Pathfinding

So i have the notion that i would write some, mainly for my own benefit, but if any of you guys reading this find ths interesting thats fun. IF you read something interesting i am always open for collaboration and intelligent discussion without the need for witty remarks and banter.

Its a very usefull thing cause where ever i am i can access the journal, dont have to have some cumbersome text document or such. I must remember to omit sensitive information.

Moved from M1 to M5 in transitory last week, coming into it regularly this week. Do not agree about sentiment concerning that M1 would be subject to "brus". However execution was my enemy, see live trade last week, 1 pip probably went to alpari and not for the first time. This really got my emotions in sway. So getting rid of these two issues lead up a step in TF.

Now doing my usual stuff, having a short detour with COG beginning of last week or something like that, now back to using MA with borders. The newest installment i call LV16, the COG work being a detour without level names. Used the COG to determine direction and give borders on price, but since i could not truly understand the mathematics behind it, neither the repainting version, nor the none repainting one, its out the door. Central MA with borders seemt to be the way to go, over both COG and Bollys.

The central MA is now accompanied by CCI and two RSI´s, of slightly tuned for M5, surprising however how well my values from M1 where consistent in generating good profit. MA has appropriate borders, and its period is tuned for that pair, generating diffrent templates for each pair, settings differ both concerning MA and CCI/RSI settings.

My goal is to never have a stoploss, though taking a - deal is inevitable at around the next candle or so after signal. It seems somewhee around 25%-35% approx. of signals might suffer from this, not at all being a problem.

At the moment only 3 pairs seem interesting EUR/USD, GBP/USD and EUR/GBP. Others seem to be a combination of too spiky spikes, too much spread, too hard to set borders.

Trying out placing a lot of small trades in middle of borders, giving it balance on buy/sell. This mostly for convenience, closing sells when signal says dips, closing buys when signals say peaks. The idea is making the trades smoother, and if things get hairy "spread" can be spread, not in % of total trade e of course but rather as a factor of time PA (no i dont know how to put this simply into words).

One setup could be something like:

Total capital x

First trade SL .005 of x
Second trade SL 0.01 of x
Third trade SL 0.01 or 0.015 of x

First trade init. at diffuse signal, but close to line of combined CCI/RSI indie. Should be at least closer to borders of MA then to MA itself (2/3 of the way).

Given that first trade not taken after large move of say 150 pips, possibly entering second trade if PA is not very fast and price still inside borders of MA.

VERY IMPORTANT: Third trade is not to be taken lightly and not to be used as a panic meassure. Given that first and second is used and a third signal is given in consecutive order, VERY IMPORTANT inside borders of MA, then and possibly only then the third trade is entered.

When the deal is giving up 10 pips/or around 0.01 of x, close it.

http://www.ping.de/sites/systemcoder...o/sumerian.htm

https://www.avanza.se/aza/aktieropti...erbookId=33467

http://www.diagnosis2012.co.uk/5thsun.htm

http://www.army.mil/usapa/epubs/pdf/r210_35.pdf

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/bu...ld-873869.html

http://www.sacred-texts.com/oto/engccxx.htm

I remember that i "broke up" with EUR/GBP in the spring, but i am seeing som nice, housebroken behaviour these days of it so im interested in it again. I found very stable borders on all timeframes, very nice for trades in the borders, possibly loading up many 0.1 consecutively in the future. Yes, a very nice thing to trade.

Well al of the above, tried, tested, recalculated, tested, tried and so on. Finally done with it all. All its good for is saying: Well maybe here its gonna not continue, or its just as likely to actually just continue. I found that my Indie and MA works just fine wihout having to do anything with such things. Of course i could be wrong but i would need strong proof of that to think so.

Borders of G/U very strong as we can se at all instances except large, bankcontrolled moves. Very nice for scalping the bounce either way for say 4+spread. Large bankcontrolled moves very evident at 60-70 pip candles, and besides if they are not that fast they can probably still be treated as regular moves.

Had a look at oil M30 yesterday and made a nice physical border for that price as well. Can definetly be made some money here with SL around 40, TP say 25 or timecontrolled like, 5 candles or so. Some tweaking to mutliindie already done.

For say E/G acting within borders is very real, though this seem best done at closed candles. Though penetreation and bounce of borders seem no problem to be taken without closed candles.

Pretty much given up on collaboration att FF, none seem interested in something other then having a load of cash dumped infront of them, none willing to go the way to get there. Fortunately that does not seem to be a problem, it could theoreticaly have been a problem if there actually where some collaboration, but this is speculatory.

Alternative A

SL time x

TP time x

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Altternative B

SL amount -y

Max TP amount (y/2)

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A seem weak in trend, bearing in mind that multiindie does not accomodate for trend, but only relative strength and speed of PA. Given this a modification of said terms must be experimented and calculated on. A is also weak because a lot of returnings to MA, in fact almost all will be missed. Strong point is extremly little drawback/actual SL amount in long run, resulting in largers lots.

B seem costly in long run, it would of course be best to autocalculate and optimize this for tuning.

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Or an alternative C could be interesting.

Max TP at time 2x or amount y

SL at time 2x or amount -2y

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Or alternative D could be a function of these two so that:

TP at x + y

SL at x + 2y

Strength of trend = Time PA spend at borders

Given that we dont know how much time PA will spend at borders, this does not do much good. But this also seem true:

Strength of trend = Angle of MA

This angle is often hard to judge because of the sheer speed at which it goes off. But there should be at least a 5 min window somewhere in there to judge this off of.

While boring myself to death with slow M5 PA i tried making borders for EG on M30, very nice extremly physical borders seem very easy to find. SL and TP calculates easily from these. Just let go of a EG deal taken off of M5 that would have been considered a M30 deal, given up easily the double TP.

I could easily spend a few hours making borders and tunings for M30 in all 3 pairs, but priority lies in understandning PA/trend wisdom regarding TP, SL. As this wisdom seem to come along fine this week given what i wrote i small black book.

It would seem that SP, SL needs to be adjusted for trend. Around 35-70% of all deals are taken in trend. Perhaps the most safe and trendy/controlled pair is EG, which often seem to move rather in steps then in hills, see for example july 20 too july 30, one flat surface taken to in a step and 3 hills.

Early august 2 too 9 very boring indeed, never liking the borders. Will consider moving green line in multiindie to accomodate specifical speed and momentum of M30.

When PA have picked up speed in strong trend and PA eventually needs to put the breaks on, and when PA gets close to borders, 5 hours of extreme up and down momentum ensues, candles of around 20-30 will be everywhere. LEARN TO SCALP THIS!!!

When price hits borders it always rebound to MA for around 15 pips, even though it might resume former trend later, which it will it its stong (this really being the definition of strong, which doesnt make me that much wiser in itself).

So slow day for me today so for entertainment i will tell you guys a little story from real life (and no this is not off topic).

Me and my wife where visiting her relatives last week, giving me a one day break from trading on friday. Anyway me, my wife and one of her relatives went into town for lunch and met up with a friend. My wifes relative was surprised to know she could get any cash from the ATM, and then she remembered, she dont have any money, so she cant get cash, though she can use credit on her mastercard. She told us that she, aswell as the friend we met up with, live off of credit all the time. Most months both of them end up on credit before the month is over.
Though i did not think these things where appropriate for lunchtime conversation i did not bring this up.

But really, they are normal people, normal families, normal incomes, normal houses/apartments and so on. Other then theyre montly credit they live in houses they dont own, the bank does.

So every month they lend money from someone in order to pay for sustenance and housing of themselves and theyre children and spouses/wifes. They dont own theyre house, and the tools they use to get to work everyday (the car). Does this ring a bell?

There is one very appropriate word for it: SLAVERY. Its been going on since the dawn of civilisation 6.000 years ago in what is now Irak and Iran. And people think that things change, that they are more free then peoples of the old? Why do they belive this? Well i bet people of old times thought so to.
If people dont realise it, the better for the elit. If people deny it to protect theyre ego, the better for the elit.

Now it havent actually been like this forever, at least not in sweden where i live. In the 60 and 70 is people actually bought and paid for theyre own house instantly, regular people with regular jobs. If you study history like i have, maybe you will see what slavery really is, and what this world is really like. Only this time around some crazy, uneducated people are pushing for a world governmet, a ludicrous idea that will very rapidly plunge us into chaos within the very short term of say 30-40 years if that becomes so.

http://vaken.se/modules/smartsection...php?itemid=799

http://www.sourze.se/Svininfluensan_...t_10719879.asp

There is only one strategy that works: Use youre mind. The human mind is something extraordinary, no really, i mean it.

Youre biggest enemy is yourself, ive heard it, ive read it, ive seen it, but right now for the first time i understand it. The problem can be formulated as such:

When you trade a demoaccount you dont take it seriously enough to actually apply youreself, and when you trade a real account you are too afraid of loosing money.

...
Something interesting happens to my brain when i drink alchohol, its as if a weil is lifted the day after. Other things lift other weils...

Well it seems i dont have time to post at this forum much more, my strategy demands most of my attention.

So i got my computer from the office back home now. The two 24" monitors sure is big compared to one 17" laptop screen. Now i can even have a browserwindow at the same time as i am trading. But 3 pairs M5 takes up most of my attention anyway, which makes it kind of boring, but nothing can stop me now. So al the prework that is left is to code the scripts and get going.

I think i must revise my thinking here. It would seem like i could keep out of many SL if i am bearing S/R in mind, since attacking them takes a lot of momentum, its probably often in these instances that i need to pay for SL. I must put a lot of effort to go into this very, very deeply since it is possibly a source of around 50% of my SLs. Though i need some kind of filter to disregard some S/R of course, not all mentioned at places can be used, since some are propaganda/self prophetic.

Halving SLs would mean around halving my loosing trades, in effect mutliplying my PF.

See for example E/U 1.27 right now in 30 aug and some days before.

So all that really is left as of now is to tune SL settings and try to figure out ways of eliminating SL situations. The signal itself is extremly accurate, no need for much tuning there, other then the occasional borders adjustment. It would seem like its a lot smarter to try to get in on ALL signals outside of news, instead of looking for the perfect one. G/U seem very unreliable today though because of wages being paid and whatnot. Will try a quick revisit to the COG to iron out the problem of G/U MA angle problem P2.

NOTE: have a look at using tight SL, especially for E/G