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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #1,881
  • Apr 14, 2010 5:02am Apr 14, 2010 5:02am
Quoting Patience
E/U's struggling a bit because of E/G.

I just went to put some unleaded petrol in my car (the cheaper unleaded) and it is now £1.18 per litre! When crude was at $140.00 a barrel I was paying £1.20. It's only at $84.00/$85.00 a barrel now. What on earth are they going to charge if it hits $140.00 a barrel again? I don't get it.
true, I have been shorting E/G since start of the week, have been selling on any rally
  • #1,882
  • Apr 14, 2010 5:04am Apr 14, 2010 5:04am
Quoting shahab8b
the news will be released in 35 min, I'll exit this E/U long before that, at first it was promising, but now back to entry , overall I prefer selling E/U so I wont hold it for a long time if it doesn't go my way
hey shahab, i was wondering if u had any analysis of eur/cad..... on my charts it looks like it may have broken a long-term trend line

since eur/cad and eur/aud are good reverse indicators of aud/usd and usd/cad
  • #1,883
  • Apr 14, 2010 5:53am Apr 14, 2010 5:53am
Quoting shahab8b
that's what I'm talking about
nice call there, 1.3600 acted as a perfect wall
  • #1,884
  • Apr 14, 2010 6:38am Apr 14, 2010 6:38am
zzzzzzzzzzzzzz well that was exciting - not! No inflation over the pond aye. Yet another reason to keep interest rates where they are. Lots of shopping going on though. This PA reminds me of Summertime ranging. Boring .....
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #1,885
  • Apr 14, 2010 7:49am Apr 14, 2010 7:49am
long U/Cad at weekly S1 at .9966 has been taken SL=50 TP=100
  • #1,886
  • Apr 14, 2010 9:12am Apr 14, 2010 9:12am
Quoting shahab8b
long U/Cad at weekly S1 at .9966 has been taken SL=50 TP=100

ok, it's better now, classic bullish div at 15/30 min charts
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ucad4a.gif Size: 19 KB
  • #1,887
  • Apr 14, 2010 9:14am Apr 14, 2010 9:14am
anyone long usd/chf from 1.05
  • #1,888
  • Apr 14, 2010 9:17am Apr 14, 2010 9:17am
Quoting Clouds
anyone long usd/chf from 1.05
I am.... Its' got 100/200 sma on daily around that area, - it's support area, and may turn into an H&S. Also E/U dealing with downtrend TL now.
  • #1,889
  • Apr 14, 2010 9:18am Apr 14, 2010 9:18am
will wait to see where current h4 bar closes. its at an interesting point.

Quoting Clouds
I am.... Its' got 100/200 sma on daily around that area, - it's support area, and may turn into an H&S. Also E/U dealing with downtrend TL now.
  • #1,890
  • Apr 14, 2010 9:18am Apr 14, 2010 9:18am
Quoting shahab8b
ok, it's better now, classic bullish div at 15/30 min charts
I am long with you on this
  • #1,891
  • Apr 14, 2010 9:19am Apr 14, 2010 9:19am
Quoting Clouds
anyone long usd/chf from 1.05
count me in
  • #1,892
  • Apr 14, 2010 9:20am Apr 14, 2010 9:20am
Quoting Sierra8561
I am long with you on this
good, hope we will take the A/U loss back this time, we should be patient with this one though, we got it at a good price with div, should go up to weekly pivot or where I drew on the chart
  • #1,893
  • Apr 14, 2010 9:32am Apr 14, 2010 9:32am
Quoting Sierra8561
I am long with you on this
there is also a bullish divergence on usd/chf right?
  • #1,894
  • Apr 14, 2010 9:33am Apr 14, 2010 9:33am
I took a short on E/u at 1.3670 not scalping though, SL=40 targeting 1.3600
  • #1,895
  • Apr 14, 2010 9:35am Apr 14, 2010 9:35am
Quoting OvT
there is also a bullish divergence on usd/chf right?

also on E/U , but dont overexposed ,as all of them highly correlated, if one of them goes wrong all of them will do
  • #1,896
  • Apr 14, 2010 9:47am Apr 14, 2010 9:47am
Quoting shahab8b
also on E/U , but dont overexposed ,as all of them highly correlated, if one of them goes wrong all of them will do
yep, usd index is at 80.1 now after the dive
so the usd/x pairs seems to be bottoming, like u/cad and u/chf
vice versa for x/usd pairs
  • #1,897
  • Apr 14, 2010 9:52am Apr 14, 2010 9:52am
U/Cad, I like this pattern , watch it if it moves the way I drew
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ucad4b.gif Size: 16 KB
  • #1,898
  • Apr 14, 2010 10:00am Apr 14, 2010 10:00am
Quoting shahab8b
U/Cad, I like this pattern , watch it if it moves the way I drew
that was a classic ascending triangle . immediate target .998 a re-test of .9966 will increase the confidence
  • #1,899
  • Apr 14, 2010 10:14am Apr 14, 2010 10:14am
Quoting Clouds
hey shahab, i was wondering if u had any analysis of eur/cad..... on my charts it looks like it may have broken a long-term trend line

since eur/cad and eur/aud are good reverse indicators of aud/usd and usd/cad
hey Clouds, here you go E/A
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ea1.gif Size: 19 KB
  • #1,900
  • Apr 14, 2010 10:22am Apr 14, 2010 10:22am
Quoting Clouds
hey shahab, i was wondering if u had any analysis of eur/cad..... on my charts it looks like it may have broken a long-term trend line

since eur/cad and eur/aud are good reverse indicators of aud/usd and usd/cad
per your request, E/Cad, 4H chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ac1a.gif Size: 18 KB
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