TD Sequential counts Trading & analysis

posted in other thread , possible shorts next
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=211742

eu update : http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=212377
fontu

Instead of H4 buy signal confirmation recently,also m15 and m30 already have , in H1 new buy setup develpoed as price falls , expecting breakout down side testing tl 1.3623 if break 1.3483 support may play.In that case only daily confirm sell signal start play( governing tf for the down movements today ) & by this time I saw new set up started developing in daily also cancelled.

Anyway with overhead all those bulls price may bounce from immediate tl at 1.3654 /60 and 1.3623 to 1.3775 again before finally fall. so playing should be carefully done . no confirmation before the tls broke sucessfully ,break & hold.
fontu

eu update , may break tl again while confirmaing buy signals .
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=213041
fontu

Price still on the trendline but became flatter & no real breakout to the level expected to 1.3484.

In h4 tf after the buy signal confirmation again developing buy set up & for perfection price need to go at or below #8 1.3600 , just above the tl within 35min left present candle.

In h1 already buy signal but again developing setup ,nothing special now.

In M4 sell signal there but price still hovering above the support level of 1.3606.
Anyway lets test the tl or bear continue some & decide what what next.
channelwise price at the bottom in H4,H1,m30 while top at daily & m5,m15 down channel breaking now at the top. some upside before tl ? not bad, so previous target now as yesterday night 1.3646 ( as far now ) & next short for 1.3600 scalping .
Apparently market may need more retracment before the break the ltl .
fontu

eu update , took short in this evening session . only suspecion gold bull behavour & may back to the tl as expected in the morning 1.3598. due break support 1.3563/50 I will stick to the tp line & will so accumulation if even up the line.perhaps matter of time it may move in favour & tp line.
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=213504
fontu

Gold analysis of the week.
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=213944

fontu

EU analyses this week , perhaps not much differences in both different ways .

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=213964

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=213888

Just plan use up for better short entries without much risk in longs.
fontu

Nothing special , price ranges within small areas so far & as expected sideways around the center 1.3502 , up mostly since morning but may do bear continuation & up too .

In m30 price to confirm a sell signal to go up 1.3542 & up , already have buy signal confirmation in h1 & m5,m15 after buy signal again developed buy setup .

so sideways continue , price may fall below the center first perhaps 1.3483 this time to go up above 1.3542, can be 1.3575 this time & good for scalping .
fontu

eu update :
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=214678

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=214684
fontu

update :
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=214745

Just checking eu :

In daily after sell signal it again developing news setup , closes below previous 4 closes & end in buy setup perfection . In doing so it should go down 4 more daily candles downside .

In h4 having buy signal confirmation price continue down & new setup also developing , closing below previous candles marginally & may end in buy set perfection where previous 6th candle high & low as 1.3464 and 1.3406 will be determinant of the next moves.&th candle going up now ,may to 1.3466 >83>93>1.3506 or even 1.3535. and whereever it goes to down below low of 6th 1.3406. so any up will still short.

primary tareget down may be 1.3380 > 50. or any low as price in both H4 & daily are in undershhot areas of MM
thanks , fontu

update, late perhaps.
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost.php?p=3578709&postcount=215387

cd 12 running so at least 1 more m5 candle to go down & close shorts.and this time sure to close but waiting if can undershoot while falling near 1.34 area.
fontu

Similar condition in m30 , price need go below 1.3406 in next min 2 or more m30 candles , that is price perhaps staying low this level & retracements can very limited for an hr or so time , London open will be over & London may undershoot down I suspected , continue asian move.

fontu

expected 1.3459 at least up but started shorts over 1.3435 and any up add more., will follow m30 close below 1.3406. and same other pairs gj,gu,gold doing .
fontu

eu next plan buy :
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=215840
fontu

Sell cd 10 running & to confirm a sell signal in M15 tf price to go up above #8 1.3356by min 2 or more m15 candles , more it will take time the high it can up due channel /bear flag and tp will raise from 1.3380 to up upto 1.3458 max . so wherever it may go down now should up again if this sell next.
fontu

After lots of computer trouble since yesterday evening , starts posting again & traded few only . failed take shorts but placed many pending longs at night & now they all in good shape & closing one after the other. also start shorting price over 1.3250 as scalping .

In daily day 7th though has to be in relation with day 6th ( H 1.3386 , open 1.3323,close 1.3287 ,L1.3267) all levels for next 2 candles daily. already over 2/3 rd of the 6th it retraced but can expect close below the 6th at the day close end that is 1,3287 .
so any up should return at last.
views short from any top.

In H4 nothing special , sell setup perfection & cd on and price may range around this area .

In h1 just a just buy setup perfection occured & cd on so price may not run much up side and ranges again mostly downside expected.
up side stop price can be 1.3374/1.3404/1.3444/1.3473.
so as of h4 & he ranges expected price may not cross first 2 levels and if any up , ok for better short entry.

In M15 for sell signal price may need to come close 1.3325 but above it .so expecting price down side from any up .

conclusion : though price going up, longs should be of high risks & any up I consider only as good short entry level & accumulation or scalping shorts continues till break down & back to the pavillion.
fontu

In m15 same as in the morning price need to close close 1.3325 but avobe this level & in h1 now price need to stay above 1.3388 but will need to go down this level by min 4 more hrs as now running cd 9,. so same any up will down again .
also seeing sell off developing as the week end will close.
fontu

Looking gj now :
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=219591

In m30 & h1 tf I see price to fall below 1.3389 to have buy signal there . Price may fall to next sr 1.3355 to 1.3324 as per M30 by min 2 or more m30 candles , over 1 hr time and nxt may up & fall again to 1.3362 to even low 1.3272 by min 2 or more hours.

In h4 is the most important tf to determin what next , have both new set development & sell cd in the middle both. If tries to complete setup price will up again & again over the previous highs where 1.3435 & 62 most important , breaks up should suspect market rejected further down for the timebeing & all up even over 1.35 to 1.3740 possible , unfortunately never think it may happen as as per dail tf price still at 4th of 5 wave & max up should be 1.3461.I have shorts & pending covering upto 1.3461 to work whatever risk may come , not unlikely for every moment in forex.

even if no chance break up those levels , price may stays long time at the upper levels sidewaying.

I f fall enough down below 1.3350 may not at the top then at the lower areas above 1.3272 perhaps & clear all fears of the UP ,an extreme unexpect.

In daily possible price go below if , no any accident as above , should go below the previous low by only 2 days as far as possible.
No worries , new setups in weekly & even more progress in monthly too , all big tf may not vanish with only by breaking up the extreme unexpect.
Conclusion:
extreme bearish if no accident , if any ,all analysis will have to revised.
My plan short from any top . even breaks up.
fontu