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  • #19,901
  • Mar 25, 2010 1:36pm Mar 25, 2010 1:36pm
Still trying to get the sleep out of my eyes, but here is what I see. We are at 23.6 which also corresponds with some significant prices. If we get pushed down from TL and MAs, then 90771 is the breaking point for me. If that happens, I see hitting 200MA and bouncing, which is the blue line, or moving down to 38 fib which happens to also share 9000. However, PA within 10 or so pips +/- from that 00 will be intense. See chart. We are on 100MA wall right now. Also, be aware of TF on the chart though, this is more Long-Term. I will post my view of the PA for the day soon.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #19,902
  • Mar 25, 2010 1:48pm Mar 25, 2010 1:48pm
Quoting Saxon
Still trying to get the sleep out of my eyes, but here is what I see. We are at 23.6 which also corresponds with some significant prices. If we get pushed down from TL and MAs, then 90771 is the breaking point for me. If that happens, I see hitting 200MA and bouncing, which is the blue line, or moving down to 38 fib which happens to also share 9000. However, PA within 10 or so pips +/- from that 00 will be intense. See chart. We are on 100MA wall right now. Also, be aware of TF on the chart though, this is more Long-Term. I will post my view of...
Out at 9187 from 9112 and wait for a pull back to 9107 area. Indeed, there is a wall here!
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #19,903
  • Mar 25, 2010 1:51pm Mar 25, 2010 1:51pm
Ha! My luck. I get out and she breaks the wall. Go figure.
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #19,904
  • Mar 25, 2010 1:52pm Mar 25, 2010 1:52pm
Quoting MarcVUM
Out at 9187 from 9112 and wait for a pull back to 9107 area. Indeed, there is a wall here!
Nice job, so you were short from 9187?
  • #19,905
  • Mar 25, 2010 1:54pm Mar 25, 2010 1:54pm
Quoting Saxon
Still trying to get the sleep out of my eyes, but here is what I see. We are at 23.6 which also corresponds with some significant prices. If we get pushed down from TL and MAs, then 90771 is the breaking point for me. If that happens, I see hitting 200MA and bouncing, which is the blue line, or moving down to 38 fib which happens to also share 9000. However, PA within 10 or so pips +/- from that 00 will be intense. See chart. We are on 100MA wall right now. Also, be aware of TF on the chart though, this is more Long-Term. I will post my view of...
65 min and my 4h close
  • #19,906
  • Mar 25, 2010 1:55pm Mar 25, 2010 1:55pm
Quoting Saxon
Nice job, so you were short from 9187?
sorry.. shorted at 9112 and got out at 9087

my H4 shows it going to at least 9070...H1 is all messed up right now... but There is a weekly S1 at 9082...plus my channel from earlier calculates a drop to 9065. I'll wait for a slight pullback to my 21 or 35ma on the M15 and go short again.
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #19,907
  • Mar 25, 2010 2:01pm Mar 25, 2010 2:01pm
Picked up this idea from another thread. Draw Fib Retracments from the high and low between 12am and 3am est. That will be your range for the day.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #19,908
  • Mar 25, 2010 2:02pm Mar 25, 2010 2:02pm
Quoting MarcVUM
sorry.. shorted at 9112 and got out at 9087

my H4 shows it going to at least 9070...H1 is all messed up right now... but There is a weekly S1 at 9082...plus my channel from earlier calculates a drop to 9065. I'll wait for a slight pullback to my 21 or 35ma on the M15 and go short again.
Here is my 1Hr, working on some more charts to forward your way.
1 Hr has a heavy ceiling, 3 different MAs, TL and a Srong S/R
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #19,909
  • Mar 25, 2010 2:03pm Mar 25, 2010 2:03pm
Quoting egkid
65 min and my 4h close
So you're closing in an hour? Or bar/candle close?
  • #19,910
  • Mar 25, 2010 2:08pm Mar 25, 2010 2:08pm
Quoting MarcVUM
Picked up this idea from another thread. Draw Fib Retracments from the high and low between 12am and 3am est. That will be your range for the day.
There are also a few Custom Indicators out there that draw like a daily range, weekly range and monthly range. Those would be interesting to look at too.
  • #19,911
  • Mar 25, 2010 2:11pm Mar 25, 2010 2:11pm
Quoting Saxon
There are also a few Custom Indicators out there that draw like a daily range, weekly range and monthly range. Those would be interesting to look at too.
I figured I would watch it over several weeks along with my normal S/R's and MA's on a separate chart. I went back through history and checked it out... not always accurate (definitely not on Sundays).
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #19,912
  • Edited 2:24pm Mar 25, 2010 2:14pm | Edited 2:24pm
Quoting Saxon
So you're closing in an hour? Or bar/candle close?
4h in important area 9090 - 9080 if close under it then that confirmation to me to more down .
Daily Till now suggest more down But Still not close yet.

All the Pairs Follow the mother currency E/U and i still wait another push lower in 24h and will close half of my positions with this move (Just my view)
  • #19,913
  • Mar 25, 2010 2:34pm Mar 25, 2010 2:34pm
This is helpful, it shows correlations of all pairs.

http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technic...___How_Do.html
  • #19,914
  • Mar 25, 2010 2:36pm Mar 25, 2010 2:36pm
Price is at my level now, see if it takes yesterdays low for a bounce or bounces now. might take a small long position soon
  • #19,915
  • Mar 25, 2010 2:42pm Mar 25, 2010 2:42pm
look at oil 4hR, it's beginning to form a nice down trend - should weigh on commodity currencies
  • #19,916
  • Mar 25, 2010 3:01pm Mar 25, 2010 3:01pm
I'm trying to reassess this situation. Stop at the previous days low or continue further down to say 905x and hit the trendline down there?

Guess I'll wait for another pullback.
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #19,917
  • Mar 25, 2010 3:03pm Mar 25, 2010 3:03pm
Quoting MarcVUM
I'm trying to reassess this situation. Stop at the previous days low or continue further down to say 905x and hit the trendline down there?

Guess I'll wait for another pullback.
Ya, I'm watching 30M and 1HR bars and waiting for next 30M settle. I wanna place a pending at around 90683
  • #19,918
  • Mar 25, 2010 3:05pm Mar 25, 2010 3:05pm
Quoting MarcVUM
I'm trying to reassess this situation. Stop at the previous days low or continue further down to say 905x and hit the trendline down there?

Guess I'll wait for another pullback.
just my opinion, but it's gonna fall further, but now is not best time enter short probably- maybe it goes to .90 then .9050 or something like that
  • #19,919
  • Mar 25, 2010 3:05pm Mar 25, 2010 3:05pm
Quoting Clouds
look at oil 4hR, it's beginning to form a nice down trend - should weigh on commodity currencies
What's your take clouds? Think we are going to bounce off yesterday's low?
Oh, just saw your response
  • #19,920
  • Mar 25, 2010 3:08pm Mar 25, 2010 3:08pm
Quoting Saxon
What's your take clouds? Think we are going to bounce off yesterday's low?
Oh, just saw your response
i think on a daily basis, it's gonna start making lower highs
oil is beginning to pick up steam, and cad too, im just long usd/cad right now, but it's correlated closely
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