have been studying COT a little myself and most of the majors tend to look quite flat either way - so hard to get a bias out of that.

Thx
Hi there,

I used COT to guide U/J, E/J long trade (looking at E/U, J/U COT) but not for E/Chf.
As I mentioned in the first page, COT helps you to get some clue about the market positioning and sentiment but the entry and exit are mostly technical.
  • #4,389
  • Sep 8, 2010 10:59am Sep 8, 2010 10:59am
Quoting shahab8b
Hi there,

I used COT to guide U/J, E/J long trade (looking at E/U, J/U COT) but not for E/Chf.
As I mentioned in the first page, COT helps you to get some clue about the market positioning and sentiment but the entry and exit are mostly technical.
Thx - i just re-read the first page and seems you look at it the same way - we want to be with the big specs.

So my take on the Euro COT , for example, is that while big specs decreased their short positions during the recent rally, they never got back to net long, and it has taken a small turn back towards shorts - so my bias for Euro is still short - hence when E/J got down to that bottom level i failed to take any longs.

I totally agree that COT should not be used for actual entries ... i read with interest
  • #4,390
  • Edited 8:20am Sep 9, 2010 5:53am | Edited 8:20am
Hi Shahab, How did you dertermine your entry/buy point on the U/J pair ? ive been looking through that chart and cant see how you managed to get that point.

Thanks, Dan
  • #4,391
  • Sep 9, 2010 8:13am Sep 9, 2010 8:13am
A/U
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #4,392
  • Sep 9, 2010 8:17am Sep 9, 2010 8:17am
U/Cad, reaching the Target (+160 )
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #4,393
  • Sep 9, 2010 9:35am Sep 9, 2010 9:35am
Quoting shahab8b
U/Cad, reaching the Target (+160 )
really nice trade my friend.
EURCAD240
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #4,394
  • Sep 9, 2010 9:58am Sep 9, 2010 9:58am
ٍEuryen60
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  • #4,395
  • Sep 9, 2010 11:15am Sep 9, 2010 11:15am
GBPCHF
S&R
fibo
weekly pivot
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpchf1.gif Size: 18 KB
  • #4,396
  • Sep 9, 2010 11:19am Sep 9, 2010 11:19am
Quoting dan89
Hi Shahab, How did you dertermine your entry/buy point on the U/J pair ? ive been looking through that chart and cant see how you managed to get that point.

Thanks, Dan
Hi Dan,

J/U COT shows extreme long Yen positioning so the corrections on dip U/J is expected. I took long U/J close to weekly S at 83.34.
  • #4,397
  • Sep 9, 2010 11:20am Sep 9, 2010 11:20am
Quoting BlackStone
really nice trade my friend.
EURCAD240
Thanks , I like your E/C chart
  • #4,398
  • Sep 9, 2010 5:50pm Sep 9, 2010 5:50pm
I can't just keep reposting this in each thread I like without killing the bandwidth:

Here's 9 weekly charts I like

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=3196

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=3197
  • #4,399
  • Sep 9, 2010 9:46pm Sep 9, 2010 9:46pm
Quoting BlackStone
GBPCHF
S&R
fibo
weekly pivot
nice reaction
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #4,400
  • Sep 10, 2010 12:28am Sep 10, 2010 12:28am
+100 pips
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpchf21.gif Size: 16 KB
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