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AUD/USD

  • #22,581
  • Aug 10, 2010 8:09am Aug 10, 2010 8:09am
Hello every body....what's up here?
  • #22,582
  • Aug 10, 2010 8:12am Aug 10, 2010 8:12am
Quoting jimobiwan
Anyone got their fingers in AUDJPY?
im still long the audusd from 8500 ill hold through this series of pullbacks
  • #22,583
  • Aug 10, 2010 8:15am Aug 10, 2010 8:15am
Quoting Australia1
Hello every body....what's up here?

hello !

since you are from australia could you say few words about election? and possible influence on currency?

could you maybe send some links to australian news portals ?

cheers
  • #22,584
  • Aug 10, 2010 8:20am Aug 10, 2010 8:20am
Quoting domino
im still long the audusd from 8500 ill hold through this series of pullbacks


It looks the pair will test 0.9000 by couple of hours, the trend is down.
  • #22,585
  • Aug 10, 2010 8:39am Aug 10, 2010 8:39am
Quoting Australia1

It looks the pair will test 0.9000 by couple of hours, the trend is down.
long term trend is up .. rates are to divergent to be down .. dollar is to weak .. well do some normal pullbacks but not to much I think
  • #22,586
  • Aug 10, 2010 8:40am Aug 10, 2010 8:40am
Quoting johny_bravo
hello !

since you are from australia could you say few words about election? and possible influence on currency?

could you maybe send some links to australian news portals ?

cheers
Here you go.
The next Australian federal election will be held on Saturday 21 August 2010, this date is critical for the AUD, however the Australian currency will be sleepy against other currencies in the coming few days, in simple words it’s good time to sell till the election day, I am in sell mode from .9210, let's see.
  • #22,587
  • Aug 10, 2010 8:45am Aug 10, 2010 8:45am
From DailyFX: Short positions below 0.912 with targets @ 0.9025 & 0.9 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 0.912 look for further upside with 0.9142 & 0.9175 as targets.

Comment: the RSI is badly directed.

Key levels
0.9175
0.9142
0.912
0.9068 last
0.9025
0.9
0.8975
  • #22,588
  • Aug 10, 2010 8:48am Aug 10, 2010 8:48am
http://www.actionforex.com/action-in...udusd-outlook/
  • #22,589
  • Aug 10, 2010 8:51am Aug 10, 2010 8:51am
Quoting Australia1
Here you go.

cheers mate, good stuff.

how about chances of hung parliment? and how often does it happens in australia? is it as rare as in uk? can it have as big impact on aud as it had on gpb ?
  • #22,590
  • Aug 10, 2010 11:40am Aug 10, 2010 11:40am
IMO this TL needs to break up if longs are going to have a chance. This has been holding for the past few years. Went short at the TL, I believe it will hold:
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  • #22,591
  • Aug 10, 2010 12:24pm Aug 10, 2010 12:24pm
SL at BE +6
  • #22,592
  • Aug 10, 2010 6:27pm Aug 10, 2010 6:27pm
Quoting domino
long term trend is up .. rates are to divergent to be down .. dollar is to weak .. well do some normal pullbacks but not to much I think
Actually rates are divergent to the point there can be a major crash if there is risk aversion, global deflation fears etc.

That's what we'll see over the coming two months.

Longer-term trend was up, but now its down. AUD value is being degraded by more AUD's in the system. USD value is being increased by less USD in the system.
Number #1 in PnL and Pips on Dukascopy Trader Contest since 2011
  • #22,593
  • Aug 10, 2010 7:19pm Aug 10, 2010 7:19pm
Quoting Phonetic
IMO this TL needs to break up if longs are going to have a chance. This has been holding for the past few years. Went short at the TL, I believe it will hold:

worked out nicely. +50 pips and out. i still think we go down, but i there may be a retrace in order:
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  • #22,594
  • Aug 10, 2010 7:31pm Aug 10, 2010 7:31pm
hm, actually i think this may be a good short with a 30 or so pip SL.

If i lose this one, i've still made 20 pips so no big deal, but i think we will make a new low tonight, check this 1HR TL:

if we get a 4HR close below .9057 we're heading lower.
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  • #22,595
  • Aug 10, 2010 8:17pm Aug 10, 2010 8:17pm
break below 90.60 target of 88.60
  • #22,596
  • Aug 10, 2010 9:12pm Aug 10, 2010 9:12pm
Nikei down 2.5 %
  • #22,597
  • Aug 11, 2010 3:37am Aug 11, 2010 3:37am
Quoting Forexfsa
break below 90.60 target of 88.60

I would really love to see that movement.
  • #22,598
  • Aug 11, 2010 3:52am Aug 11, 2010 3:52am
It has to be on the cards now. Its broken past 90.60, hence target of 88.2 is achievable
  • #22,599
  • Aug 11, 2010 4:08am Aug 11, 2010 4:08am
JPY (3rd fr L top window) touched 84.96 today. Havent seen that since NOV09. AUD was at 8945 on the same day in '09.

Strong JPY plus some weaker numbers out of China could encourage AUD lower.

NZD (lower left window) touching the uptrend line, AUD (upper L window)broke upward lower wedge line.

Still holding shorts

(overlapping window on L is DXY 1H)
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I have no enemy; I make Incautiousness my Enemy.
  • #22,600
  • Aug 11, 2010 4:52am Aug 11, 2010 4:52am
Aussie $ might fall below 90, depends on the employment rate
Logics do not apply in FOREX
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