Which are 'predictable' pairs | Forex Factory

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Which are 'predictable' pairs

  • #1
  • First Post: Nov 24, 2009 12:00am Nov 24, 2009 12:00am
So I've been looking for pairs that are the most predictable (from a TA perspective). Ones that seem to obey the rules of technical analysis the most. So far I've found from a few articles.

 

  1. AUD/USD
  2. EUR/GBP
  3. NZD/USD
  4. EUR/USD
  5. USD/CHF

Are the good ones. I'd like to extend this out to 10 or so pairs. Can anybody point me in the right direction?

Thanks
Stuart

  • #2
  • Nov 24, 2009 3:16am Nov 24, 2009 3:16am
Hay stubish...

I dont know bout more predictable pairs but I can give you a list of pairs which are UNpredicatable... I believe its from the same site you got your info from... anyway here they are

USD/JPY
USD/CAD
GBP/JPY
EUR/CHF
GBP/AUD

Heres a link to the webpage so you can read up on it
http://www.forexcrunch.com/5-most-un...urrency-pairs/
  • #3
  • Nov 24, 2009 3:59am Nov 24, 2009 3:59am
Quoting stubish
So far I've found from a few articles.
It would be much better for you to dedicate a few hours of screen time to each (and some backwards analysis) and so find out which ones really seem to be more "predictable" and true to the TA rules in respect to the others.

Hands-on experience is worth a thousand external opinions.

However, I will add that, from my point of view, AUD/USD is quite stable in this regard, and EUR/JPY because when it takes a direction, it keeps it for a while.
But it's only my personal opinion.
  • #4
  • Nov 24, 2009 4:07am Nov 24, 2009 4:07am
Generally speaking, the most predictable currency pairs are those that are composed of EUR, USD, GBP, NZD, AUD and CHF. If you throw in some JPY or some exotic currency you'll get a lot unpredictability (in terms of TA). JPY is special because of the currency interventions (and speculations about these interventions). Exotic currencies are even more easily manipulated and are prone to strong influence of the fundamental events.
  • #5
  • Nov 24, 2009 4:20am Nov 24, 2009 4:20am
Quoting stubish
So I've been looking for pairs that are the most predictable (from a TA perspective). Ones that seem to obey the rules of technical analysis the most. So far I've found from a few articles.

 

  1. AUD/USD
  2. EUR/GBP
  3. NZD/USD
  4. EUR/USD
  5. USD/CHF

Are the good ones. I'd like to extend this out to 10 or so pairs. Can anybody point me in the right direction?

Thanks
Stuart

LOL I love these threads! All of them are, no wait none of them are!!!
  • #6
  • Nov 24, 2009 4:48am Nov 24, 2009 4:48am
Quoting >Apocalypto<
So you have a 100% hit rate on those pairs hey??/ what's your bank details I will send you my life's savings to trade

it just keeps on getting better in here!
Isnt it fair to say that some of the pairs are more technically valid? as in they tend to fall in line with certain technical theorys.. now im not saying that they follow it all the time, but more often than not?

Or is it more correct to say that none of the pairs can be predicted at all?
  • #7
  • Nov 24, 2009 5:37am Nov 24, 2009 5:37am
Quoting Sake-
Isnt it fair to say that some of the pairs are more technically valid? as in they tend to fall in line with certain technical theorys.. now im not saying that they follow it all the time, but more often than not?
No it's not.

at times any pair will trend perfectly and at other times it will not.

to say one pair is easier to trade is only correct in two levels, the volatility of the pair and the spread. there's no such thing as a pair that reacts more then another. all pairs range and trend. I don't buy it.

Quote
Or is it more correct to say that none of the pairs can be predicted at all?
no pair can be predicted that's newbie thinking IMO. you can take an educated guess based of past events to plan a certain way, but you can never predict the next move of a currency. There's no 100% sure thing in the markets. TA is nothing more then an Idea.

I have had 6 straight wins in two days. does that mean I can say with certainty I will have 1 more win before a loss? No I can't, i have positive expectancy before I hit the trigger but I have not idea it will be a sure win. that's why i use a stop-loss cuz aim 1 is to mange my risk.

these are my thoughts I have developed over the last fours of trading, they will most likely be different from others.

Economists ----- Predict
Traders ------ Plan to react

cheers
  • #8
  • Nov 24, 2009 6:19am Nov 24, 2009 6:19am
Try EUR/CHF
The only way to get smarter is by playing a smarter opponent.
  • #9
  • Nov 24, 2009 10:50am Nov 24, 2009 10:50am
Quoting capitalx
Why do you want to trade taht many pairs? Is there something special about your trading that needs so many different pairs to be efficient?
Usually, more pairs means more trading opportunities, especially for the long-term price-action traders.
  • #10
  • Nov 24, 2009 11:14am Nov 24, 2009 11:14am
I think you are considering the wrong "variables". I attached something that should be more interesting, IMO.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Uten navn.jpg Size: 50 KB
Measure twice, cut once
  • #11
  • Dec 3, 2009 6:34am Dec 3, 2009 6:34am
There are no more predictable ones, there are “safer ones” those are the called “safe heavens”, and trading them can be simpler or better (well no so much with JPY the past few weeks)…

Regarding envivd post, yeah you have more chances, but also, more chances to look. If you are too many currencies at the time you might get lost and make some mistakes, I think it´s better to focus on just a couple. Well unless u are a very experience trader, then do what u please
  • #12
  • Jan 29, 2010 5:22pm Jan 29, 2010 5:22pm
Wow love these pairs dude


Quoting aediaz1
I think you are considering the wrong "variables". I attached something that should be more interesting, IMO.
  • #13
  • Jan 29, 2010 6:53pm Jan 29, 2010 6:53pm
Quoting >Apocalypto<
LOL I love these threads! All of them are, no wait none of them are!!!
Agreed. Nothing is really predictable.
  • #14
  • Jan 29, 2010 11:04pm Jan 29, 2010 11:04pm
I love trading GBP/USD and EUR/USD and making money from these two. So I'd say these two pairs are predictable
  • #15
  • Jul 16, 2010 7:50pm Jul 16, 2010 7:50pm
Quoting aediaz1
I think you are considering the wrong "variables". I attached something that should be more interesting, IMO.
Hello aediaz

I read your chart with interest.
Pls. direct the source where I can look up for?
Thanks
tpat
Attached Image
  • #16
  • Jul 17, 2010 1:07pm Jul 17, 2010 1:07pm
This is completely subjective. No pairs are more "predictable" than others. Any pair will sometimes seem to conform with the classical TA rules, and sometimes not.

What you should be looking at when picking pairs is the liquidity, volatility, and of course spreads.

If it moves enough and has affordable spreads, it's good to trade.
  • #17
  • Aug 8, 2010 12:47am Aug 8, 2010 12:47am
Hi everybody, please take some minutes to check this analysis and let me know their comments. I'm using the THV system in combination with support and resistance, only confirmed entrances are allowed to buy or sell. I want to post my week analysis each Sunday here. We can become in a successful forex traders!
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf forex_8th_august_2010.pdf   405 KB | 390 downloads
File Type: pdf week 8 August 2010_part II.pdf   465 KB | 439 downloads
  • #18
  • Last Post: Aug 8, 2010 10:21am Aug 8, 2010 10:21am
For me I find the JPY pairs are not too bad. If you use 4H candles and some smoothing technique they trend quite nicely, assuming there arn't any trend changing news. My principle is to never trade the news, they can potentially change everything.
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