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AUD/USD

  • #19,681
  • Mar 24, 2010 2:58am Mar 24, 2010 2:58am
Quoting Saxon
What do you guys think on your daily charts? Distribution before a nice ride down?
It looks like distribution to me. But, blame it partly on my bear eyes. I still think risk is to the downside rather than the upside.
  • #19,682
  • Mar 24, 2010 3:00am Mar 24, 2010 3:00am
Quoting blurbear
It looks like distribution to me. But, blame it partly on my bear eyes. I still think risk is to the downside rather than the upside.
I just wish this pair could pick a LT direction. If you look at daily and weekly, this is getting depressing.
  • #19,683
  • Mar 24, 2010 3:02am Mar 24, 2010 3:02am
Quoting Saxon
What do you guys think on your daily charts? Distribution before a nice ride down?
Put up a 5ma on the daily. She's under it but indicator analysis of A/U and S&P shows that they are just topping. No actual downtrend just yet.
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #19,684
  • Mar 24, 2010 3:04am Mar 24, 2010 3:04am
If primary support is broken (big black line) and a failed retest occurs I would short. I think she has more in her tank though....
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Annoying Precision
  • #19,685
  • Mar 24, 2010 3:15am Mar 24, 2010 3:15am
Quoting MarcVUM
Put up a 5ma on the daily. She's under it but indicator analysis of A/U and S&P shows that they are just topping. No actual downtrend just yet.
9176, is my 15min trend line, then after the first point of reversal I see is 9189, if that is broken then 9208 is definite. But it looks like its running out of puff trying to clear 15min trend line.... lets see
Find a job that you love and you dont have to work again in your life.
  • #19,686
  • Mar 24, 2010 3:19am Mar 24, 2010 3:19am
Quoting tradoholic
9176, is my 15min trend line, then after the first point of reversal I see is 9189, if that is broken then 9208 is definite. But it looks like its running out of puff trying to clear 15min trend line.... lets see
at the moment... she is being held back by the 35ma on the 15min along with bearish indicator on the 4hr. I'm bearish. My target is 9133 if the current 15min candle closes below 9170
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #19,687
  • Mar 24, 2010 3:38am Mar 24, 2010 3:38am
Quoting MarcVUM
at the moment... she is being held back by the 35ma on the 15min along with bearish indicator on the 4hr. I'm bearish. My target is 9133 if the current 15min candle closes below 9170
nice call on the 15min candle, it started diving after the candle formed, did you get in?
  • #19,688
  • Mar 24, 2010 3:39am Mar 24, 2010 3:39am
Hey Doblece,
Here is my view on COT. I changed COT to 15 instead of default as well and took out Comm. If you look at AUD, it's stuck in a tight channel, COT is max and should correct itself. This is all fine, but when compared to DIX of the same setting, It too is at the top of the channel but COT is mid. If COTs for the pairs we at opposite extremes, I would expect a larger move soon. This gives me the view of a weak bear move into more consolidation. Basically COT is showing nothing exciting when AUD makes it's move. Maybe i'm off, but this is what I see. What are you seeing in these charts? I attached them below, I don't know if they worked though:
  • #19,689
  • Mar 24, 2010 3:40am Mar 24, 2010 3:40am
Quoting OvT
nice call on the 15min candle, it started diving after the candle formed, did you get in?
I got in before at 9172...this is a major part of my trading strategy. respect the 35ma on the 15ma and she will tell you all of her secrets!
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #19,690
  • Mar 24, 2010 3:42am Mar 24, 2010 3:42am
Quoting MarcVUM
I got in before at 9172...this is a major part of my trading strategy. respect the 35ma on the 15ma and she will tell you all of her secrets!
lower BB is dropping (she is bringing the pants down). I've got to double time it today due to yesterdays little mistake. didn't cost me money but it sure cost me time!
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #19,691
  • Mar 24, 2010 3:44am Mar 24, 2010 3:44am
Quoting Saxon
Hey Doblece,
Here is my view on COT. I changed COT to 15 instead of default as well and took out Comm. If you look at AUD, it's stuck in a tight channel, COT is max and should correct itself. This is all fine, but when compared to DIX of the same setting, It too is at the top of the channel but COT is mid. If COTs for the pairs we at opposite extremes, I would expect a larger move soon. This gives me the view of a weak bear move into more consolidation. Basically COT is showing nothing exciting when AUD makes it's move. Maybe i'm off, but this is...
Here are those charts:
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: DIX.jpg Size: 117 KB
  • #19,692
  • Mar 24, 2010 3:44am Mar 24, 2010 3:44am
Quoting MarcVUM
lower BB is dropping (she is bringing the pants down). I've got to double time it today due to yesterdays little mistake. didn't cost me money but it sure cost me time!
some profit taken and moved SL to B/E. got to go to the store to get some goodies for the day. be back soon.
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #19,693
  • Mar 24, 2010 3:46am Mar 24, 2010 3:46am
Quoting Saxon
Here are those charts:
oh wow, look at EUR
saxon are you watching this, what you reckon

good stuff marcvum! 9133 your TP?
  • #19,694
  • Mar 24, 2010 3:47am Mar 24, 2010 3:47am
Quoting OvT
oh wow, look at EUR
saxon are you watching this, what you reckon

good stuff marcvum! 9133 your TP?
first TP. 4hr is bearish enough to give 9115 possibly.
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #19,695
  • Mar 24, 2010 3:48am Mar 24, 2010 3:48am
Quoting MarcVUM
first TP. 4hr is bearish enough to give 9115 possibly.
i think so too, shouldnt be over at 9133
btw is that double top

p/s bounced right off 50 fib
  • #19,696
  • Mar 24, 2010 3:51am Mar 24, 2010 3:51am
Quoting OvT
oh wow, look at EUR
saxon are you watching this, what you reckon

good stuff marcvum! 9133 your TP?
Great.. euro dive further into the abyss.

9110-9115 support will be interesting.
  • #19,697
  • Mar 24, 2010 3:52am Mar 24, 2010 3:52am
Quoting blurbear
Great.. euro dive further into the abyss.

9110-9115 support will be interesting.
it's your kingdom blurbear
bear kingdom

abyss hahaha
  • #19,698
  • Mar 24, 2010 3:54am Mar 24, 2010 3:54am
Quoting OvT
i think so too, shouldnt be over at 9133
btw is that double top

p/s bounced right off 50 fib
where do you see a double top? i wouldn't worry about it. Damn 50% Fib. oh well, as i said i took some profit at 9156 and moved SL to B/E let the rest ride and not move the SL Today!

alright off to the goodie store for breakfast.
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #19,699
  • Mar 24, 2010 3:55am Mar 24, 2010 3:55am
Quoting OvT
oh wow, look at EUR
saxon are you watching this, what you reckon

good stuff marcvum! 9133 your TP?
It is out of my range for right now. I think that it is overheated and am going to wait for it to cool. I got to scrub all my EUR charts and start re-analyzing and creating setups. CHF is being a pain too, gotta scrub CHF charts as well. It's interesting because the news doesn't support the drop. Makes you wonder if forecasts were way off that the psychological differencial is larger.
  • #19,700
  • Mar 24, 2010 3:57am Mar 24, 2010 3:57am
Quoting MarcVUM
where do you see a double top? i wouldn't worry about it. Damn 50% Fib. oh well, as i said i took some profit at 9156 and moved SL to B/E let the rest ride and not move the SL Today!

alright off to the goodie store for breakfast.
is it double top?
enjoy your breakie
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