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AUD/USD

  • #19,361
  • Mar 19, 2010 6:55am Mar 19, 2010 6:55am
So I'm learning as I'm going here as well as getting rather confused.

Any of you guys follow fractals?
5 bars, reversal pattern.
Well looking at the 8 hour chart, I have the last 5 bars in the box looking like a fractal indicating this thing is going back up and if you look at USD/CAD get dumped again it doesn't really surprise. That last bar closes in 10 minutes..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: fractal.jpg Size: 164 KB
  • #19,362
  • Mar 19, 2010 7:20am Mar 19, 2010 7:20am
Well Mr. AUD
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  • #19,363
  • Mar 19, 2010 7:35am Mar 19, 2010 7:35am
Off topic but U/J is heading up after a buy signal on the 1hr.
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #19,364
  • Mar 19, 2010 8:39am Mar 19, 2010 8:39am
4hr close below a TL, but still in freeze mode

Attached Image
  • #19,365
  • Edited 8:53am Mar 19, 2010 8:43am | Edited 8:53am
Quoting Clouds
4hr close below a TL, but still in freeze mode

Attachment
yah so stubborn! 9190
attempt #n+1 now
is she a goner??
this is some serious S
  • #19,366
  • Mar 19, 2010 8:54am Mar 19, 2010 8:54am
dont forget have your buy orders at 8455

enjoy the ride

Attached Image
  • #19,367
  • Mar 19, 2010 9:01am Mar 19, 2010 9:01am
Quoting Clouds
dont forget have your buy orders at 8455

enjoy the ride

Attachment
I thought we were going to .6000! Hey the first bump is going to come around 9175.
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #19,368
  • Mar 19, 2010 9:05am Mar 19, 2010 9:05am
Quoting Clouds
dont forget have your buy orders at 8455

enjoy the ride

Attachment
lol clouds, i start to think the australia government must have done something to you
omg this mother of all S is actually twins! mothers of all S

btw the volume is awesome when it has gone into that area
  • #19,369
  • Mar 19, 2010 9:06am Mar 19, 2010 9:06am
Quoting MarcVUM
I thought we were going to .6000! Hey the first bump is going to come around 9175.
if 8450 area breaks, then yes. it took 3 years to get from .60 to .90, and 3 months go come down. then a year to come up again. i dont have a watch, but it's gonna be fast or slow. guaranteed. maybe we can just trade 500 pips or so at a time?
  • #19,370
  • Mar 19, 2010 9:12am Mar 19, 2010 9:12am
Quoting OvT
lol clouds, i start to think the australia government must have done something to you
omg this mother of all S is actually twins! mothers of all S
ok, that's funny. but take a look at eur/aud chart, it went up to 2.08 and dropped to 1.47, can it go down forever? no. will it reverse yes. when? don't know. but we have early warning signs. aud/usd has been making lower highs, .94, .93, and .92(not confirmed yet), just saying
  • #19,371
  • Mar 19, 2010 9:16am Mar 19, 2010 9:16am
I guess the heck with 9175... old weekly pivot at 9163
damn!
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #19,372
  • Mar 19, 2010 9:19am Mar 19, 2010 9:19am
Quoting MarcVUM
I guess the heck with 9175... old weekly pivot at 9163
damn!
ya i was watcing 9175 haha and it went through
just now i did something risky and shorted at 9190, luckily it went this way

i was also watching gold prior to the break, gold shot up but a/u didn't move much, but gold dropped a bit and it dipped.
it's like it's bias sensitive to one direction, does that mean anything or is that normal? don't know if you guys have run into this before

and gold -15 btw wow
  • #19,373
  • Mar 19, 2010 9:28am Mar 19, 2010 9:28am
Quoting OvT
ya i was watcing 9175 haha and it went through
just now i did something risky and shorted at 9190, luckily it went this way

i was also watching gold prior to the break, gold shot up but a/u didn't move much, but gold dropped a bit and it dipped.
it's like it's bias sensitive to one direction, does that mean anything or is that normal? don't know if you guys have run into this before
for correlation, u can watch other usd pairs like eur/usd and gbp/usd , if they are booking down, that's gonna affect aud/usd
  • #19,374
  • Mar 19, 2010 9:29am Mar 19, 2010 9:29am
Quoting OvT
ya i was watcing 9175 haha and it went through
just now i did something risky and shorted at 9190, luckily it went this way

i was also watching gold prior to the break, gold shot up but a/u didn't move much, but gold dropped a bit and it dipped.
it's like it's bias sensitive to one direction, does that mean anything or is that normal? don't know if you guys have run into this before
Saxon was saying that it is more of a lagging indicator. Correct me if I'm wrong Saxon. newer weekly pivot at 9133...
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #19,375
  • Mar 19, 2010 9:31am Mar 19, 2010 9:31am
Quoting MarcVUM
Saxon was saying that it is more of a lagging indicator. Correct me if I'm wrong Saxon. newer weekly pivot at 9133...
haha, 9163 is gone as well
  • #19,376
  • Mar 19, 2010 9:33am Mar 19, 2010 9:33am
Quoting Clouds
for correlation, u can watch other usd pairs like eur/usd and gbp/usd , if they are booking down, that's gonna affect aud/usd
yep i was watching eur/usd as well, but this time the it seems although it is also going down, the magnitude is nothing compared to a/u

same though for yesterday euro sell off, e/u was dropping like fly but a/u only about 50 pips, then immediately recovered in retrace but e/u didn't
  • #19,377
  • Mar 19, 2010 9:36am Mar 19, 2010 9:36am
Quoting OvT
yep i was watching eur/usd as well, but this time the it seems although it is going down as well, but the magnitude is nothing compared to a/u

same though for yesterday euro sell off, e/u was dropping like fly but a/u only about 50 pips, then immediately recovered in retrace but e/u didn't
yes, but over a longer period they are more correlated, like 2-3 days - euro is in a spill to 1.28ish according to my charts , that's 1,000 pip drop from 1.38 high, same as drop from 1.45 to 1.35. basically the reason of the lag, is a/u just didn't have much volume or something
  • #19,378
  • Mar 19, 2010 9:36am Mar 19, 2010 9:36am
your going to think i'm crazy but i went long at 9148 when it hit the bottom BB on the 4hr. I'm already out though. still holding shorts
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #19,379
  • Mar 19, 2010 9:39am Mar 19, 2010 9:39am
Here's a pic of it to show what I mean at 9148
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au.jpg Size: 158 KB
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #19,380
  • Mar 19, 2010 9:39am Mar 19, 2010 9:39am
Quoting Clouds
yes, but over a longer period they are more correlated, like 2-3 days - euro is in a spill to 1.28ish according to my charts , that's 1,000 pip drop from 1.38 high, same as drop from 1.45 to 1.35. basically the reason of the lag, is a/u just didn't have much volume or something
certainly something to note, thanks for that
so any particular reason behind this move? or are you saying it's related to yesterday's euro selloff
gold still being dumped btw

this reminds me of the greece & spain incident of the 200+ pip drop to 8600
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