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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #1,941
  • Apr 15, 2010 3:42pm Apr 15, 2010 3:42pm
Quoting Tuner
Ya... that weekly S1 was tested some times. The last time to the pip.. before starting to the sky. Lucky you got on that train. took a rest at weekly pivot now.
I still got one of my Longs U/J.. the one from 93.
E/U and U/CHF are at interesting levels now. took the long on U/CHF just now. low volumes now...but lets see.
if you like scalping sell A/u with a 5 pips SL now
  • #1,942
  • Apr 15, 2010 3:57pm Apr 15, 2010 3:57pm
Quoting shahab8b
if you like scalping sell A/u with a 5 pips SL now
it seems really what patience said about shorting A/u is true , I cant get ride of the shorting this pair, and 95% of it proves wrong
  • #1,943
  • Apr 15, 2010 4:05pm Apr 15, 2010 4:05pm
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting shahab8b
it seems really what patience said about shorting A/u is true , I cant get ride of the shorting this pair, and 95% of it proves wrong
yes... a/u is a hard nut these days...
missed your post.. so nothing lost. .93650 area looks like another possibility to me. high from last night and possible retest of TL...
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #1,944
  • Apr 15, 2010 4:12pm Apr 15, 2010 4:12pm
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting Tuner
yes... a/u is a hard nut these days...
missed your post.. so nothing lost. .9360 area looks like another possibility to me. high from last night and possible retest of TL...
... if you can still call that a valid trendline.. hasn't been respected the last times. so let's see what it does this time.. if we get there.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aud_usd.gif Size: 15 KB
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #1,945
  • Apr 15, 2010 4:48pm Apr 15, 2010 4:48pm
Quoting Tuner
yes... a/u is a hard nut these days...
missed your post.. so nothing lost. .93650 area looks like another possibility to me. high from last night and possible retest of TL...
I have been buy aud on dips for over a month. and until it turns and it will I will continue
  • #1,946
  • Apr 15, 2010 5:04pm Apr 15, 2010 5:04pm
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting Sierra8561
I have been buy aud on dips for over a month. and until it turns and it will I will continue

Hey there Sierra,
you did the right thing. burnt my fingers trying to short that aud and stay away from it for now.

lookin at the longer timeframe direction is still up. The big boom (down) may come.. but maybe not ready for it yet:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost.php?p=3635156&postcount=1811

so you target the 94 area? or even higher?
longer term trades buying on AUD can be nice..with the nice rollover every day.
Enjoy it!
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #1,947
  • Apr 15, 2010 5:08pm Apr 15, 2010 5:08pm
Quoting Tuner
Hey there Sierra,
you did the right thing. burnt my fingers trying to short that aud and stay away from it for now.

lookin at the longer timeframe direction is still up. The big boom (down) may come.. but maybe not ready for it yet:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost.php?p=3635156&postcount=1811

so you target the 94 area? or even higher?
longer term trades buying on AUD can be nice..with the nice rollover every day.
Enjoy it!
I will keep buying until it proves to me that the direction has changed. at the end of last year lots of experts were calling for parity by the end of this year. I have no idea if that will happen but in this game anything is possible.
  • #1,948
  • Apr 15, 2010 8:54pm Apr 15, 2010 8:54pm
E/u short trade

I was supposed to show the result of my interpretation of RSI S>R in this trade here is the result
risk 2% returned 4% due to good RRR , note the RSI move in accordance to PA
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,949
  • Apr 15, 2010 8:55pm Apr 15, 2010 8:55pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=1773

Stop at 128.90 - TP - 124-->122.50-->119
  • #1,950
  • Apr 15, 2010 9:00pm Apr 15, 2010 9:00pm
U/Chf long update:

look at the RSI and PA ,
risked 2% returned 4%
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: uchf4f.gif Size: 21 KB
  • #1,951
  • Apr 15, 2010 9:03pm Apr 15, 2010 9:03pm
Quoting puks
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=1773

Stop at 128.90 - TP - 124-->122.50-->119
Hey buddy, my compliment, excellent set up, and beautifully traded, I hope you traded that in real account, didn't you? next time I'll trade your call
  • #1,952
  • Apr 15, 2010 9:34pm Apr 15, 2010 9:34pm
Quoting shahab8b
Hey buddy, my compliment, excellent set up, and beautifully traded, I hope you traded that in real account, didn't you? next time I'll trade your call

no, it was in demo account using 5 lots.
  • #1,953
  • Apr 15, 2010 9:51pm Apr 15, 2010 9:51pm
Quoting MarcVUM
Shahab, I had closed my short from yesterday at 9327 (daily pivot) as I had targeted. I truly don't think she will go down much lower as my H4 will show. She has hit the important MA's and will kind of sideways trade for a little while (consolidate) before heading back up. That's my opinion.
are you short now?
  • #1,954
  • Apr 15, 2010 9:58pm Apr 15, 2010 9:58pm
Quoting shahab8b
are you short now?
Went long at Daily S2 9284. And now I'm out. quick 10 pips a day is all I need to live my life! I'll be back around London open.

Cheers
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #1,955
  • Apr 15, 2010 10:05pm Apr 15, 2010 10:05pm
I went long A/U at .9285 SL=25 will post the chart soon
  • #1,956
  • Apr 15, 2010 10:54pm Apr 15, 2010 10:54pm
exited A/u long and switch to a/u short at .9302 , will post the reason on chart soon
  • #1,957
  • Apr 15, 2010 10:56pm Apr 15, 2010 10:56pm
wow , i didnt expect that move , i couldnt post my chart now, it useless
  • #1,958
  • Apr 15, 2010 11:02pm Apr 15, 2010 11:02pm
a/u short has been taken at .9307 (I wrote .9302 on chart which is wrong+ the crab is bullish not bearish I was rushing to post the chart) SL=10 tp.9268

buy limit at .9265 sl=15 tp .9330
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,959
  • Apr 16, 2010 12:06am Apr 16, 2010 12:06am
Quoting shahab8b
a/u short has been taken at .9307 (I wrote .9302 on chart which is wrong+ the crab is bullish not bearish I was rushing to post the chart) SL=10 tp.9268

buy limit at .9265 sl=15 tp .9330
From high of 9363 to today's low so far of 9284, seems like ABCD completed. Maybe bouncing now towards 9330 and slightly higher.

Possibly a bigger BAT or CRAB perhaps forming on the 4 hourlies if 9363 is not taken out.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,960
  • Apr 16, 2010 12:10am Apr 16, 2010 12:10am
Quoting shahab8b
a/u short has been taken at .9307 (I wrote .9302 on chart which is wrong+ the crab is bullish not bearish I was rushing to post the chart) SL=10 tp.9268

buy limit at .9265 sl=15 tp .9330
on this setup, with high correlation now between e/u and a/u, i notice that e/u seems challenging the S 1.3532, and when it breaks a/u might probably follow down as well, what do you think?
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