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AUD/USD

  • #19,401
  • Mar 19, 2010 11:38am Mar 19, 2010 11:38am
Quoting Clouds
what do u think of eur/aud, 15min, 20/40 EMA cross over

finding support now at Ema's

Attachment
I don't trade this pair But Ugly bearish on daily and weekly
If i will trade it i will wait retrace up depends on 4h then short it
  • #19,402
  • Mar 19, 2010 11:47am Mar 19, 2010 11:47am
Quoting egkid
I don't trade this pair But Ugly bearish on daily and weekly
If i will trade it i will wait retrace up depends on 4h then short it
careful on the shorts though, it's getting real close to low of 97'. which is 1.41. i'm looking to get long when aud starts to weaken more. it's was a great pair to long last time aud went down on 08
  • #19,403
  • Edited 12:14pm Mar 19, 2010 12:04pm | Edited 12:14pm
Quoting Clouds
careful on the shorts though, it's getting real close to low of 97'. which is 1.41. i'm looking to get long when aud starts to weaken more. it's was a great pair to long last time aud went down on 08
This pair looks drop too much but who who's know can drop more at least i will not long it till get signal "Long term trade i mean.

Sometime we get greedy and we want catch huge ++ as much as we can and forget our first years at forex "Don't try catch the top or bottom"
Just my view and i could be wrong.
GL bro
  • #19,404
  • Mar 19, 2010 12:12pm Mar 19, 2010 12:12pm
Quoting egkid
This pair looks drop too much but who who's know can drop more at least i will not long it till get signal.

Sometime we get greedy and we want catch huge ++ as much as we can and forget our first years at forex "Don't try catch the top or bottom"
Just my view and i could be wrong.
GL bro
you're right.. ive traded the pair a few times , but nothing longer-term. im just preparing for reversal on that pair, looking on daily it just looks too Much, for me to hold long-term short positions on it. just from august till now, it's all down hill- wouldn't want to start trying to short the bottom. im with u on trend trading, but when it goes that much, i couldn't do it

it's actually one of the funniest pairs ive ever seen
  • #19,405
  • Mar 19, 2010 12:22pm Mar 19, 2010 12:22pm
Quoting Clouds
you're right.. ive traded the pair a few times , but nothing longer-term. im just preparing for reversal on that pair, looking on daily it just looks too Much, for me to hold long-term short positions on it. just from august till now, it's all down hill- wouldn't want to start trying to short the bottom. im with u on trend trading, but when it goes that much, i couldn't do it

it's actually one of the funniest pairs ive ever seen
I don't like trade u/cad, g/j and the u/j Just my system not work fine with this pairs beside Cad nuts and g/j Account builder or destroyer , u/j so slow
So i will test with my system and keep an eye with eur/aud and eur/chf
  • #19,406
  • Mar 19, 2010 12:34pm Mar 19, 2010 12:34pm
Quoting egkid
I don't like trade u/cad, g/j and the u/j Just my system not work fine with this pairs beside Cad nuts and g/j Account builder or destroyer , u/j so slow
So i will test with my system and keep an eye with eur/aud and eur/chf
u/j i can't trade, im bullish on usd "and" yen. but if uj break tl from 2007, it may change my view on yen. then u/cad im a little more bullish, just because it's proven itself before, but currently it's similar to uj somewhat
  • #19,407
  • Mar 19, 2010 6:30pm Mar 19, 2010 6:30pm
I guess we're topping...

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #19,408
  • Mar 19, 2010 10:25pm Mar 19, 2010 10:25pm
Quoting doblece
I guess we're topping...

Attachment
doblece what kind of indicator that you use at the bottom of your trend?
  • #19,409
  • Edited Mar 20, 2010 12:09am Mar 19, 2010 10:33pm | Edited Mar 20, 2010 12:09am
Quoting yeri
doblece what kind of indicator that you use at the bottom of your trend?
That's the COT Index, which you'll find here:

http://timingcharts.com/index.php

Green line represents the Large Traders commitment index. 100 would be extreme long.

Near the bottom of the page, select "COT Index" (in Window I, Net Position or Index), then "Get Chart".
  • #19,410
  • Mar 20, 2010 9:35am Mar 20, 2010 9:35am
Hi
LOL no body here only me not even enjoy my weekend
Egkid >>> Nuts

Price close 9155
I think and i could be wrong we going to 8980 (175 pip)
Let's See
  • #19,411
  • Mar 20, 2010 10:11am Mar 20, 2010 10:11am
chart is daily aud/usd
its losing momentum.
weekly on the upper trend line.
it does not look nice .
next week it will show what its want to do.
i am bit bearish for a/u
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #19,412
  • Mar 20, 2010 9:15pm Mar 20, 2010 9:15pm
Sentiment:- Bullish
Reason:-

  1. Fundamental – its fundamental is very strong if compare to other pairs.
  2. Technical – The major trend is up, but having pullback. Based on EW theory and combining Fibo retracement, AUDUSD may retrace to the 61.8% level. If this happens, then we have to wait slightly longer for LONG entry. http://myinvest888.files.wordpress.c...ng?w=484&h=197
    On the other hand, on H4, if the candlestick can cross T/S and K/S upward, this implies retracement might stopped and bullish movement will resume.

To do:-

  1. Swing trading – I will monitor H4 and H1 for bullish reversal signal.
  2. Intraday trading – I won’t do intraday trading when the pair is pulling back (counter the major trend).

http://myinvest888.files.wordpress.c...ng?w=484&h=247

  • #19,413
  • Mar 20, 2010 10:14pm Mar 20, 2010 10:14pm
i plan to sell and TP at 9125
  • #19,414
  • Mar 21, 2010 10:10am Mar 21, 2010 10:10am
Aussie looks like it's making a top on the daily chart to me. If the price action breaks below .9100 this week, then I'm going to go short and try to hold on for the next 30 days or so. Stop at .9350 targeting .8800.

I'm leveraged at 3:1 which would give me a 10% gain if I'm right.

Just throwing my humble opinion out there.
  • #19,415
  • Mar 21, 2010 1:30pm Mar 21, 2010 1:30pm
Quoting myinvest888
Sentiment:- Bullish
Reason:-[list=1][*]Fundamental – its fundamental is very strong if compare to other pairs.[*]Technical – The major trend is up, but having pullback. Based on EW theory and combining Fibo retracement, AUDUSD may retrace to the 61.8% level. If this happens, then we have to wait slightly longer for LONG entry. http://myinvest888.files.wordpress.c...ng?w=484&h=197...
i am bearish for swing trade bullish for long time(monthly).
thats how i do see as well
  • #19,416
  • Edited 7:41pm Mar 21, 2010 6:35pm | Edited 7:41pm
Had problems posting last week, and normally live over on Direct Trade's thread, but could stop myself from a short on this pair. Sorry that the charts are a couple of days old, but they do illustrate why I took the short, and a current look at price will show that the prediction may still be valid.

On the weekly there are LHs and LLs, and with recent reading suggesting that China may curb production amidst the spat with the US, ongoing encouragement for money to drop commodities, and the SCB giving mixed signals regarding further currency intervention, well, one never knows.

Opposing arguments against are more than welcome.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Author of: For Pip's Sake! (Available at Amazon... :-) )
  • #19,417
  • Mar 21, 2010 6:49pm Mar 21, 2010 6:49pm
Hi everyone. Just my opinion on AUD/USD:
If we'll get the ~0.9125 price, short from here.
TP1 at ~0.9092.
TP2 at ~0.8978.
Time will show.
Twitter: MrC_Forex ; Facebook: /pages/MrC-Forex/197693770247397
  • #19,418
  • Mar 21, 2010 7:49pm Mar 21, 2010 7:49pm
Hello All
Wish to all happy new week
I read something thought to share , First what do u think about

"Buy the dips and sell rallies" We are always see and read that SO, Is that

1- Right
2-Wrong
3- Have another opinion

Pick up an answer and u could explain why u choose it

I love this Image soon will get my food with no mercy
Attached Image
  • #19,419
  • Mar 22, 2010 12:17am Mar 22, 2010 12:17am
Quoting egkid
Hello All
Wish to all happy new week
I read something thought to share , First what do u think about

"Buy the dips and sell rallies" We are always see and read that SO, Is that

1- Right
2-Wrong
3- Have another opinion

Pick up an answer and u could explain why u choose it

I love this Image soon will get my food with no mercy
I dunno, it all sounds good on paper and helps sell a book, but the guys saying that junk probably don't follow it. It takes some balls to do that. Also, it is a completely subjective quote and by subjective I mean subjective to the trading environment and TF. There are a lot of "Ooo Ahh" "That's so deep" quotes out there (buy on the rumor, sell on the news) but a lot of them, I feel, are BS.
  • #19,420
  • Mar 22, 2010 12:21am Mar 22, 2010 12:21am
Quoting egkid
Hello All
Wish to all happy new week
I read something thought to share , First what do u think about

"Buy the dips and sell rallies" We are always see and read that SO, Is that

1- Right
2-Wrong
3- Have another opinion

Pick up an answer and u could explain why u choose it

I love this Image soon will get my food with no mercy
3) sell the rallies in a down trend, buy the dips in an up trend. Trends don't change often more than once a year, so I'm talking about a longer time frame here.
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