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Nearly Naked (Simple Trades)

  • #1,901
  • May 19, 2010 8:01pm May 19, 2010 8:01pm
Quoting Clouds
possible H&S on U/CHF

Attachment

Are you short? I see some bias on what you see on the chart .
  • #1,902
  • May 19, 2010 8:10pm May 19, 2010 8:10pm
Quoting shahab8b
Great chart
+ hidden bearish div at 4hr chart

I think so many traders miss the "Hidden divergence" while the probability of success in hidden div is much more than "Classic divergence". We had exactly the same thing in G/U 4hr. I think the downtrend is well protected agianst R at 1.2450 in E/U and 1.4525 in G/U.
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  • #1,903
  • May 19, 2010 8:14pm May 19, 2010 8:14pm
I got target for bounce/turnaround @ S/R 1.2316, when you think it will turn?
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  • #1,904
  • May 19, 2010 8:20pm May 19, 2010 8:20pm
Quoting Saxon
I got target for bounce/turnaround @ S/R 1.2316, when you think it will turn?

at 1.2326 daily pivot, it will bounce a bit
  • #1,905
  • May 19, 2010 8:37pm May 19, 2010 8:37pm
looking for .84 to hold
au
  • #1,906
  • May 19, 2010 8:39pm May 19, 2010 8:39pm
Quoting Clouds
looking for .84 to hold
au
We shall see! Oh what I night! Amy sees it hitting 8347
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #1,907
  • May 19, 2010 8:43pm May 19, 2010 8:43pm
Quoting MarcVUM
We shall see! Oh what I night! Amy sees it hitting 8347
yes we shall see, but that's direction i'm going. up.
  • #1,908
  • May 19, 2010 8:49pm May 19, 2010 8:49pm
Quoting Clouds
yes we shall see, but that's direction i'm going. up.
my prediction something like
.84 -> .86 -> .85 -> .87
  • #1,909
  • May 19, 2010 8:51pm May 19, 2010 8:51pm
Quoting Clouds
yes we shall see, but that's direction i'm going. up.

I dont like the idea of long A/U unless scalping, I think we have not seen the serious fall in the stocks yet, it may happen on Fri.To me A/U below .86 is vulnerable to another fall.
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  • #1,910
  • May 19, 2010 8:52pm May 19, 2010 8:52pm
I think its just doing a 40 pip retrace at the moment, 8445ish should hold it I think.
  • #1,911
  • May 19, 2010 8:55pm May 19, 2010 8:55pm
Quoting shahab8b
I dont like the idea of long A/U unless scalping, I think we have not seen the serious fall in the stocks yet, it may happen on Fri.To me A/U below .86 is vulnerable to another fall.
im not particularly enthusiastic about going long a/u either, but i feel fairly confident the yen and usd will be sold off fairly hard before a continuation of trend. counter trend isn't great, but not sticking with your plan isn't good either. i better stick to my plan.
  • #1,912
  • May 19, 2010 8:57pm May 19, 2010 8:57pm
Quoting Clouds
im not particularly enthusiastic about going long a/u either, but i feel fairly confident the yen and usd will be sold off fairly hard before a continuation of trend. counter trend isn't great, but not sticking with your plan isn't good either. i better stick to my plan.
I see the same with the usd, I see eu up around 1.2467 today but the aud charts don't suggest its going to be following to me.
  • #1,913
  • May 19, 2010 9:08pm May 19, 2010 9:08pm
Quoting amyc
I see the same with the usd, I see eu up around 1.2467 today but the aud charts don't suggest its going to be following to me.
im watching e/j 113 and a/u .84. if those hold,, risk pairs should make some type of come back. if they don't hold, ill be closing.
  • #1,914
  • May 19, 2010 9:22pm May 19, 2010 9:22pm
eur/nzd moved 1,000 pips today.
  • #1,915
  • May 19, 2010 9:34pm May 19, 2010 9:34pm
Quoting Clouds
im watching e/j 113 and a/u .84. if those hold,, risk pairs should make some type of come back. if they don't hold, ill be closing.
You might be right about the aud, I closed the short i took from 8497 at 8450. Still holding the rest. It'll probably go down now that i'm out.
  • #1,916
  • May 19, 2010 9:39pm May 19, 2010 9:39pm
Quoting amyc
You might be right about the aud, I closed the short i took from 8497 at 8450. Still holding the rest. It'll probably go down now that i'm out.
well, eur/aud went up 500 pips today, should retrace some. aud/jpy at support. nzd/usd seems to be going up now. i'd rather short aud in high 80's.
  • #1,917
  • May 19, 2010 9:41pm May 19, 2010 9:41pm
Quoting Clouds
well, eur/aud went up 500 pips today, should retrace some. aud/jpy at support. nzd/usd seems to be going up now. i'd rather short aud in high 80's.
EA has broken out of the highs and should continue up to the 1.48 area, if not today then in the next day or 2
Attached Image
  • #1,918
  • May 19, 2010 9:45pm May 19, 2010 9:45pm
Quoting amyc
EA has broken out of the highs and should continue up to the 1.48 area, if not today then in the next day or 2
im very bullish on this pair, all way to 2.0 ... but i want to wait for 4250 to buy, and if that doesnt happen, ill look for an opportunity another time.
  • #1,919
  • May 20, 2010 12:49am May 20, 2010 12:49am
Look at AU go..........

It broke 0.8381 with authority and is now bouncing off area around 0.8311. I am still short from yesterday.

Anyone else on this?
  • #1,920
  • May 20, 2010 12:55am May 20, 2010 12:55am
Quoting aragorn123
Look at AU go..........

It broke 0.8381 with authority and is now bouncing off area around 0.8311. I am still short from yesterday.

Anyone else on this?
I was.....hopped out at 8380 thinking resistance would hold.......
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