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AUD/JPY

  • #81
  • Jul 23, 2010 2:22am Jul 23, 2010 2:22am
Hey Amie Senor? Have I offended? I feel like the fat girl at the bus stop.
  • #82
  • Jul 23, 2010 2:40am Jul 23, 2010 2:40am
I am going short right now for a lot.
  • #83
  • Jul 23, 2010 9:51am Jul 23, 2010 9:51am
Quoting Amie_Senior
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R & S , That Is All !...
  • #84
  • Jul 23, 2010 11:20am Jul 23, 2010 11:20am
You are truly a woman of few words. None in fact. Anyways, this pair is now free and clear with no overhang. Gartley, if it comes through here, will impress the heck out of me.

No question, harmonics are significant. Hope this works out. For many reasons.
  • #85
  • Jul 25, 2010 11:04pm Jul 25, 2010 11:04pm
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Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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R & S , That Is All !...
  • #86
  • Aug 4, 2010 1:02pm Aug 4, 2010 1:02pm
too bad this thread has died off.
this has been a great pair to trade the last few weeks.
nice run up on the hourly there and just went short off the 15m.
we'll see if we get a little push down.
79.2x area has stopped up price quite a bit the last few weeks.
If we get a break up 80.90 should be a good stopping point.
Looking for this to pull back a bit, maybe 78.25 area.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #87
  • Aug 5, 2010 1:52am Aug 5, 2010 1:52am
more (long) to come
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #88
  • Aug 5, 2010 2:14am Aug 5, 2010 2:14am
yes, I'm long again at 78.73, SL at 78.50 TP at 80.17 with a trailing stop of 35 pips.
off to bed too many 1-2am nights this week.
  • #89
  • Aug 6, 2010 1:26am Aug 6, 2010 1:26am
Quoting kujo17
too bad this thread has died off.
this has been a great pair to trade the last few weeks.
nice run up on the hourly there and just went short off the 15m.
we'll see if we get a little push down.
79.2x area has stopped up price quite a bit the last few weeks.
If we get a break up 80.90 should be a good stopping point.
Looking for this to pull back a bit, maybe 78.25 area.
Hopefully it doesn't die, I like this pair too. Here's my view for tomorrow's NFP.
On the H1 chart of the week there's no direction to where the pair is going, more like a "expecting the news-continuation triangle" formation. The yen has been selling to big time lows and the aussie is 200 pips away to years high. Critical points. Just before the announcement I think there's going to be a big spike, either up or down, so I'm no trading before the announcement, in fact, I'm probably going to close any open position I could have.
If NFP comes close to Forecast or better, I'm buying and only if NFP come a LOT worse than forecast I'm selling. Good spot for a buy? I'm looking between 77.78-77.68 to sell 79.28-79.42 I'm going to set limit orders depending on news and wait for P.A. to catch my price.

Just sharing my plan for tomorrow, good luck to everyone.

Edit: My SL's if bought triggered [email protected], if sold [email protected]
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #90
  • Aug 6, 2010 2:15am Aug 6, 2010 2:15am
Well, I've been scalping her up for a bit.
She's stallin up a bit here 79.00 level.
Going to take my profits off the table and hit the sack (1am).
Steering clear of NFP as I always too.

Hope you all had a great week !
  • #91
  • Aug 6, 2010 8:10am Aug 6, 2010 8:10am
Data came worst than expected but no enough to trigger my buy, so far triangle being respected. Probably a good buy spot here.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #92
  • Aug 6, 2010 10:10am Aug 6, 2010 10:10am
Quoting kandarv
Data came worst than expected but no enough to trigger my buy, so far triangle being respected. Probably a good buy spot here.
Hopefully we see a shot up and breakout of this wedge, I'm still long SL at 77.5 TP 82. Will probably sell before TP just to hold profits, thoughts?
  • #93
  • Aug 6, 2010 10:59am Aug 6, 2010 10:59am
Quoting Armst227
Hopefully we see a shot up and breakout of this wedge, I'm still long SL at 77.5 TP 82. Will probably sell before TP just to hold profits, thoughts?
Continuation of the up trend is possible while P.A. above 77.34. The AUSJPY is being drag by the USDJPY now, Yen is getting stronger as investors are trying to get a safe haven in this crisis and although you can see a weaker USD that's not sufficient to push AUDUSD above .9720

The aussie will struggle next week as fear of lower consumption means less exports.

Good luck with your trades.
  • #94
  • Aug 6, 2010 11:01am Aug 6, 2010 11:01am
AUDJPY has tested the lt of the triangle and bounce. It will be retested and if it holds I maybe leave my trade open for the weekend.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #95
  • Aug 11, 2010 3:13pm Aug 11, 2010 3:13pm
Break of continuation triangle is confirmed, short term target 75.265. AUDUSD is in downtrend as FOMC has fueled some risk aversion and USDJPY got a newer lows yesterday aiming to 84.20. Today stocks plunge, Asia session will follow. Good luck
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #96
  • Aug 17, 2010 11:32am Aug 17, 2010 11:32am
I moved my SL after the first swing and now I got SLed after the reaction from today's morning news. However, the new setup looks almos the same the last one did, although this time my target won't be as greedy as last time.

P.A. has got it self inside a new triangle formation. @77.52 is just below 77.63 the 50% retracement from 79.41(Jul 27) - 75.84 (Aug 12). That is going to give possible good resistance.

AUDUSD is testing new week highs on better than expected Industrial Production and Core PPI. Possible level of exhaustion @0.9080

USDJPY is testing resistance @85.60 break above will invalid this setup on AUDJPY and probably hit my SL.

Short [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]

Good luck.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #97
  • Aug 17, 2010 10:14pm Aug 17, 2010 10:14pm
Quoting kandarv
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Short [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
1TP hitted +50 pips, moving SL@BE+2
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #98
  • Aug 19, 2010 10:08am Aug 19, 2010 10:08am
Quoting kandarv
...
Short [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
Good luck.
+50 pips, total trade +100 pips.
After two legs down only a few pips from 2TP, this morning's Unemployment Claims originated the so much expected pullback on AUDUSD.

If P.A. breaks below 75.80 and holds for the rest of the day it will probably heads even lower on tomorrows elections. I'm on the sidelines for the rest of the week on this pair waiting for the political event risk to finish.

Good luck
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #99
  • Aug 19, 2010 10:12am Aug 19, 2010 10:12am
Agree. What time are the Aussie elections ET or GMT-4 time?

Quoting kandarv
+50 pips, total trade +100 pips.
After two legs down only a few pips from 2TP, this morning's Unemployment Claims originated the so much expected pullback on AUDUSD.

If P.A. breaks below 75.80 and holds for the rest of the day it will probably heads even lower on tomorrows elections. I'm on the sidelines for the rest of the week on this pair waiting for the political event risk to finish.

Good luck
  • #100
  • Aug 19, 2010 10:20am Aug 19, 2010 10:20am
Quoting Leche Mocha
Agree. What time are the Aussie elections ET or GMT-4 time?
I have now clue, but in the calendar is marked as Friday and on the news on Saturday, so I guess it depends on you TZ.

Edit: market --> marked
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