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AUD/USD

  • #20,381
  • Mar 29, 2010 10:58pm Mar 29, 2010 10:58pm
I think shorts might be in a bit of trouble here, looks like its going to continue to move up with eu.
  • #20,382
  • Mar 29, 2010 11:02pm Mar 29, 2010 11:02pm
can somebody tell me what is aud/usd market structure at the moment? How long can the rally sustains? and can somebody tell me where to liquidate my positions safely? ... after closing 2 position with a total pips of 50 i still have one position running with trailing stops.

can anybody know when the tops will occur? any magic crystal balls?
Success consists of going from failure to failure without loss of enthusiam
  • #20,383
  • Mar 29, 2010 11:03pm Mar 29, 2010 11:03pm
is this pair bound for retracement? reversal?
Success consists of going from failure to failure without loss of enthusiam
  • #20,384
  • Mar 29, 2010 11:07pm Mar 29, 2010 11:07pm
Got a feeling it could go through daily TL this time - would then touch it 4th time?!
  • #20,385
  • Mar 29, 2010 11:11pm Mar 29, 2010 11:11pm
wait for her to come down a little - maybe and than enter long. Missed out yesterday 61.8 fibs and didn't beleive it could go up - well never look in the past and the market tells you..... still long way to learn for me...
  • #20,386
  • Mar 29, 2010 11:27pm Mar 29, 2010 11:27pm
Quoting ivanovic01
looks like we are seeing some res now. the .92 level will make or breaks this run so hold until it breaks through .92 (im short since last week entry .9200 sl .9235, and if i get stopped out will wait untill sell signs again
where is ur short, if i m not too personal
EUR/USD
  • #20,387
  • Mar 29, 2010 11:36pm Mar 29, 2010 11:36pm
Quoting Clouds
just because it goes out of the trend line a little bit, doesn't mean the trend has changed. i still think the aud/usd trend lines are valid, but that doesn't mean it's always gonna bounce off the tl to the pip, now if it went up another 100 pips i'd be worried. also, looking at cad, i do think aud is still down

aud/usd
Attachment

usd/cad
Attachment


hey clouds, what time frame you used?
  • #20,388
  • Mar 29, 2010 11:51pm Mar 29, 2010 11:51pm
Quoting Noordin
where is ur short, if i m not too personal
.9200
  • #20,389
  • Mar 29, 2010 11:51pm Mar 29, 2010 11:51pm
Quoting Clouds
that why it bounce, but is daily TL's stronger
I'm afraid the last 4hr candle not showing any reversal sign.
Shah For every action there is an equal and opposite reaction.....
  • #20,390
  • Mar 29, 2010 11:58pm Mar 29, 2010 11:58pm
Quoting amyc
I think shorts might be in a bit of trouble here, looks like its going to continue to move up with eu.
Amyc, have you re-evaluated at this point? If so, do you have a new TP?

My H4 is extremely overextended. I am still positive that there will be a retracement... however it might not come until the daily TL is hit. The retracement will probably bring us to the 5ma on the daily chart.
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #20,391
  • Mar 30, 2010 12:14am Mar 30, 2010 12:14am
Quoting ivanovic01
.9200
how long you wait for on position for TP and SL ?? please advice, are you in micro?
EUR/USD
  • #20,392
  • Mar 30, 2010 12:18am Mar 30, 2010 12:18am
we have some signals that AUDUSD may pull back.

MACD is flat on H1
Attached Image


MACD is divergence on M5
Attached Image
  • #20,393
  • Mar 30, 2010 12:22am Mar 30, 2010 12:22am
Question is, how far will the pullback go?




Quoting myinvest888
we have some signals that AUDUSD may pull back.

MACD is flat on H1
Attachment

MACD is divergence on M5
Attachment
  • #20,394
  • Edited 12:36am Mar 30, 2010 12:25am | Edited 12:36am
Hi all... I'm placing my short enrty at .9208 with stop at .9228. I've been pretty happy with AUD/USD trades in past, here is my chart for you to review...
Its a 4hr chart RSI is holding and MACD is still showing up trend. Fib support retracement to 0.9150
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSD_032910_1024PM_PST.JPG Size: 143 KB
  • #20,395
  • Mar 30, 2010 12:25am Mar 30, 2010 12:25am
Quoting MarcVUM
Amyc, have you re-evaluated at this point? If so, do you have a new TP?

My H4 is extremely overextended. I am still positive that there will be a retracement... however it might not come until the daily TL is hit. The retracement will probably bring us to the 5ma on the daily chart.
I have moved my stop to 9220 as i think we will see 9215. dx should move down around another 0.4 of a point before there is any bullish potential for it this week.
  • #20,396
  • Mar 30, 2010 12:30am Mar 30, 2010 12:30am
Quoting stwk81
kourtney - what type of time frame do you see your target pan out?
well to be honest i expected to see it by now hitting my target!

makes me mad because usually the AUD is lazy can take another day till wed when maybe we can see a change of trend...

but will be ready to close around 9150 so i can cash out my performance compensation....


lets see what happend tonight... went up over 100 pips in 24 hr period so if goes down 80 in same time frame im ok...I just need to close them all before 5 pm of last day of this month
  • #20,397
  • Mar 30, 2010 1:12am Mar 30, 2010 1:12am
I just placed heavy shorts TP again the same 0.9105 lets see if this monster is tired of messing with us or what
  • #20,398
  • Mar 30, 2010 1:12am Mar 30, 2010 1:12am
Just woke up - and bloody hell, seems like this trade isn't cooperating at all. It's rather mind-boggling how many reversal candles we have had on both 1H and 4H since yesterday's surge began and the pair is still heading north despite it.

As we're now edging towards a retest of the Daily TF, I guess we''ll have an answer soon enough.
  • #20,399
  • Mar 30, 2010 1:14am Mar 30, 2010 1:14am
All I can say is.. overbought. There will be one massive hangover after this rally. Good opportunity for short-term shorts, and 9200 seems as good an entry point as any.
  • #20,400
  • Mar 30, 2010 1:15am Mar 30, 2010 1:15am
Quoting George C
Just woke up - and bloody hell, seems like this trade isn't cooperating at all. It's rather mind-boggling how many reversal candles we have had on both 1H and 4H since yesterday's surge began and the pair is still heading north despite it.

As we're now edging towards a retest of the Daily TF, I guess we''ll have an answer soon enough.
Mind-boggling. I haven't seen anything like this since the fall of 2009. Let's see what London does for us.
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
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