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AUD/USD

  • #21,481
  • Apr 29, 2010 10:29am Apr 29, 2010 10:29am
Missed my short order in cme aud by 2 pips . . oh well.
  • #21,482
  • Apr 29, 2010 11:01am Apr 29, 2010 11:01am
Seems very resilient. Nice bounce off the weekly pivot..
  • #21,483
  • Apr 29, 2010 11:53am Apr 29, 2010 11:53am
Quoting Ipips
Seems very resilient. Nice bounce off the weekly pivot..

Yes holding very well to its gains so far. Makes me a bit wary of shorting it shd it approach 9300 again. Cancel all short orders and just watch it for time being.
  • #21,484
  • Apr 29, 2010 12:19pm Apr 29, 2010 12:19pm
aud /nzd is on trendline support.
  • #21,485
  • Apr 29, 2010 12:34pm Apr 29, 2010 12:34pm
hum i though there would be a deep falling like bungee jumping but........
  • #21,486
  • Apr 29, 2010 1:40pm Apr 29, 2010 1:40pm
Getting ready ? take a small punt on small short .

P.S. Put another sell stop at 9250.
  • #21,487
  • Apr 29, 2010 1:45pm Apr 29, 2010 1:45pm
got a feeling were headed down from today .. for a big fall & big dollar rally due to greeces debt .. Good luck everyone
  • #21,488
  • Apr 29, 2010 1:47pm Apr 29, 2010 1:47pm
Quoting DavidValera
got a feeling were headed down from today .. for a big fall & big dollar rally due to greeces debt .. Good luck everyone
going to put a tight protective stop.

Not so sure if it heads back above 9285 again.
  • #21,489
  • Apr 29, 2010 2:02pm Apr 29, 2010 2:02pm
My radar indicates another 10 to 14 hours before we start to see it move down or at least receive a confirmation candle for a good sell. Once it closes beneath the 5ma on H4 and then retests it we should be good to go [down]! Best of Luck to All!
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #21,490
  • Apr 29, 2010 2:24pm Apr 29, 2010 2:24pm
I think it shd be accelerating downwards to try to break below 9250 soon. If it spikes back up above 9285, then shorts dun look too good IMHO. The bull flag scenario on daily makes me wary.
  • #21,491
  • Apr 29, 2010 3:05pm Apr 29, 2010 3:05pm
Quoting blurbear
I think it shd be accelerating downwards to try to break below 9250 soon. If it spikes back up above 9285, then shorts dun look too good IMHO. The bull flag scenario on daily makes me wary.
So disappointing. No follow thru to downside. Bail out at b/e and relook during asian/london session tomorrow.
  • #21,492
  • Apr 29, 2010 4:07pm Apr 29, 2010 4:07pm
reverse bearish div on h4 plus trendline decline

this thing has to go down ..... or not

anyway i'm shorting
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aussie bear div.gif Size: 30 KB
  • #21,493
  • Apr 29, 2010 4:21pm Apr 29, 2010 4:21pm
Quoting johny_bravo
reverse bearish div on h4 plus trendline decline

this thing has to go down ..... or not

anyway i'm shorting
See my analysis here. VERY high R:R.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...&postcount=576
Every time you use 'hopium' in a post, God kills a kitten.
  • #21,494
  • Apr 29, 2010 4:27pm Apr 29, 2010 4:27pm
AUD h1


BAT[pattern]
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aud bat.gif Size: 94 KB
  • #21,495
  • Apr 29, 2010 5:42pm Apr 29, 2010 5:42pm
Wary of break above 9300, triggering stops and BAT becoming CRAB.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aud-bat.jpg Size: 57 KB
  • #21,496
  • Apr 29, 2010 6:11pm Apr 29, 2010 6:11pm
i figured it wanted to touch .93, i dont think it'll hold above
  • #21,497
  • Apr 29, 2010 6:20pm Apr 29, 2010 6:20pm
Quoting Clouds
i figured it wanted to touch .93, i dont think it'll hold above
it made an hourly close above that level ,, and broke the pattern ,, this starnge thing is that it broke that up in very unsual time of the day ,, never seen an importante break up on this time of the day where liquidity is very low
  • #21,498
  • Apr 29, 2010 6:31pm Apr 29, 2010 6:31pm
agree with Jesus ....


plus the daily candle made move as big as previous one in just 'few minutes'

weired ..... maybe someone was loading shorts ..... dont know but still keepeing short ... it must go back when volatility is back .... during tokiio maybe
  • #21,499
  • Apr 29, 2010 6:41pm Apr 29, 2010 6:41pm
The snail like climb from 9220s to 9290s and the subsequent retrace of 50% of the move plus failure to break below 9250 makes me cautious. It may just surprise everyone by making a run towards 9365-9415 instead.
  • #21,500
  • Apr 29, 2010 6:54pm Apr 29, 2010 6:54pm
Quoting blurbear
The snail like climb from 9220s to 9290s and the subsequent retrace of 50% of the move plus failure to break below 9250 makes me cautious. It may just surprise everyone by making a run towards 9365-9415 instead.
That would not surprise me, but usd/cad would have to break it's TL , currently it's just above it, and nzd/usd would have to take out .7250.
Not impossible, but .93 is where I have been planning to sell. it doesn't bother me much that it went 20 pips above the DT TL, cause TL's to me aren't precise, just more of a rough gauge.
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