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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #621
  • Mar 24, 2010 4:26pm Mar 24, 2010 4:26pm
Quoting Patience
Doesn't look like we are going to get any bounce on A/U. But we've done 100 pips so far and it's on Daily S3. Needs to break 0.9090 and we should have some bloodshed. I'll set stops at 0.9085 and let the market do it's thing.
it seems you got what you have been waiting for, how many open short A/U positions do you have?
  • #622
  • Mar 24, 2010 4:28pm Mar 24, 2010 4:28pm
Quoting kimd
Could be more downside. Here is my daily chart.

Attachment
hi Kim, it's nice to hear from you after a while,
short A/U and Long U/Cad I guess, right?
  • #623
  • Mar 24, 2010 4:35pm Mar 24, 2010 4:35pm
Quoting Clouds
when it was around .65-ish it ranged, in an up channel, but eventually broke up. the bottom of the down channel for a/u now is .84, so if it breaks below, could be in for a nice trend
Clouds, let us first get to the bottom of this broadening pattern then we plan for 65 ish
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #624
  • Mar 24, 2010 4:46pm Mar 24, 2010 4:46pm
A/U
may be it's soon to think about long-term reversal, but
E/U fall, makes that fall into 5 wave decline, it means the remote possibility of 3 wave correction in USDX is not valid any more
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  • #625
  • Mar 24, 2010 4:49pm Mar 24, 2010 4:49pm
Be Patient Guys

Good Luck
Geppyg
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Let Price determine your future!
  • #626
  • Mar 24, 2010 4:50pm Mar 24, 2010 4:50pm
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting shahab8b
finally what we have been waiting for due to COT index extreme and other technical signs happened ,
commodity currencies reversed the trend (at least in 4hr chart)
Head & Shoulders in A/U and inverse Head & Shoulders in U/Cad indicate such development,

as I've suggested since the beginning of this week

SHORT: E/U G/U A/U N/U
LONG U/Chf U/Cad

Hey there Shahab..
Seems I missed a lot of action today while beein at work..
(went to work instead of making money )
To bad I cashed in my AUD short from 9195 yesterday for some 20 pips before going to bed
That was a hard drop and still new lows just now.

Looking for some retrace now for a possible entry..
S--> R.. thinking of:
--> EUR/USD 1.3400 - 1.3410 area?
--> USD/CAD 1.0180 - 1.0190 area?
--> GBP/USD 1.4975 - 1.4985 area?

but not sure if we will retrace that far.
I assume you are already on that train. or I hope you are

Regards, Tuner
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #627
  • Mar 24, 2010 4:52pm Mar 24, 2010 4:52pm
Quoting Geppyg
Be Patient Guys

Good Luck
Geppyg
Hi Geppyg,
by any chance do you have charts of A/U or U/Cad ?
thank you
  • #628
  • Mar 24, 2010 4:54pm Mar 24, 2010 4:54pm
Quoting shahab8b
it seems you got what you have been waiting for, how many open short A/U positions do you have?
We are all sailing in the same ship just need to take care of all traders....

Looking at smaller TF a visit to 1.3332 and then down to 1.3256..me think...
Lets see

Have a nice day
Let Price determine your future!
  • #629
  • Mar 24, 2010 4:56pm Mar 24, 2010 4:56pm
Quoting Tuner
Hey there Shahab..
Seems I missed a lot of action today while beein at work..
(went to work instead of making money )
To bad I cashed in my AUD short from 9195 yesterday for some 20 pips before going to bed
That was a hard drop and still new lows just now.

Looking for some retrace now for a possible entry..
S--> R.. thinking of:
--> EUR/USD...
hi Turner,
dont worry, this market will be here for the rest of our life so there is always be another day
besides I think you didnt miss much on A/U and U/Cad
look at the necklace of the H&Sh, put your orders there, I think they will get filled soon and then you can ride them
  • #630
  • Mar 24, 2010 5:06pm Mar 24, 2010 5:06pm
Quoting Geppyg
We are all sailing in the same ship just need to take care of all traders....

Looking at smaller TF a visit to 1.3332 and then down to 1.3256..me think...
Lets see

Have a nice day
that's true, I think everyone is short E/U or A/U except Puks,
that's what I think of E/U smaller TF
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  • #631
  • Mar 24, 2010 5:15pm Mar 24, 2010 5:15pm
Quoting Tuner
Hey there Shahab..
Seems I missed a lot of action today while beein at work..
(went to work instead of making money )
To bad I cashed in my AUD short from 9195 yesterday for some 20 pips before going to bed
That was a hard drop and still new lows just now.

Looking for some retrace now for a possible entry..
S--> R.. thinking of:
--> EUR/USD...
for E/U , you saw my charts and possible sell limit orders, for
A/U, you can take a look at this
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #632
  • Mar 24, 2010 5:17pm Mar 24, 2010 5:17pm
Here are my thoughts on Aussie
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Let Price determine your future!
  • #633
  • Mar 24, 2010 5:30pm Mar 24, 2010 5:30pm
Quoting Geppyg
Here are my thoughts on Aussie
Perfect, thank you Geppyg
  • #634
  • Mar 24, 2010 6:11pm Mar 24, 2010 6:11pm
G'day Shahab,

Yes I am still long EU and will add aggresively towards 1.3260 but will have hard stop at 1.3225.

I can't help but think a relief rally or short covering rally is on cards going into the weekend.

I am looking for a move towards 1.35-1.3550 to clear my longs in profit.

This time, for a change, I will be patient and see how it all pans out.




Quoting shahab8b
that's true, I think everyone is short E/U or A/U except Puks,
that's what I think of E/U smaller TF
  • #635
  • Mar 24, 2010 6:54pm Mar 24, 2010 6:54pm
Quoting Geppyg
We are all sailing in the same ship just need to take care of all traders....

Looking at smaller TF a visit to 1.3332 and then down to 1.3256..me think...
Lets see

Have a nice day
Target hit @ 1.3332..Now I am aiming for 1.3250-1.3260 Zone ...No sells just monitoring PA...
Let Price determine your future!
  • #636
  • Mar 24, 2010 7:20pm Mar 24, 2010 7:20pm
usd/chf

Attached Image
  • #637
  • Mar 24, 2010 7:34pm Mar 24, 2010 7:34pm
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting shahab8b
hi Turner,
dont worry, this market will be here for the rest of our life so there is always be another day
besides I think you didnt miss much on A/U and U/Cad
look at the necklace of the H&Sh, put your orders there, I think they will get filled soon and then you can ride them
I know...
lookin to the charts after such a day I always tend to think "I missed something" should get rid of that as I know there is always another day and new opportunities.
Still got to learn a lot and get some orientation in that business.

Really appreciate you sharing your charts and setups here with us.
Always try to learn out of them and understand instead of just "copy" them

Regards ,
Tuner
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #638
  • Mar 24, 2010 10:17pm Mar 24, 2010 10:17pm
Quoting shahab8b
hi Kim, it's nice to hear from you after a while,
short A/U and Long U/Cad I guess, right?
Hello shahab
Been a busy week for me,that time of the year
Yes, although I'm not in an Aussie trade at the moment, (hopefully I will have another opportunity shortly) and closed my CAD trade a while ago. Just watching PA for the time being. I think there will be a small pullback on the AUD.

Great call on the EURO by the way.
  • #639
  • Mar 24, 2010 10:48pm Mar 24, 2010 10:48pm
Long U/Cad at 1.0230 SL=1.0140 TP=TBD , will add at 1.0160 if the S>R>S at 1.020 doesnt hold
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  • #640
  • Mar 24, 2010 10:57pm Mar 24, 2010 10:57pm
Quoting Clouds
usd/chf

Attachment
I think the same, already long from 1.0515 will add at 1.0660 S>R>S
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