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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #2,421
  • May 3, 2010 10:56am May 3, 2010 10:56am
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting MarcVUM
Can someone tell me what they have for a Daily PP on A/U? My system is confused at the moment with two values for me... 9266 and 9269 hmm. I need to fix this.

Hi Marc...
I have 92664 on my charts (on my other account 92669)
So you see the 2 different values on 1 account?
Or on 2 accounts with different Server-time?
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #2,422
  • May 3, 2010 11:01am May 3, 2010 11:01am
Quoting Tuner
Hi Marc...
I have 92664 on my charts (on my other account 92669)
So you see the 2 different values on 1 account?
Or on 2 accounts with different Server-time?
Thanks. Different server times... same thing with my Weekly Pivot. They are off by 2 pips. 9235 and 9233. One server is more accurate on the daily and the other on the weekly! Got to love it!
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #2,423
  • May 3, 2010 12:03pm May 3, 2010 12:03pm
Looking good for the Yen to get bashed and break it's recent highs this week.

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Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #2,424
  • May 3, 2010 12:07pm May 3, 2010 12:07pm
Quoting shahab8b
It's a text book H & Sh, I bet R.Prechter will be right this time -DJI / NASDAQ/ S&P 500 all saying the same thing

I'm super bearish A/U ,A/J, C/J and bullish U/cad
I like these charts but it seems that the crazies have re-entered the market again today. Or maybe I am the crazy one

1 hour USDX may need a little rest for now though.

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Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #2,425
  • Edited 12:09pm May 3, 2010 12:08pm | Edited 12:09pm
Quoting shahab8b
U/Cad
A/U

My plan is to sell A/U and buy U/Cad against the top and the bottom
I like to see a rate hike on Aussie to sell even in higher price, I'll be surprise if a rate hike can move this pair above .9400, I consider that level a mid-term top atm
@shahab8b, I agree on Long U/cad, but short A/U is too early

there are still a lot of folks in Parity band wagon
  • #2,426
  • May 3, 2010 12:18pm May 3, 2010 12:18pm
Quoting shahab8b
U/Cad
A/U

My plan is to sell A/U and buy U/Cad against the top and the bottom
I like to see a rate hike on Aussie to sell even in higher price, I'll be surprise if a rate hike can move this pair above .9400, I consider that level a mid-term top atm
Yeah, looks like they are gonna raise http://www.heraldsun.com.au/business...-1225861774243

Can't keep that Kiwi dollar down either. Have you looked at GBP/NZD chart. It's sick.

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Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #2,427
  • May 3, 2010 2:49pm May 3, 2010 2:49pm
I went short USD/CAD @ 1.0106.
Looking for the .9850 area
  • #2,428
  • May 3, 2010 6:27pm May 3, 2010 6:27pm
Breakout seems imminent!
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When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #2,429
  • May 3, 2010 7:31pm May 3, 2010 7:31pm
Quoting MarcVUM
Breakout seems imminent!
its waiting for the rate annoncement due in 4 hours. I am calling rates will rise with this announcement, inflation is through the roof led by housing prices i would be very surprised if they hold rates given these conditions. if they do hold it will be due to concern over international conditions and if they admit that, prices will tank not just for AUD but all risk instruments including world stock indexes. raising rates will put the first home buyers, sucked into an overpriced market by the govt. incentives, under increasing financial burdon. They have a very difficult decision to make today, i would not want to be in their shoes
BTC Return This Year: na
  • #2,430
  • May 3, 2010 10:22pm May 3, 2010 10:22pm
Quoting MarcVUM
Thanks. Different server times... same thing with my Weekly Pivot. They are off by 2 pips. 9235 and 9233. One server is more accurate on the daily and the other on the weekly! Got to love it!
I think 4-5 pips difference doesn't really matter ... just trade it anyway ...
  • #2,431
  • May 3, 2010 11:15pm May 3, 2010 11:15pm
Quoting hutrader
I went short USD/CAD @ 1.0106.
Looking for the .9850 area
Hi hutrader, please when you are posting a trade call attach a chart so we can understand your reasons.
thank you
  • #2,432
  • May 3, 2010 11:21pm May 3, 2010 11:21pm
Long E/A here 1.4265 SL=1.4200
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  • #2,433
  • May 3, 2010 11:31pm May 3, 2010 11:31pm
Quoting charron
@shahab8b, I agree on Long U/cad, but short A/U is too early

there are still a lot of folks in Parity band wagon
what's the point of that? agree ,disagree? if you agree post a chart and reason if you disagree do the same , everyone has his/her own view.

btw, I remind you the U/C A/U correlation is -95.8%.
  • #2,434
  • May 3, 2010 11:48pm May 3, 2010 11:48pm
A/U , I got sell signal on A/U on my TFM method (re-touching daily pivot + LSR sell ) , but it's sitting on weekly pivot (.9233) , it's difficult to take short on a weekly pivot
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  • #2,435
  • May 3, 2010 11:52pm May 3, 2010 11:52pm
Quoting shahab8b
A/U , I got sell signal on A/U on my TFM method, but it's sitting on weekly pivot (.9233) , it's difficult to take short on a weekly pivot
Exactly my feelings. I need a close below and a test of weekly pivot / daily s1
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #2,436
  • May 3, 2010 11:57pm May 3, 2010 11:57pm
Quoting MarcVUM
Exactly my feelings. I need a close below and a test of weekly pivot / daily s1
I think south, but I heard RBA will hike .25 , difficult to justify selling on weekly pivot before a rate statement which might be a hike
  • #2,437
  • May 3, 2010 11:59pm May 3, 2010 11:59pm
Quoting shahab8b
I think south, but I heard RBA will hike .25 , difficult to justify selling on weekly pivot before a rate statement which might be a hike
They just hiked it at 12:30 est.
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #2,438
  • May 4, 2010 12:00am May 4, 2010 12:00am
Quoting MarcVUM
They just hiked it at 12:30 est.
my bad , I've just seen it,
  • #2,439
  • May 4, 2010 12:14am May 4, 2010 12:14am
U/J
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  • #2,440
  • May 4, 2010 12:37am May 4, 2010 12:37am
I took the short on A/U right below Weekly PP 9230 and took 20 pips. Curious if anyone is looking for a possible 5-10 pip bounce off Daily S2 at 9204 ???
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
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