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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #841
  • Mar 28, 2010 6:51pm Mar 28, 2010 6:51pm
Just close G/U one position for +50 pips
nice start this week.

still holding e/u 2 positions. we are reaching 1 TP soon.
  • #842
  • Mar 28, 2010 8:14pm Mar 28, 2010 8:14pm
getting close to A/U sell zone

sell limit orders; .9075-.9090 and .9105 SL=.9150 TP=90 ,.8850
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  • #843
  • Mar 28, 2010 9:05pm Mar 28, 2010 9:05pm
Puks,

are they (RBA) gonna raise the rates next week ?
  • #844
  • Mar 28, 2010 9:11pm Mar 28, 2010 9:11pm
Quoting rainbows
Just close G/U one position for +50 pips
nice start this week.

still holding e/u 2 positions. we are reaching 1 TP soon.

  • #845
  • Mar 28, 2010 9:11pm Mar 28, 2010 9:11pm
Quoting Leche Mocha
I believe that Head & Shoulders pattern is a signal for more upside to the USD/JPY. A lot more upside.

agree, may be 97
  • #846
  • Mar 28, 2010 9:16pm Mar 28, 2010 9:16pm
Gold:
sell limit 1116 & 1118 SL= 1130
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  • #847
  • Mar 28, 2010 11:00pm Mar 28, 2010 11:00pm
Quoting shahab8b
Puks,

are they (RBA) gonna raise the rates next week ?
No.
  • #848
  • Mar 28, 2010 11:01pm Mar 28, 2010 11:01pm
Quoting puks
No.

Infact, even the retail sales will be down on Wednesday. I am expecting AUD to close below .90 cents.

Not much upside there IMHO.
  • #849
  • Mar 29, 2010 1:21am Mar 29, 2010 1:21am
what a day,

fortunately we could get out of E/U short trade at weekly pivot touch.
A/U short trade doesn't look like good at all.

here is the update:

E/U short from 1.3440-60 -75 closed at 1.3420 (+20,40,55)
G/U short from 1.4950 half closed at 1.4910 (+40) and half stopped at B/E

open trade:
A/U short from .9075- .9090 .9105 (-62, -47, -32) SL .9150
I think I'll TP at weekly Pivot re-touch at .9078 if I get the chance!!!!

G/U short from 1.4980 SL=1.5080


A/U trade is not what I expected , to me A/U bias is down as far as R at .9142 holds and there is a good chance that R will be taken out sooner than later
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  • #850
  • Mar 29, 2010 2:20am Mar 29, 2010 2:20am
I took SHORT E/U at 1.3490
SL= 1.3560
1st TP=1.3440 2nd TBD
  • #851
  • Mar 29, 2010 2:24am Mar 29, 2010 2:24am
hi mate, I am in a similar boat and this time I took relatively large positions as I have faith in your calls but the trades are going against me...

I am short from .9060, .91 and .9115 and now I am getting quite nervous.

Hopefully this will turn out to be false monday morning move...

Lets hope so because I believe Retail sales will be down and they wont raise the rates.


Quoting shahab8b
what a day,

fortunately we could get out of E/U short trade at weekly pivot touch.
A/U short trade doesn't look like good at all.

here is the update:

E/U short from 1.3440-60 -75 closed at 1.3420 (+20,40,55)
G/U short from 1.4950 half closed at 1.4910 (+40) and half stopped at B/E

open trade:
A/U short from .9075- .9090 .9105...
  • #852
  • Mar 29, 2010 2:28am Mar 29, 2010 2:28am
E/U
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  • #853
  • Mar 29, 2010 2:36am Mar 29, 2010 2:36am
Quoting puks
hi mate, I am in a similar boat and this time I took relatively large positions as I have faith in your calls but the trades are going against me...

I am short from .9060, .91 and .9115 and now I am getting quite nervous.

Hopefully this will turn out to be false monday morning move...

Lets hope so because I believe Retail sales will be down and they wont raise the rates.
Puks, what can I say, the first time that you took my call ,it turned out to be like this. look at my SL , 3-4 pips left
I hope we can close with tiny profit or B/E before 9am NY, there may be a move down from 7-9 am NY (what I've seen lately)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au1c.gif Size: 18 KB
  • #854
  • Mar 29, 2010 2:38am Mar 29, 2010 2:38am
Quoting Geppyg
Here are my thoughts on Aussie
I mentioned something very important about this pair that is not to get involved unless we go near in TL's It might mean waiting but the pair can get very messy...Short stops should be above 9267 which is the weekly trendline...
A close above this will mean severe bullishness..
Failure of this TL will take us all the way down to 8550 Zone....

Good Luck
Trade Safely

Still Holding Longs on both Euro and Cable...
I hope you all have a lovely trading week

For the Aussie Short.....Nice one Hour Pinbar should give you a bit of relief..... If we can close on gold below 108 in the next 45 mins....
We could see a beautiful swing down in the aussie...
Let Price determine your future!
  • #855
  • Mar 29, 2010 2:51am Mar 29, 2010 2:51am
We need to better make a log of your posts but the difficulty is that your posts are spread across different forums :-)

I am hoping a move down sooner rather than later towards .9075-85



Quoting Geppyg
I mentioned something very important about this pair that is not to get involved unless we go near in TL's It might mean waiting but the pair can get very messy...Short stops should be above 9267 which is the weekly trendline...
A close above this will mean severe bullishness..
Failure of this TL will take us all the way down to 8550 Zone....

Good Luck
Trade Safely

Still Holding Longs on both Euro and Cable...
I hope you all have a lovely trading week

For the Aussie Short.....Nice one Hour Pinbar should give you a bit of relief........
  • #856
  • Mar 29, 2010 2:52am Mar 29, 2010 2:52am
I am seriously hoping and praying for the same. Let's get out of this trade at minimum loss or tiny profit.




Quoting shahab8b
Puks, what can I say, the first time that you took my call ,it turned out to be like this. look at my SL , 3-4 pips left
I hope we can close with tiny profit or B/E before 9am NY, there may be a move down from 7-9 am NY (what I've seen lately)
  • #857
  • Mar 29, 2010 2:53am Mar 29, 2010 2:53am
Quoting puks
hi mate, I am in a similar boat and this time I took relatively large positions as I have faith in your calls but the trades are going against me...

I am short from .9060, .91 and .9115 and now I am getting quite nervous.

Hopefully this will turn out to be false monday morning move...

Lets hope so because I believe Retail sales will be down and they wont raise the rates.
weekly R1 is at .9156 , I may move my SL couple of pips higher to see if we correct lower from here, I set TP for all trades at .9080 close to weekly pivot (.9077)
  • #858
  • Mar 29, 2010 2:54am Mar 29, 2010 2:54am
i am short at 9130 after bouncing off trend line and a h4 close below 9135 which is my s/r

my sl is a 100 points.

Quoting puks
We need to better make a log of your posts but the difficulty is that your posts are spread across different forums :-)

I am hoping a move down sooner rather than later towards .9075-85
  • #859
  • Mar 29, 2010 2:56am Mar 29, 2010 2:56am
Quoting Geppyg
I mentioned something very important about this pair that is not to get involved unless we go near in TL's It might mean waiting but the pair can get very messy...Short stops should be above 9267 which is the weekly trendline...
A close above this will mean severe bullishness..
Failure of this TL will take us all the way down to 8550 Zone....

Good Luck
Trade Safely

Still Holding Longs on both Euro and Cable...
I hope you all have a lovely trading week

For the Aussie Short.....Nice one Hour Pinbar should give you a bit of relief..... If we...
Hello Geppyg,
thank you for your recommendation. I missed your point at E/U Support at 1.3256 one time and this one is the second time I missed what you mentioned.

May I ask what is your target for your long E/U and G/U trades?
  • #860
  • Mar 29, 2010 2:59am Mar 29, 2010 2:59am
Quoting puks
hi mate, I am in a similar boat and this time I took relatively large positions as I have faith in your calls but the trades are going against me...

I am short from .9060, .91 and .9115 and now I am getting quite nervous.

Hopefully this will turn out to be false monday morning move...

Lets hope so because I believe Retail sales will be down and they wont raise the rates.
I am going to be bold here:

I can understand all your entries..But one little lesson
What are the signs that bulls have power on a monday:
1. Gap up to 65 on the aussie.
2.Gap Closed on 40 pips and a new hourly candle has formed above the gap. ( YOU SHOULD NEVER EVER SHORT THIS AS THE CHARTS ARE CLEARLY TELLING US THAT DEMAND VOLUME EXISTS)

3. My dear friend one last thing..What is your current risk ....
Let Price determine your future!
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