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AUD/USD

  • #21,021
  • Apr 7, 2010 7:02pm Apr 7, 2010 7:02pm
Quoting shahab8b
thanks for the charts amyc, I got your point, you are right most of the time.
did you look at Kiwi fall, that makes me less bullish on Aussie, but this pair has its own story
This market is a bit of an anomoly lately, its is the only one I am not bearish on. I was hoping that there would be good jobs data that would take it up into 9406 and it could be shorted down from there.
  • #21,022
  • Apr 7, 2010 7:03pm Apr 7, 2010 7:03pm
Quoting Saxon
I dunno, I wanted some bad news, I guess I am selfish. I feel that AUD is inflated and is really on the tipping point. I thought that some mild to moderate bad news would be all that was needed to send us for a slide. Then I could have just booked a nice large short and let it ride for a week or so. But, I guess if you really think about it. I woud have been making money on the unemployed's expense. I would rather make my money on an IR move than on the backs of the unemployed. Oh well, I guess that is one positive way to look at it ya know.

dont feel bad, if your making money then your paying their way TAXES
  • #21,023
  • Apr 7, 2010 7:04pm Apr 7, 2010 7:04pm
Quoting Saxon
I dunno, I wanted some bad news, I guess I am selfish. I feel that AUD is inflated and is really on the tipping point. I thought that some mild to moderate bad news would be all that was needed to send us for a slide. Then I could have just booked a nice large short and let it ride for a week or so. But, I guess if you really think about it. I woud have been making money on the unemployed's expense. I would rather make my money on an IR move than on the backs of the unemployed. Oh well, I guess that is one positive way to look at it ya know.
it is inflated for sure. take a look at this Purchasing Power Parity chart
according to it , PPP is .7007 of USD, that's the fair value
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  • #21,024
  • Apr 7, 2010 7:04pm Apr 7, 2010 7:04pm
Quoting blurbear
Move stop down to b/e and oco it against 9220. Catching some needed sleep. Will check in later in Asian time zone.
Now unemployment data out of way. Still stick with shorts. Watching to see if this plays out.

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  • #21,025
  • Apr 7, 2010 7:38pm Apr 7, 2010 7:38pm
nzd/chf seems interesting

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  • #21,026
  • Apr 7, 2010 9:01pm Apr 7, 2010 9:01pm
I know this is AUD, but is anyone else watching this? JPY, how many times can you test?
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  • #21,027
  • Apr 7, 2010 9:03pm Apr 7, 2010 9:03pm
Here is my AUD chart to keep with the theme
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  • #21,028
  • Edited 9:26pm Apr 7, 2010 9:05pm | Edited 9:26pm
looking for .90 on both au and uj, 79.5 for aj
  • #21,029
  • Apr 7, 2010 9:20pm Apr 7, 2010 9:20pm
Quoting Saxon
Here is my AUD chart to keep with the theme
i shorted yesterday at 9262 and man it's painfully slow to watch
maybe have a look at u/j, perhaps ready for a breakout
  • #21,030
  • Apr 7, 2010 9:27pm Apr 7, 2010 9:27pm
Quoting OvT
i shorted yesterday at 9262 and man it's painfully slow to watch
maybe have a look at u/j, perhaps ready for a breakout
Ya, AUD is moving really slow right now. Maybe london will breathe some life into it. I have JPY on my radar right now. I have been waiting for PA to break that S/R and fib for a long time. It is at the line right now, maybe it will bounce and come back to test later, maybe it will go right now. Some analysts think that there will probably be one more bounce then a push through, who knows, but I'm watching it.
  • #21,031
  • Apr 7, 2010 9:30pm Apr 7, 2010 9:30pm
Quoting OvT
i shorted yesterday at 9262 and man it's painfully slow to watch
maybe have a look at u/j, perhaps ready for a breakout
I took some advice from Amy and dipped my hand into the E/U cookie jar while this A/U mess gets cleaned up a bit. I haven't even been able to trade G/U while it consolidates and figures out a direction. U/J was a nice little boost yesterday too. One positive thing that I've learned though is that there is more than just one kind of cookie to steal out there.
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #21,032
  • Apr 7, 2010 9:32pm Apr 7, 2010 9:32pm
Quoting Saxon
Ya, AUD is moving really slow right now. Maybe london will breathe some life into it. I have JPY on my radar right now. I have been waiting for PA to break that S/R and fib for a long time. It is at the line right now, maybe it will bounce and come back to test later, maybe it will go right now. Some analysts think that there will probably be one more bounce then a push through, who knows, but I'm watching it.
ej broke yesterday's lows already, i personally dont see much of a bounce for yen pairs , but safe to have a sell below support there
  • #21,033
  • Apr 7, 2010 10:09pm Apr 7, 2010 10:09pm
The last H4 candle at 9pm -1am est is quite bullish to me.
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #21,034
  • Apr 7, 2010 10:59pm Apr 7, 2010 10:59pm
Who said AUDUSD was boring?
Look at the pic of EURCHF…now that’s boring. I mean except for a couple of days.
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  • #21,035
  • Apr 7, 2010 11:31pm Apr 7, 2010 11:31pm
Is this the H&S you were looking for?
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When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #21,036
  • Apr 8, 2010 12:20am Apr 8, 2010 12:20am
1. Break of Trendline
2. Bullish Pennant
3. Bullish Flag??

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_8texnURUcC.../BlogForex.bmp
  • #21,037
  • Apr 8, 2010 12:48am Apr 8, 2010 12:48am
Quoting Saxon
I know this is AUD, but is anyone else watching this? JPY, how many times can you test?
I went short - second time already. I believe it will go south for some time, passed/tested fib 61,8 on d too often.

SORRY to all for posting here...... will not happen again....
  • #21,038
  • Apr 8, 2010 12:59am Apr 8, 2010 12:59am
Quoting Dukeabout
I went short - second time already. I believe it will go south for some time, passed/tested fib 61,8 on d too often.

SORRY to all for posting here...... will not happen again....
Ya, it broke through. Let's see how far she will fall. FE 100 is right around 93.03 and 93 "00" double zero is soon to come too.
  • #21,039
  • Apr 8, 2010 1:01am Apr 8, 2010 1:01am
saxon are you watching this? what do you reckon
apparently profit taking and 'weak global cues' they said is causing this dive

im finding a right spot to TP, perhaps 9212 the previous R
  • #21,040
  • Apr 8, 2010 1:09am Apr 8, 2010 1:09am
Quoting OvT
saxon are you watching this? what do you reckon
apparently profit taking and 'weak global cues' they said is causing this dive

im finding a right spot to TP, perhaps 9212 the previous R
150 ma on the H1 is 9221 and 200 ma on H1 is 92
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
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