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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #2,261
  • Apr 28, 2010 6:39am Apr 28, 2010 6:39am
Quoting Patience
Bloomberg are saying that investors just used the "Greece and Portugal" excuse to take some money off the table and they are expecting the indices to rally back. I guess they've got to put their money somewhere
yea, I guess they put it on gold
  • #2,262
  • Apr 28, 2010 6:46am Apr 28, 2010 6:46am
Hell7 wrote on one of his chart,"we Americans are bulls, we fear no one"
they need to prove it today ,they are just buying into dip, that's the only plan, I'll be watching them today
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  • #2,263
  • Apr 28, 2010 6:48am Apr 28, 2010 6:48am
Quoting shahab8b
yea, I guess they put it on gold
Are you expecting an end-of-month sell-off? You're shorting a nice monthly candle.

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Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #2,264
  • Apr 28, 2010 6:52am Apr 28, 2010 6:52am
Quoting Patience
Are you expecting an end-of-month sell-off? You're shorting a nice monthly candle.

Attachment
Gold is tough to short, but it will come down for 200-300 pips soon, if not I have to pay my broker 4% of my equity
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  • #2,265
  • Apr 28, 2010 6:55am Apr 28, 2010 6:55am
that was a sweet bearish bat, wasn't it?
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  • #2,266
  • Apr 28, 2010 6:56am Apr 28, 2010 6:56am
Quoting shahab8b
Hell7 wrote on one of his chart,"we Americans are bulls, we fear no one"
they need to prove it today ,they are just buying into dip, that's the only plan, I'll be watching them today
Maybe we are going to reach a point where the US$ goes up while the indices go up as well. Here we go with your gold. Fixing time - 3.00 pm.
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #2,267
  • Apr 28, 2010 6:57am Apr 28, 2010 6:57am
Quoting shahab8b
that was a sweet bearish bat, wasn't it?
Sure is. You think she'll keep coming down to yesterday's lows?
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #2,268
  • Apr 28, 2010 6:58am Apr 28, 2010 6:58am
Quoting MarcVUM
Sure is. You think she'll keep coming down to yesterday's lows?
.92 my 1st tp then SL>B/E & my 2nd tp .9120
  • #2,269
  • Apr 28, 2010 7:02am Apr 28, 2010 7:02am
Quoting shahab8b
.92 my 1st tp then SL>B/E & my 2nd tp .9120
Check this out. What do you think? http://www.fx360.com/techAnalysis/Index.aspx?tab=audusd
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #2,270
  • Apr 28, 2010 7:04am Apr 28, 2010 7:04am
Quoting Patience
Maybe we are going to reach a point where the US$ goes up while the indices go up as well. Here we go with your gold. Fixing time - 3.00 pm.
no, they are done going up, even if we are in a real bull market -which I dont think so- this one needs a descent correction lower
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  • #2,271
  • Apr 28, 2010 7:05am Apr 28, 2010 7:05am
Quoting shahab8b
that was a sweet bearish bat, wasn't it?
I saw tweezer tops, daily R1 and 119% of it's ADR and I still couldn't face shorting it Greece needs more money - ho, hum .... And he had a message for investors betting otherwise: “I can see a number of you have been betting particular ways,” Mr. Papaconstantinou said in a calm voice. “All I can say is that you will lose your shirt.”

And I better go and iron some - catcha later
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #2,272
  • Apr 28, 2010 7:08am Apr 28, 2010 7:08am
Quoting MarcVUM
Check this out. What do you think? http://www.fx360.com/techAnalysis/Index.aspx?tab=audusd

the same set up, only he went for a [0.500/0.786/1.618]

  • #2,273
  • Apr 28, 2010 7:09am Apr 28, 2010 7:09am
Quoting shahab8b
the same set up, only he went for a [0.500/0.786/1.618]

His TP is near Weekly S2. hmm
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #2,274
  • Apr 28, 2010 7:10am Apr 28, 2010 7:10am
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting shahab8b
Gold is tough to short, but it will come down for 200-300 pips soon, if not I have to pay my broker 4% of my equity
Struggling hard at the moment.. but still nice in profit.
That daiy pivot seems a hard nut (@ 1162).. holding above it for the last some hours already.. no close below it yet and always bouncing back up hard. hope we can finally crack that one now.
saving at BE or cash in part of the position is no option for you?
(of course... "stick to the plan" should be the motto. but that PA around daily pivot makes me considering...
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #2,275
  • Apr 28, 2010 7:15am Apr 28, 2010 7:15am
Quoting Tuner
Struggling hard at the moment.. but still nice in profit.
That daiy pivot seems a hard nut (@ 1162).. holding above it for the last some hours already.. no close below it yet and always bouncing back up hard. hope we can finally crack that one now.
saving at BE or cash in part of the position is no option for you?
(of course... "stick to the plan" should be the motto. but that PA around daily pivot makes me considering...
No SL>B/E until I see 200 pips on that sucker,
it's really given me a hard time , it went to the sky in 3 min, again
you cant put SL>B/e on that one atm, in ranges 60-70 pips in 5 min
  • #2,276
  • Apr 28, 2010 7:21am Apr 28, 2010 7:21am
Quoting shahab8b
No SL>B/E until I see 200 pips on that sucker,
it's really given me a hard time , it went to the sky in 3 min, again
you cant put SL>B/e on that one atm, in ranges 60-70 pips in 5 min
that was the last push, now she will fall
  • #2,277
  • Apr 28, 2010 7:22am Apr 28, 2010 7:22am
Hey Vantage, thanks for the indicator, haven’t tried it yet.
Shahab, I noticed you use fxpro. So I did a comparison between my candles and yours. Not only do my candles close at different times but the open is off too…
For instance, comparing April 27 candles we have:
Yours:
O= 1.33811
H= 1.34145
L= 1.31654
C= 1.31742
Mine:
O= 1.3391
H= 1.3413
L= 1.3142
C= 1.3159
So basically my day starts and ends with one hour after the trading day starts. My pivot for today using pivot auto-weekly gives me a daily pivot of 1.3238 on EURUSD which is completely off. I am guessing that my weekly and monthly lines can be off too. I am gonna try out Vantage’s indicator and see if I can tweak the time in it. If not then I guess I am gonna have to plot the lines manually. I don’t suppose that the indicators you supplied can have their times changed; if there is a way to change them could you tell me how?
Thanks again
  • #2,278
  • Apr 28, 2010 7:28am Apr 28, 2010 7:28am
Quoting shahab8b
No SL>B/E until I see 200 pips on that sucker,
it's really given me a hard time , it went to the sky in 3 min, again
you cant put SL>B/e on that one atm, in ranges 60-70 pips in 5 min
I was just going to say to put your stop at B/E but I see you have. Not worth losing 4% over. It's just not looking very bearish to me and once fixing was over it jumped.

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Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #2,279
  • Apr 28, 2010 8:48am Apr 28, 2010 8:48am
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting shahab8b
No SL>B/E until I see 200 pips on that sucker,
it's really given me a hard time , it went to the sky in 3 min, again
you cant put SL>B/e on that one atm, in ranges 60-70 pips in 5 min
your SL been hit? Had mine saved at BE and out for zero...
King of the BE-trades again this week. all coming back from really nice profits...
EG , EU, GJ and now gold... Think I can do it for all pairs... haha
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #2,280
  • Apr 28, 2010 9:12am Apr 28, 2010 9:12am
Quoting Tuner
How long do you test your ea's on demo before you let them handle the real cash?
hey tuner..... no demo's..... they go straight from the factory to the fields.....

//----- on the targets

still studying on it, but visually, the daily r1 for buys and daily s1 for sells appears to be the best overall first target.....

we need to write something to count the number of times the daily r1, r2, s1, s2 and so on were hit..... that would give us a better mathmatical idea..... eyes can be decieving.....h
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to trade and code, keep both simple... no call to impress....h
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