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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #2,961
  • May 18, 2010 11:21pm May 18, 2010 11:21pm
Quoting vincy balboa
if you wanna some Long term investment's so i would sagest you Buy Silver , or Gold and hold..........hold.........and hold........sonner that gave you if you having my level of mm strategy and Triggering the Gold in every trade with 60+% notes so it going to be The BEST 1000% return

Hi my friend Vincy, How is everything?
  • #2,962
  • May 18, 2010 11:21pm May 18, 2010 11:21pm
Quoting shahab8b
IMO, US and Canada Treasuries are the safest, Gold is a bobble and has just started to fall, I like the physical Gold tough ,a relatively safe investment but at this price it's crazy.
I concur. Gold could easily blow-out to $1500 or even $2000 in its dying days of hysteria who knows. Commods often have a final lurch higher when they blow-up.
I dont trade Gold, but I also like the physical story. I was goign to buy some bars at Christmas last year as gifts, until I realised a Mars bar sized kg bar was around $45k! :0
....socks it is then
  • #2,963
  • May 18, 2010 11:25pm May 18, 2010 11:25pm
Quoting shahab8b
Hi my friend Vincy, How is everything?
going good
DRAGON-TECHNICAL ANALYSIS!
  • #2,964
  • May 18, 2010 11:26pm May 18, 2010 11:26pm
Quoting tpaulbeaumon
As a longer term DXY follower, Im thinking perhaps there could be some stiff resistance around the 88.1-88.2 area? I plan on slicing some profit if it gets there in anycase

Daily oscillators are looking quite OB, and shorter timeframes are starting to create -ve Div, although neither of these things are particularly compelling right now.

Fridays COT positioning will likely show a new short EU record after y'days close, at a guess? Hopefully not though cheers.

FWIW on Tbonds/bills, I certainly think in coming weeks the fall in yields...
I'm looking at the samething on dx, at the moment I think July/August could provide a short term reversal for the euro of around 700-800 pips.
  • #2,965
  • May 18, 2010 11:29pm May 18, 2010 11:29pm
E/U
keep these levels in mind
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  • #2,966
  • May 18, 2010 11:31pm May 18, 2010 11:31pm
Hey Shahab, I sent you a PM
  • #2,967
  • May 18, 2010 11:46pm May 18, 2010 11:46pm
Quoting Tuner
As I posted yesterday I am still holding a little tiny Long EUR/CHF.
(hoping for some help from the SNB

Lookin at my charts now my broker had a spike down of 80 pips.
(2 M5 candles went down there to wipe me out.... :o )
I don't see that spike on any other broker. so I am once again pretty pissed with them (only a microlot but still want to know what this is about)
--> checked the price-feed of their demo-account. no spike there either.
grrhh

should send them another complaint I think.
and give them a last chance....
You've got one dodgy broker there Tuner. Who is it? Alpari UK?
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #2,968
  • May 19, 2010 12:00am May 19, 2010 12:00am
Quoting vincy balboa
if you wanna some Long term investment's so i would sagest you Buy Silver , or Gold and hold..........hold.........and hold........sonner that gave you if you having my level of mm strategy and Triggering the Gold in every trade with 60+% notes so it going to be The BEST 1000% return .

it is like Trick of Doing Arbitraging with Non dealing with
Yes, it seems to be the smartest move. Such wild swings though. Some bloke in Dubai recently installed a vending machine that dispenses 1 oz gold bars at the current market value. Watch out for muggers ....
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #2,969
  • May 19, 2010 12:02am May 19, 2010 12:02am
Quoting Patience
Yes, it seems to be the smartest move. Such wild swings though. Some bloke in Dubai recently installed a vending machine that dispenses 1 oz gold bars at the current market value. Watch out for muggers ....
Forget mugging someone, steal the vending machine.
  • #2,970
  • May 19, 2010 12:06am May 19, 2010 12:06am
Quoting Saxon
Forget mugging someone, steal the vending machine.

I like that.
  • #2,971
  • May 19, 2010 12:11am May 19, 2010 12:11am
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting Patience
You've got one dodgy broker there Tuner. Who is it? Alpari UK?
Hi there Patience..
Yes. This one is AlpariUK.
But I am willing to transfer it all back to FxPro if it goes on like this..
We will see
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #2,972
  • May 19, 2010 12:16am May 19, 2010 12:16am
E/Chf , I'll be surprise if this pair doesn't break into the downside.It's so boring though , took two shorts on the pair on Mon still at the same price!!!
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  • #2,973
  • May 19, 2010 12:20am May 19, 2010 12:20am
Quoting Saxon
Forget mugging someone, steal the vending machine.
Didn't think of that. Oh, I've got the munchies for a gold bar today - hey, what a bargain, only $1,209 today. $40.00 less than 3 days ago
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #2,974
  • May 19, 2010 12:22am May 19, 2010 12:22am
Quoting Tuner
Hi there Patience..
Yes. This one is AlpariUK.
But I am willing to transfer it all back to FxPro if it goes on like this..
We will see
Nah, that's nasty what they have been doing. I'd definitely query that trade as well. I think they may rely on the fact that some newbies won't query their trades and they'll just fix up the trades when someone complains. Take your money and run. Market is hard enough to trade without your broker doing the dirty every other day.
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #2,975
  • May 19, 2010 12:38am May 19, 2010 12:38am
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting shahab8b
Hello Geppyg,

Hope all is well. It's a pleasure to see we are riding the same boat. I'm almost all-in short indicies futures, took them on the rallies before yesterday drop.Also short E/U from 1.2395 ,A/J E/J A/U G/J CAD/J A/Cad G/Cad and long U/Cad.My only concern is Cable, I never got the chance to short it this week despite my extreme bearish bias.I've seen you great charts at your thread and learned new things as always.

Regards
Shahab
Hey there Shahab...
You see any chance for another retrace in the indices today? My finger is itching to get on board there as well. (..and break one of my rules again..)
Don't know if the DAX will still be available for me.. but S&P500mini and NASDAQ could be an opportunity.
Will watch for the daily pivots (on both around the 38fib) and maybe 50fib of the recent fall.
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #2,976
  • May 19, 2010 12:45am May 19, 2010 12:45am
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting Patience
Nah, that's nasty what they have been doing. I'd definitely query that trade as well. I think they may rely on the fact that some newbies won't query their trades and they'll just fix up the trades when someone complains. Take your money and run. Market is hard enough to trade without your broker doing the dirty every other day.
You are right..
Was just preparing my Email to them with some screenshots and a nice text...
comparing with other brokers charts.. talking about other brokers..and so on..
and lookin back to my charts I see the trade opened again now.
haha... --> give the child the pocket money back.. haha.

But what I wrote to them already last week. If they had some error in they price feed ( the last timethey admitted that) and open a trade again they should send out some sort information.
So let my current trades run with them and start takin my money away from there.!
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #2,977
  • May 19, 2010 1:07am May 19, 2010 1:07am
Quoting Tuner
Hey there Shahab...
You see any chance for another retrace in the indices today? My finger is itching to get on board there as well. (..and break one of my rules again..)
Don't know if the DAX will still be available for me.. but S&P500mini and NASDAQ could be an opportunity.
Will watch for the daily pivots (on both around the 38fib) and maybe 50fib of the recent fall.
E-min s&P 500, try to short it at 1121-1130 ,sl=1150.

BTW, DAX futures opens, my short trades well in profit. You may want to look at FTSE100 too. If your account size is limited I suggest you take one on S&P or NASDAQ
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  • #2,978
  • May 19, 2010 1:29am May 19, 2010 1:29am
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting shahab8b
E-min s&P 500, try to short it at 1121-1130 ,sl=1150.

BTW, DAX futures opens, my short trades well in profit. You may want to look at FTSE100 too. If your account size is limited I suggest you take one on S&P or NASDAQ
Hey there Shahab..
Thanks! For S&P 500 this is the area I have been lookin for = around daily pivot. as well as the SL you suggested (so I feel confirmed now )
Seen the contract sizes on them are not that high (only traded the DAX before with the pretty big contract size.for me)
NASDAQ and S&P should be enough for now.
Will watch the FTSE opening later on.

Ya.. seen the DAX fut opening with a nice gap down. filling it directly and turning down again. Think I will stay away from the DAX. (still don't know what the effect of the regulations will be..as well as the contract size only allows "one shot" for me)

Good luck to you... (and me )

Leaving off to the office now.. But I might check the charts from there during the day
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #2,979
  • May 19, 2010 3:47am May 19, 2010 3:47am
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting shahab8b
E-min s&P 500, try to short it at 1121-1130 ,sl=1150.

BTW, DAX futures opens, my short trades well in profit.
Should be even more in profit now. with that huge drop in the first hours. I was close to trigger after the opening, when we closed the gap direclty and turned down again. would have been nice!


For S&P500 and Nasdaq I entered manually for a first shot as the pending orders had not been filled.
No perfect entries though (with S&P @ 1115 and Nasdaq @ 1875 but maybe the chance to get on board)
but directly nice in the greens,,,,
willing to add if we make it back up to the pivots there.

back to work
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #2,980
  • May 19, 2010 5:40am May 19, 2010 5:40am
Patience - Any chance of those sentiment details you very genorously post occasionally I certainly appreciate the insight. Cheers.
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