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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #16,281
  • Jun 9, 2010 11:54am Jun 9, 2010 11:54am
Quoting aiyahmarklah
your statement hurts me...been quite a pig today...amazed at how the slightest distraction threw me off...i guess the loss was offset by the gst package
I was a pig today too. Still made money though...
  • #16,282
  • Jun 9, 2010 12:25pm Jun 9, 2010 12:25pm
Quoting M-H Trader
I was a pig today too. Still made money though...
I was sending pig scouts today, too. They didn't get slaughtered, luckily.
  • #16,283
  • Jun 9, 2010 12:34pm Jun 9, 2010 12:34pm
omg...this place is becoming a "i am a pig" confession thread. i should not have started it....

it isn't very comforting to know I got company either, take it back guys (the pips i mean) !!
  • #16,284
  • Jun 9, 2010 12:36pm Jun 9, 2010 12:36pm
Quoting auxesis
Sprials within spirals, hope everyone gets it now.
Thought I'd go back to this since I have some time to think about it. There are still multiple possibilities based on what has been said throughout the thread.

Are we talking about rescues here? Rescue levels 1, 2 and 3 using different timeframes?
fti stated (somewhere) that he trades using spiral within spirals so this may mean trading multiple timeframes?

1,1,2
4,4,8
16,16,32

Spiral within spirals - used for attacks and rescues? This is the way I understood rescues but we never really got into the use of it in attacks unless we consider the overnighter.
  • #16,285
  • Jun 9, 2010 12:43pm Jun 9, 2010 12:43pm
Quoting aiyahmarklah
omg...this place is becoming a "i am a pig" confession thread. i should not have started it....

it isn't very comforting to know I got company either, take it back guys (the pips i mean) !!
Interesting how this forum thing works sometimes

NY black boxes seem to ON already - EUR pairs are in full sync with the Dow now... so I'm working on it Mark
  • #16,286
  • Edited 1:29pm Jun 9, 2010 12:45pm | Edited 1:29pm
OK, I am short the E/$ at 1.2033, protecting 1.2028, and thinking this is my last trade of the NY session. Will let this run a bit more and then rest for Tokyo open. Good trading everyone!

Edit: Square at 1.2013.
  • #16,287
  • Jun 9, 2010 12:48pm Jun 9, 2010 12:48pm
Quoting Zoran
Thought I'd go back to this since I have some time to think about it....
my take on it is also about rescues, generally rescues make perfect MM sense, however attacks do not always work out well, at least in my experience. Short term rescues make good money for me, long term attacks make good money for me, turn it around it sucks for me.
  • #16,288
  • Jun 9, 2010 12:54pm Jun 9, 2010 12:54pm
Quoting Setebos
Interesting how this forum thing works sometimes

NY black boxes seem to ON already - EUR pairs are in full sync with the Dow now... so I'm working on it Mark
yup, the fourth kingdom of mamood lol. all da best my friend !!


Quoting GEfx
OK, I am short the E/$ at 1.2033, protecting 1.2028, and thinking this is my last trade of the NY session. Will let this run a bit more and then rest for Tokyo open. Good trading everyone!
wow, you playing ping pong ? I noticed you are on fire lately. thats cool...
  • #16,289
  • Jun 9, 2010 2:26pm Jun 9, 2010 2:26pm
Quoting fti
maheswara, try not to follow me now, dance to your norm.

I am getting into level 5, so if I rescue , its gonna be big in ratio to my norm. The fact that I may have to invove level 6, is making me hedge accross currencies to weigh the attack heavy if I have to. This requires me to spiral within the spiral to leverage on that the attack, if it comes. The deficit of not having much foreign cap since returning from my holidays is not a plus factor. Therefore I have to impliment te level 6s very carefully. Parts of level 5 is already in positions.

regards

Level...
Yes, but fti uses spiral within spiral for attack also.
  • #16,290
  • Jun 9, 2010 2:27pm Jun 9, 2010 2:27pm
Quoting aiyahmarklah



wow, you playing ping pong ?
LOL -- when it's consolodating, ping pong is the game. Some pretty big ranges to play with recently. Hope you are well. I just post some of the things I get in to in order to participate, and to let some of the new people know that there are trade going on. I try to stay focused on the trade until I get up a few pips then make time to do the post. Hope it helps some and is not a distraction to others. Time for some fresh air and warm sun. Take care!
  • #16,291
  • Jun 9, 2010 2:43pm Jun 9, 2010 2:43pm
The pigs that remained in are slowly roast with Dow sauce.
Empty as water and soft as a facing wind mountain
  • #16,292
  • Jun 9, 2010 2:45pm Jun 9, 2010 2:45pm
OK I'm out too. Made a swift rescue and brought home nearly 1% prey on top when squared @1,1980.
Calling it a day for now, not sure if I will trade tomorrow considering the broker issues I'm having lately.

Hope everyone had great trading today

Regards

Edit: @lusan
  • #16,293
  • Jun 9, 2010 3:29pm Jun 9, 2010 3:29pm
Setebos, I am calling it a day too, losses are partly recouped. Dare not stay too long as mindset is still damaged. Of course I wished I stayed longer on hindsight though hehe...

Lusan, the Dow sauce...yah, I got food poisoning from it.

GEfx, thanks, I am well, just funny how I "lost" it, got distracted by some things, or maybe just plain complacency. Kinda scary man. I think those postings of your positions are fine as a end of day comparison, personally when in the game I avoid outside opinions.

Zoran, I think that post need to be studied in context of that day's action, so I am not sure, I am not sure about this spiral within spiral thing as a matter of fact. My own practice is such that it's more like a 2 tier 3 levels attack where first 3 are deep in profits, probably from yesterday and in a strong trending enviroment. So if I have not closed yesterday's position, the prevailing positions would be called 4 5 and 6. However from the post you indicated, it does not seemed like the case, what's your take may I ask ?
  • #16,294
  • Edited 9:52pm Jun 9, 2010 7:40pm | Edited 9:52pm
mark hahaha, i was biased long from the very beiginning so maybe thats why. suspected that the daily bars are somewhat slowing down its volitility and possibly reversing, so i was proly crystal balling, just waited for the pa to trigger my trades.

btw how do you guys rescue and still make money?

back to the taboo...
when skews get large lets say level 6 (say 34 troops) onwards then its proly scaling in using the 3,5,5,8,13 for level 6 etc. you essentially create a new spiral within the larger planned spiral.

if that is correct than i might have been doing the right thing all along. hahaha

edit: long scout cable @ 539
  • #16,295
  • Edited Jun 10, 2010 12:00am Jun 9, 2010 11:29pm | Edited Jun 10, 2010 12:00am
scaling back and eyes open watching how 2054-68 area responds.

watching a/u 8385-95 area along with 3 kingdoms.
  • #16,296
  • Jun 10, 2010 12:11am Jun 10, 2010 12:11am
Quoting jest1081
whatever groundworks on TA laid from years ago for me was all purely based on the dow theory, fti completed my search for the final missing link.
missing link, which is?
Thanks!
  • #16,297
  • Jun 10, 2010 12:50am Jun 10, 2010 12:50am
Quoting jest1081
back to the taboo...
when skews get large lets say level 6 (say 34 troops) onwards then its proly scaling in using the 3,5,5,8,13 for level 6 etc. you essentially create a new spiral within the larger planned spiral.

if that is correct than i might have been doing the right thing all along. hahaha
That's my interpretation too, based on a couple of battlestation posts where fti said "implementing level 5", or "level 5 almost complete" making me think troops are scaled in, as "spiral within spiral".

Rgs
Baifu
  • #16,298
  • Jun 10, 2010 1:53am Jun 10, 2010 1:53am
watchin how 2017-20 area responds.
  • #16,299
  • Edited 2:35am Jun 10, 2010 2:16am | Edited 2:35am
Quote
edit: long scout cable @ 539 http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/s...im/praying.gif
scaling out of cable...L3 out @ 600. l2 and l1 still in limbo

edit: l2 out at 584...scout in

Quote
missing link, which is?
Thanks!

3 kingdoms...average confirms average. cheers
  • #16,300
  • Jun 10, 2010 2:17am Jun 10, 2010 2:17am
Quoting jest1081
[...]
back to the taboo...
when skews get large lets say level 6 (say 34 troops) onwards then its proly scaling in using the 3,5,5,8,13 for level 6 etc. you essentially create a new spiral within the larger planned spiral.

if that is correct than i might have been doing the right thing all along. hahaha

edit: long scout cable @ 539
Hi Jest,

that sounds reasonable to me.
But this kind of scaling does make sense only, if you are going for mid term positions, or you are in a multiday rescue .... ?

BTW: Still have my problems with this fixed steps of scaling. I myself throw in troops that are sized by the trend and momentum. Means that I skip several levels of the fibo skew, if the market feels right ...

CU,
MaMood
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