TD Sequential counts Trading & analysis

yeah ,taste the most unexpected,lets see what next.
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=217348

eu update : http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=217390

there are both a new set up development & cd on , hope buy cd to complete first & then new set up in m30 .
fontu

The same strategy , short from any high. Now today doing some longs to see how far it go.

analyses:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=218455

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=218460

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=218467
fontu

A new setup taking place in H1 , hope 5 more candles up there to finish it to the near top coinciding ADP Non-Farm news effects today and long till then continues. Just check news , perhaps all eur ones are positive before the adp event taking to up.
fontu

Morning to all concern.

H1 tf , price need to go below 1.35 again & close 1.3506 buy cd 8# by min 2 or more hours & next go test up to 1.3569 break the previous high & possible HS in H4 for about 250+pips possible .
so not taking any long now,

In H4 have sell cd 9 now & min 3 H4 candles price need go up & close 1.3543, anyway tendency to upside . and at the same time new setup developing there too , sell one & to continue it to go up or risk cancel.

So if it can go down , I believe to 1.3494,86,68 , 42 can play before to up 1.3543,69 > up 1.3660>1.3704> more .

This time I will only buy below 1.35 to any low low seen , pending will apply .
fontu

More on eu:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=219134

Though next up expected but down need to be over first.
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=219202
fontu

gold analysis today.
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=219213

eu & gold charts , both wants up but I will wait another hr to close shorts & long if all ok.buy set ups in H1 last count waiting close down.
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=219806
fontu

9th H1 candle started & watching it closely . take longs at the low of this candle.

done the job & wait till nfp.
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=219818
fontu

people say Aud & Jpy are most weak currency & Aud & Cad most strong right now & so checking them how it may do next . They have done a lot very recently & repenting why traded them before when I heard that.

Audjpy :

In weekly already have buy signal & now on new setup closing closes , only 5th week were onever & so it to continue this new setup should up for next 4 weeks continuosly.

In daily level , to have sell signal price may close max at or or over H cd 8 ,85.54 by 2 or more weeks but go high without limit seeing immediate resistants 89.27 & 93.07 , now cd 11 over & price 86.89 . upside possibilities outnumbered downside , any bottom to take a long.

Again it developed new setup , closing above 4 earlier , H 8 above most except 7 & next 9th candle low can go down high of previous 3 at best ,H 6 at 85.79 probable support 86.26/20 but high any up for a sell signal . so next candle may be mostly up & same any bottom to take a long.
Euraud :
I see it just opposit the Audjpy doing,
In weekly already have sell signal & now on new setup , a buy one & last candle ,3 weeks advanced than AJ , 9th high can be low of 6th at 1.4716 max to preserve this buy setup but no limit downside ,can not see resistant as perhaps all time low.
In daily ,cd sell 10 over & for next 2 or more can close at or over H cd 8 1.4659 as high as 1.4716 probable 1.4690 to low 1.4587 break and LOW.

Imoprtant note : down for EA & up for aj for only next day before considerable up before further fall but overal weekly should down & UP respectively than NOW.

fontu

Yes , taking decision to take some medium & long term trades ,smallest lots ofcourse in many pairs & the reasons for most are after abc correction market already possibly moved to wave 2 next cycle unfolded & big wave 3 either started or will . another TD point is that many have rallied up recently & new buy setup perfection completed yesterday & also a good retracement should be due which aligned with wave 3 formula.

such pairs are gold, gj, in down trend, eu & Gu not in similar condition ( rallied up & buy set) but eu already in subwave 2 or starting 3 wave 3 or 5 to down & gu to start the wave down .

AJ in untrend but finshed new buy set perfection like above in other pairs & down before further if if no great rallies again come , so short view here now.
they are analysed in daily tfs.

euraud in great down trend , may be due strongest vs weakest one still in weekly level the new setup sell perfection end this week & so some retracements can be due but in daily level already fresh sell signal developed recently & continue down .
& so continue to down untill otherwise proved or some retracement next week.

fontu

Could not wait for the long term this time as seeing profit & my entries still not ok and so closed with most profit earlier. But the great chance again will come after recent the bull pressure subsides. so will wait till then .

There is great apprehension of strong bull candle this week & should break up the utl at 1.3515 to 1.3815 or any level up as per weekly candlestck pattern of bullish hammar.
Other analyses are :
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=223305
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=223278

Now analysing TD counts :

In H1 thurstday & friday price failed to have a bull signal confirmation due bull rallying though only the last cd left & price close below 1.3355. this sudden rally up again start new setup aborting the previous buy signal, now setup candle 7# & closed below earlier 4 candles so far a buy setup. next 2 candles to go up but for the buysetup perfection & if real buy intention of regular price action ,not unstable rally it should go close at or below the 6th or 5th , that to come back 1.3454, may to 1.3439 as a nearest support,even 1.3391. so here price may bull 2 hrs of the market open to up 1.3515 (upper trend line one ) around ( up any or nearer ) and down before the 2nd candle close towards 1.3440/3391 around.

In h4, the pioneer of the bull action last instead of go for buy signal after setup perfection suddenly rally last day & again made a new set perfection surprisingly a sell one if again no further a bull rally next it should fall considerably at the same time also can up this 9th close , that is a range expected around the pivot now 1,3493, for next min 13 H4 candles to have real sell signal.
so here also price may fall some extent & stay mostly up but not any great if pa behave normal.

In daily , already a buy set up perfection in hand & 7 cds complete but here also instead continuing this opportunity for a bull signal it spike up last friday , only 1 candle in the new setup though now & can be aborted with ease with some price down.there is a w bear continuation pattern also. so bull rally up & up not supported by daily but rally can't be anticipate if any time due fundamentals or intervention.

In weekly , though bullish hammar candle stick pattern yet may go down before any bull or even may get another doji if price moved up last friday due some great intervention & market not decided for the same up too.
already in a set up formation & now about to close after 4 weeks of counts ,price go above 1.3418 vanish this counts , be back if down again & something new can develop. but what done is continue weekly down.

There are risks of the trend change greatly but did not happen yet , still down to continue or better stay away.
thanks ,
fontu

Eu update now .
fontu
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=225326

more
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=225379

Thanks for pm . checking eu now .

H4 now totally confused , upper levels expected failed to reach so far , buy cd failed at 11 but still active to continue it go up again perhaps 1.3640 & for low risk buy signal it can down below 8# 1.3602 may fall through 1.3582 to support 1.3569 to mid channel h4 1.3553.

next in h4 again , new setup developing also stopped & cancelled to have the 9th because setup sequences are simultaneous not unlimited like count down .

so as per H4 price may up without any contraindication ,may be test tl at 1.3657 again & again , even spike up to 96 & 1.3741 top channel to have a buy signal but next to retrace sufficiently or to go low risk buy signal to low explained above .

In h1 after confirm buy signal ,price retracing having a setup now 6th candle running ,so 3 more candles down H1 can happen & take it enough down to 1.3605/2 or less .

In daily proce tends to bull with a gap still open & setup 5th running all up & down at the top of the channel & so can go down rather than disorganixed setup to bull . so a good chance it go down to fill the gap , 1.3461 chance still open.

thanks ,
fontu

Great work Fontu.

Thanks , sorry for late reply .
Great chart to see the transition levels more clearly with easy looks using MM, fibs & tdc.And the wisedom you have shown in selling in proper time & took the rally down which was not expected by fibs there now mm levels & perhaps used tdc alone .

hope see more charts in future .
fontu

Gold :
Though price may risk fall to subsequent resistant at 1124.15 to support at 1120.73 but as is sell cd on for low risk sell signal ir should go over 8th cd at 1156.05 to 1161.15 to even 1165.55 before sell signal subject to price successfully break up 1143.40 & 114454 as per h4 tf .
as per daily tf already have sell setup perfection & cd mostly expect down side & but some upmovements already happened & further possible . and as is again following a down rally & news setup formation can also go to the ltl at 1104.10 to support 1088.35 to 1084.06.

So agreat volalities expected this week.

GJ :
In h1 price already have sell setup perfection & cd on 9th running ,so for a low rish sell signal price may up over the 8th cd at 142.46 or over 143.19 to even 144.27.
In H4 sell setup perfection just completed & retracement is due & though price may fall a little to about 141.06 it should go up previous H1 levels mentioned to even 144.92 before bear continuation down through the bottom .

In daily exact as gold sell setup perfection cd on & again new setup developing to down side , great fall to 132.02 if the intermediate sullrt breat at 136.66.

here also like gold great volalities expected this week.

Market may change by 2 days a lot & will re-evaluate next morning.

fontu

Just take long orders ,got position eu at 1.3454, gj 140.50 , gu 1.5255,gold 1135.95 at and below to some extent add more.

Hope they work and analysis need not to change now.Bull in a bear continuation market & so will carefull about the life of longs .
fontu

Gold :
price fell to 1123.40 after the market open & continue up filled the gap first chance ,now price at 1136.30 . stiil long way to go that high ,"break up 1143.40 & 114454 to at 1156.05 to 1161.15 to even 1165.55 "
Now in H4 sell signal aready done , sell setup perfection also done & price just retracing before the sell starts & so upside movements can be limited to first target 1143.40 or less.
Daily rallying down with new setup development only 4th, if continue ,more to down.

GU: gap not filled yet , in h4 new set up developing up candle 4th here too , price may fall to 1.5258 before another try ,taget may be limited just filling the gap & some up , 1.5360 to 74 .otherwise if to down again at 1.5258 to 1.5166 price may rally up & continue up to 1.5507 to 1.56.77 & 1.5817 not impossible for gu.
It is main concern now for other pairs also . possible upside continuation.


GJ: similar to gold , upside 142.36 may stop or to 144.20 before continuation down .

Did not maintain long positions in gold & eu & gj except gu , closed them all last night & went scalping mode as too much ups & down . Today may have more volalities .

fontu

update of trades taken recently
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=228128
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=228105