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AUD/USD

  • #20,701
  • Mar 31, 2010 4:41pm Mar 31, 2010 4:41pm
9180 seems the resistance ATM

Attached Image
  • #20,702
  • Mar 31, 2010 4:46pm Mar 31, 2010 4:46pm
Quoting Clouds
9180 seems the resistance ATM

Attachment
Ya, I got 91821 but they are pretty close. So you're bearish too? I just wish this range would end and give us some direction.
  • #20,703
  • Mar 31, 2010 4:49pm Mar 31, 2010 4:49pm
Quoting Saxon
Ya, I got 91821 but they are pretty close. So you're bearish too? I just wish this range would end and give us some direction.
yea, pretty bearish, the last 2 daily candles looks like it's forming a top
  • #20,704
  • Mar 31, 2010 5:09pm Mar 31, 2010 5:09pm
How Annoying! Make up your mind!

Looks like down we go though.
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #20,705
  • Mar 31, 2010 5:11pm Mar 31, 2010 5:11pm
Quoting Clouds
yea, pretty bearish, the last 2 daily candles looks like it's forming a top
I don't see one bearish thing about this market currently but I do hope it moves down some to give a decent long entry. targeting 9277 and 9322, not discounting 97 if the S&P doesn't rollover in April.
  • #20,706
  • Mar 31, 2010 5:20pm Mar 31, 2010 5:20pm
Quoting amyc
I don't see one bearish thing about this market currently but I do hope it moves down some to give a decent long entry. targeting 9277 and 9322, not discounting 97 if the S&P doesn't rollover in April.
i dont know if there's a name for it or anything, but when i see two daily candles that are small and of close to equal size, it looks like it's dealing with some type of resistance, or reversal, same as the .86 low in feb. same thing happen at .9250. yesterdays candle also made lower high from previous daily
  • #20,707
  • Mar 31, 2010 5:36pm Mar 31, 2010 5:36pm
Quoting Clouds
i dont know if there's a name for it or anything, but when i see two daily candles that are small and of close to equal size, it looks like it's dealing with some type of resistance, or reversal, same as the .86 low in feb. same thing happen at .9250. yesterdays candle also made lower high from previous daily
I think that if it was going to go down it would have done so by now, its been hanging around up here for 3 weeks with no signs of moving down, in that time dx made new highs and eu new lows. I see eu moving down in April and dx making higher highs but au is not part of the basket of currencies that make up dx and the correlation between it and eu that was around for the last few years seems to be breaking down. My charts show there is a high probability of making a higher high in April so I will be trading that.
  • #20,708
  • Mar 31, 2010 5:37pm Mar 31, 2010 5:37pm
down to .9130 we go
  • #20,709
  • Mar 31, 2010 5:44pm Mar 31, 2010 5:44pm
Quoting amyc
I think that if it was going to go down it would have done so by now, its been hanging around up here for 3 weeks with no signs of moving down, in that time dx made new highs and eu new lows. I see eu moving down in April and dx making higher highs but au is not part of the basket of currencies that make up dx and the correlation between it and eu that was around for the last few years seems to be breaking down. My charts show there is a high probability of making a higher high in April so I will be trading that.
keep an eye on eur/aud , it did bounce off the down trend TL, but found support at previous low, if that turns bullish, au will go down
  • #20,710
  • Mar 31, 2010 5:47pm Mar 31, 2010 5:47pm
Make any sense? Any advice? I am short 4 mini lots at .91547...I saw double high lower close (or i think it is ) anyways is there anything i should look for after i see something like that? The chart i uploaded is a 30 min.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #20,711
  • Mar 31, 2010 5:52pm Mar 31, 2010 5:52pm
Quoting Proda
Make any sense? Any advice? I am short 4 mini lots at .91547...I saw double high lower close (or i think it is ) anyways is there anything i should look for after i see something like that? The chart i uploaded is a 30 min.
Might go up and test 91631 and head back down, or might just keep going down. Since most of my significant short-term MAs are above PA now, I can see a revert to test, but still maintain bearish. 91365 is my next stationary S/R. Keep an eye on MA testing though
  • #20,712
  • Mar 31, 2010 6:01pm Mar 31, 2010 6:01pm
thx saxon
  • #20,713
  • Mar 31, 2010 6:02pm Mar 31, 2010 6:02pm
Quoting Saxon
Might go up and test 91631 and head back down, or might just keep going down. Since most of my significant short-term MAs are above PA now, I can see a revert to test, but still maintain bearish. 91365 is my next stationary S/R. Keep an eye on MA testing though
See chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: test.jpg Size: 164 KB
  • #20,714
  • Mar 31, 2010 6:12pm Mar 31, 2010 6:12pm
Gotta run, but I thought i'd throw up some other charts for to look at
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: mml.jpg Size: 110 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: new blue.gif Size: 39 KB
  • #20,715
  • Mar 31, 2010 7:08pm Mar 31, 2010 7:08pm
I have taken longs on aud at 9160 and 9170, for reasons I outlined above but also bc Thursday has opened above the daily pp and when that happens on Thursday or friday there is an 85% chance price will move to the daily highs, today that is 9207. I was hoping for a move back to 9120 but that doesn't look like happening currently.
  • #20,716
  • Mar 31, 2010 7:45pm Mar 31, 2010 7:45pm
I see AUD as still heading up. At the moment EURUSD took a spike upward to 1.3560 (40 pips in 1hr), thinking dollar weakness early in Asian session.

http://http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_8te.../audusd1hr.bmp
  • #20,717
  • Mar 31, 2010 7:47pm Mar 31, 2010 7:47pm
Sitting right above dailyPivot 0.9168

http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_8texnURUcC.../audusd1hr.bmp
  • #20,718
  • Mar 31, 2010 7:55pm Mar 31, 2010 7:55pm
Quoting IdentifyTren
I see AUD as still heading up. At the moment EURUSD took a spike upward to 1.3560 (40 pips in 1hr), thinking dollar weakness early in Asian session.

http://http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_8te.../audusd1hr.bmp
There is a good chance 1.3560 is the high for eu, we'll know soon enough.
  • #20,719
  • Mar 31, 2010 8:27pm Mar 31, 2010 8:27pm
Quoting amyc
I have taken longs on aud at 9160 and 9170, for reasons I outlined above but also bc Thursday has opened above the daily pp and when that happens on Thursday or friday there is an 85% chance price will move to the daily highs, today that is 9207. I was hoping for a move back to 9120 but that doesn't look like happening currently.
Thanks Amyc. For a while there I was doubting my skills and felt like the only bull around.
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #20,720
  • Mar 31, 2010 8:43pm Mar 31, 2010 8:43pm
Quoting MarcVUM
Thanks Amyc. For a while there I was doubting my skills and felt like the only bull around.
It is very easy to feel like that round here at times. Now we just need a good entry, the positions I have now are small and I am going to keep the stops wide, if we get 9120 i will add a lot more, although its tricky bc i don't like to hold a lot of positions going into this weekend, NFP and easter long weekend. What entry are you looking for?
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