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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #4,281
  • Aug 19, 2010 9:31am Aug 19, 2010 9:31am
Quoting Dhb
Hi Shahab,

In your Swissy chart you mention that an ascending broadening formation has a 66% probability of breaking out downward. Where did you get this statistic from, if you don't mind me asking? Proprietary research, or some public source?

Thanks!

I've sent you what you asked, you can look them up here too,
http://thepatternsite.com/chartpatterns.html
  • #4,282
  • Aug 19, 2010 9:32am Aug 19, 2010 9:32am
Quoting lucas101
can someone what is the platform in the picture？？？？

http://timingcharts.com/
  • #4,283
  • Aug 19, 2010 9:39am Aug 19, 2010 9:39am
Very nice. Do you also have a COT one for the AUD/JPY?

TIA, if you do.


Quoting shahab8b
Aussie,

Note the association between COT index extreme and reversal/deep correction
  • #4,284
  • Aug 19, 2010 10:01am Aug 19, 2010 10:01am
Quoting Leche Mocha
Very nice. Do you also have a COT one for the AUD/JPY?

TIA, if you do.

COT is available only for major currencies vs USD; you can drive A/J by looking at A/U and U/J. They do the same thing for E/G and E/Chf.
  • #4,285
  • Aug 19, 2010 10:01am Aug 19, 2010 10:01am
Quoting shahab8b
Hi,
Nice call on U/Cad well done, how did you get 1.0250 ? I've got 1.0280 on my chart and traded that, your 1.0205 was impressively accurate.
hi Shahab
miss your busy days in this thread
wish you all the best
  • #4,286
  • Aug 19, 2010 11:20am Aug 19, 2010 11:20am
Quoting BlackStone
hi Shahab
miss your busy days in this thread
wish you all the best
Thank you ,I'll try to post whenever I get a chance.

BTW, you forgot to tell me the ratios you used on U/Cad to get 1.0250.
  • #4,287
  • Aug 19, 2010 12:08pm Aug 19, 2010 12:08pm
Quoting shahab8b
Thank you ,I'll try to post whenever I get a chance.

BTW, you forgot to tell me the ratios you used on U/Cad to get 1.0250.
i put the order in 1.0250, which is 0.618 retracement of 1.01050 to 1.0491
and good S&R and projection of 1.491 to 1.348 from 1.0464 which is almost around 1.0250( 1.0236 )

it is so interesting for me that you wanna know the reason of trading in that price and this is why you are great trader.
  • #4,288
  • Aug 19, 2010 12:20pm Aug 19, 2010 12:20pm
Quoting BlackStone
i put the order in 1.0250, which is 0.618 retracement of 1.01050 to 1.0491
and good S&R and projection of 1.491 to 1.348 from 1.0464 which is almost around 1.0250( 1.0236 )

it is so interesting for me that you wanna know the reason of trading in that price and this is why you are great trader.

Thanks for that,
The reason I asked was :
We both consider that a harmonic pattern ,to be precise it was a bullish bat,but I couldn't get the exact point D right, I got 1.0280, I know we had fib .61 at 1.0250 but I went with 0280, the result: I got 30 pips on half and stopped out on the rest at b/e. On the other hand you were spot on, well done
  • #4,289
  • Aug 19, 2010 12:52pm Aug 19, 2010 12:52pm
U/Chf,
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: uchf.gif Size: 20 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: uchf1.gif Size: 21 KB
  • #4,290
  • Aug 19, 2010 1:15pm Aug 19, 2010 1:15pm
DAX futures , watch out the LTL
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dax1.gif Size: 23 KB
  • #4,291
  • Aug 19, 2010 1:23pm Aug 19, 2010 1:23pm
Quoting BlackStone
i put the order in 1.0250, which is 0.618 retracement of 1.01050 to 1.0491
and good S&R and projection of 1.491 to 1.348 from 1.0464 which is almost around 1.0250( 1.0236 )

it is so interesting for me that you wanna know the reason of trading in that price and this is why you are great trader.
Hey blackstone, can you show what you mean by "
and good S&R and projection of 1.491 to 1.348 from 1.0464 which is almost around 1.0250( 1.0236 )" . I understand the .618 retracement level. Thanks
  • #4,292
  • Aug 19, 2010 1:29pm Aug 19, 2010 1:29pm
I love the simplicity of the charts here Shahab, and everyone else.

Thanks.
  • #4,293
  • Aug 19, 2010 1:41pm Aug 19, 2010 1:41pm
Hi Shahab8b, ive sent you a PM, check it out when you get a spare min
Dan
  • #4,294
  • Aug 19, 2010 1:46pm Aug 19, 2010 1:46pm
Quoting rtiger29
Hey blackstone, can you show what you mean by "
and good S&R and projection of 1.491 to 1.348 from 1.0464 which is almost around 1.0250( 1.0236 )" . I understand the .618 retracement level. Thanks
Note, the R turned S in multiple times.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: cad.gif Size: 21 KB
  • #4,295
  • Aug 19, 2010 1:48pm Aug 19, 2010 1:48pm
Quoting Low
I love the simplicity of the charts here Shahab, and everyone else.

Thanks.
Thanks Low, I always enjoy your charts too, keep up the good work
  • #4,296
  • Aug 19, 2010 1:57pm Aug 19, 2010 1:57pm
Quoting rtiger29
Hey blackstone, can you show what you mean by "
and good S&R and projection of 1.491 to 1.348 from 1.0464 which is almost around 1.0250( 1.0236 )" . I understand the .618 retracement level. Thanks
i show it in attached picture
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdcad12.gif Size: 26 KB
  • #4,297
  • Aug 19, 2010 2:13pm Aug 19, 2010 2:13pm
Quoting BlackStone
i show it in attached picture
Nicely done
  • #4,298
  • Aug 19, 2010 4:38pm Aug 19, 2010 4:38pm
Thanks guys. i appreciate it
  • #4,299
  • Aug 20, 2010 7:40am Aug 20, 2010 7:40am
USDCAD240
AB=CD
symmetry
S&R
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdcad240.gif Size: 29 KB
  • #4,300
  • Aug 20, 2010 7:54am Aug 20, 2010 7:54am
AUDCAD60
S&R
symmetry
Gartley
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audcad.gif Size: 19 KB
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