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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #2,681
  • May 9, 2010 8:10pm May 9, 2010 8:10pm
Short U/Chf has been taken at 1.108, SL=1.113
  • #2,682
  • May 9, 2010 8:13pm May 9, 2010 8:13pm
short U/Cad has been taken at 1.0360 SL=1.0480
  • #2,683
  • May 10, 2010 5:33am May 10, 2010 5:33am
Quoting shahab8b
short U/Cad has been taken at 1.0360 SL=1.0480

Short U/Cad positions closed at 1.0225 (+135 *2 pips)
  • #2,684
  • May 10, 2010 5:35am May 10, 2010 5:35am
Quoting shahab8b
Short U/Chf has been taken at 1.108, SL=1.113

Short U/chf positions closed at 1.0930 ,(+78*2 pips)
  • #2,685
  • May 10, 2010 5:40am May 10, 2010 5:40am
On Daily TF, long U/Cad has been taken at 1.0225 (PO's were 1.0250, 1,0200),SL=1.001
  • #2,686
  • May 10, 2010 5:48am May 10, 2010 5:48am
A/J

Short has been taken at 84.57 ,will add at 85.32 sl=86.57
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  • #2,687
  • May 10, 2010 5:55am May 10, 2010 5:55am
G/J

Shot at 140, will add at 1.41.50 sl=144
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  • #2,688
  • May 10, 2010 7:16am May 10, 2010 7:16am
Gold
+200 pips closed 2, still have 2 more open
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  • #2,689
  • May 10, 2010 7:30am May 10, 2010 7:30am
Default Swaps Tumble After EU Goes ‘All In’: Credit Markets

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...AuCeFUlc&pos=3
  • #2,690
  • May 10, 2010 7:32am May 10, 2010 7:32am
FTSE100 futures
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  • #2,691
  • May 10, 2010 7:36am May 10, 2010 7:36am
E/U

As expected , It was easy , wasn't it?
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  • #2,692
  • May 10, 2010 9:21am May 10, 2010 9:21am
U/Chf, E/J

As expected, it's kinda boring when you get all of them right. I prefer a bit more challenge.
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  • #2,693
  • May 10, 2010 9:41am May 10, 2010 9:41am
Quoting shahab8b
U/Chf, E/J

As expected, it's kinda boring when you get all of them right. I prefer a bit more challenge.
Good.
I wish I could say the same thing ;-( Down 10% this past week.
Shahab8b, how long have you been trading? Do you do it full time?
  • #2,694
  • May 10, 2010 10:19am May 10, 2010 10:19am
Hey, Shahab. Excellent trades. Apart from Fibs, and perhaps EW, do you use any other things to made your trade decision? I asked because I still see a bit more upside potentials for yen crosses. Thanks.
  • #2,695
  • May 10, 2010 7:21pm May 10, 2010 7:21pm
Quoting shahab8b
G/J

Shot at 140, will add at 1.41.50 sl=144
1st short G/J from 140 closed at 137.70 (+230 pips), 2nd SL>B/E, changed 141.50 order to142.40
  • #2,696
  • May 10, 2010 7:26pm May 10, 2010 7:26pm
Quoting shahab8b
E/J

Sell limit at 121.25-50 SL=126 TP=TBD
short E/J from 121.25 and 121.50 both closed at 118.57 (+268 ,+293 pips)
  • #2,697
  • May 10, 2010 7:29pm May 10, 2010 7:29pm
G/J as expected

Look at the levels that I highlighted on the 2nd chart.
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  • #2,698
  • May 10, 2010 7:36pm May 10, 2010 7:36pm
Quoting Bouzies
Good.
I wish I could say the same thing ;-( Down 10% this past week.
Shahab8b, how long have you been trading? Do you do it full time?
Hi there ,sorry to hear that, but 10% is nothing , one month good trading you will get it back.
More than 3 years.I'm not a full time trader and I don't want to be.
  • #2,699
  • May 10, 2010 7:40pm May 10, 2010 7:40pm
Quoting Oshawa
Hey, Shahab. Excellent trades. Apart from Fibs, and perhaps EW, do you use any other things to made your trade decision? I asked because I still see a bit more upside potentials for yen crosses. Thanks.

It's not just fib or EW, I've been trying to show you guys the techniques I'm using by highlighting the levels I'm looking on the charts. Aside form the fib I don't need lines on those levels when I'm trading as I can see them on a naked chart.

I use different methods, like COT, Fib, EW, Div, LSR, Pivot, CS,S/R ,TL, Patterns ...
  • #2,700
  • May 10, 2010 8:07pm May 10, 2010 8:07pm
My TFM method shows me a sell signal on G/U, let's see if we are getting a true signal , short G/U 1.4850 has been taken , will add at daily pivot re-touch at 1.4888, Sl=1.4950.

I need to add that the Pr of TFM success in E/U is about 66% , in G/U I've never calculated it but I assume it might be less than 50%, we need a RRR more than 1:1 to be profitable here.

For those who might ask about TFM, please look at previous pages, it has been explained with details in multiple posts.
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